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BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

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Presentation on theme: "BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA"— Presentation transcript:

1 BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
ANNUAL PROGRESS REPORT ON IMPLEMENTATION OF MID-TERM DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY (PRSP) Presentation by Mr. Zlatko Hurtic Adviser of Chairman of B&H Council of Ministers Thessalonica, May 27-28, 2005

2 PROCESS • Mid-term Development Strategy approved in March 2004 by governments and parliaments Supported by Civil Society 2

3 GENERAL GOALS to create conditions for sustainable and balanced economic development to speed up EU integration 3

4 SPECIFIC TARGETS to lower unemployment to decerease level of poverty 4

5 MAIN PRIORITIES to decerease public expenditure level in GDP
to increase private sector share in GDP 5

6 IMPLEMENTATION MECHANISM
Economic Policy Planning and Monitoring Unit (EPPU) has been established to: monitor implementation of measures from Action Plan monitor indicators (MDGs) continue with economic research prepare six-month and annual reports on implementation of B&H MTDS 6

7 PROGRESS REPORT

8 STATUS OF IMPLEMENTATION for period August 2003 – April 2005
8 Source: Report on implementation of Action plan of MTDS for period August 2003-March 2005

9 IMPLEMENTATION BY GOVERNMENTS
9 Source: Report on implementation of Action plan of MTDS for period August 2003-March 2005

10 IMPLEMENTATION BY PARLIAMENTS
10 Source: Report on implementation of Action plan of MTDS for period August 2003-March 2005

11 IMPLEMENTATION OF MACROECONOMIC FRAMEWORK AND PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH MEASURES
11 Source: Report on implementation of Action plan of MTDS for period August 2003-March 2005

12 PERCENTAGE OF SUCCESS IN IMPLEMENTATION OF MEASURES IN AREA OF SECTORAL PRIORITIES
12 Source: Report on implementation of Action plan of MTDS for period August 2003-March 2005

13 ECONOMIC TRENDS

14 ECONOMIC GROWTH OF B&H IN COMPARISON TO THE REGION IN 2004
* Serbia and Montenegro Source: IMF World Economic and Financial Surveys, World Economic Outlook, April 2005 14

15 REGIONAL CPI COMPARISON
Source: IMF World Economic and Financial Surveys, World Economic Outlook, April 2005, IMF Staff Report, Article IV Discussion Paper 15

16 FISCAL DEFICIT 16 Source: Medium Term Development Strategy
IMF Staff Report, Article IV Discussion Paper 16

17 WAGE BILL CUT Source: Ministry of Finance and Treasury of BIH, FBiH and RS Ministries of Finance, IMF Staff Report, Article IV Discussion Paper, FBiH and RS Medium Term Expenditure Framework, 17

18 DEFENSE EXPENDITURES CUT
Source: FBiH and RS Medium Term Expenditure Framework, 18

19 CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
19 Source: IMF Staff Report, Article IV Discussion Paper

20 INTEREST RATES DECLINE
20 Source: Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina

21 BANKS DEPOSIT GROWTH 21 Source: Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina

22 CORPORATE / HOUSEHOLD LENDING
22 Source: Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina

23 FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT GROWTH
23 Source: Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina

24 USAGE OF RAILWAY TRANSPORT IN BIH
24 Source: Statistical office FBiH, Statistical office RS

25 EXPORT / IMPORT RATE OF GROWTH
25 Source: Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina

26 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION GROWTH
26 Source: Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina, FBiH and RS Institute of Statistics

27 EMPLOYED AND UNEMPLOYED (including grey economy) in %
27 Source: Living in BiH, Wave 4

28 WAGES 28 Source: BiH Statistics Agency, FBiH and RS Institute of Statistics

29 PENSIONS 29 Source: Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina, FBiH and RS Institute of Statistics

30 POVERTY DECLINES 30 Source: BiH Statistics Agency, FBiH and RS Institute of Statistics, EPPU

31 Job loss: 20,700 Job creation: 19,900 Out of poverty: 69,000 31

32 FOREIGN AID SHARE IN GDP
32 Source: IMF Staff Report for 2005, Article IV Discussion Paper

33 PRIORITIES FOR 2005 • VAT introduction • Corporate restructuring 33


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