1. Looking for aberrant records
Leslie Ries
For Human Drivers Group

2. NABA Records Records for weeks 4-9 (3/22 – 5/2)
NABA CONDUCTS FEW SURVEYS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD!
CA has records in weeks 4 (2),8 (2),9(4)– but I need to check if these are near overwinter sites – then records fall to 1 each in weeks 11,12, & 13. Also – I’m not sure of the timing of CA events
The rest of the West has single records in weeks 9&10, but these don’t seem as aberrant
The South has records all the way from week 2 (early March) – but these could be overwintering residentials.
The MidCentral region has early records in weeks 7 (2) and 8 (2), then nothing until week 12
The NorthCentral and EastCentral regions have no early records (earliest is week 13)
NorthEast has no records until week 15

3. OH, IL, and Weber Records
Note: Most IL surveys don’t start till later
Note: Ohio often starts surveys in week 5
Note: 1 record each in weeks 7&8
Note: 1 record in week 8
Weber doesn’t start surveys until week 12 (mid-May) – and saw monarchs in 7 of 24 surveys (14 of 43 surveys in week 13).
For the Ohio and Illinois surveys, the surveys in weeks 7-9 may be considered early based on my described section – but they don’t appear to be “outliers”.

4. MLMP Data – unusual April records
There are surveys with live eggs recorded all the way back to Jan 1st – but this includes CA and southern records that may include overwintering reproductives
Other early records that stood out include:
Eggs observed in PA on 4/8/2006
Eggs observed in MO on 4/16/2006, 4/19/2006
Eggs observed in MO on 4/23/2007
Eggs observed in MO on 4/30/2008 (all four same location)
Eggs observed in GA on 4/19/2003
Eggs observed in GA on 4/26/2003 (observer “Altizer” - so prob unreliable)
Eggs observed in IL on 4/19/2000 & 4/26/2000
Eggs observed in IL on 4/27/2006 (all 3 same location)
Eggs observed in IN on 4/28/2006
Eggs observed in IN on 4/30/2008 (both IN, same city but diff observers)
Firsts observed in NC on 4/26/2006
There are several early May records that could also be considered “early”, but a lot, so at this point, I haven’t looked at these

5. Journey North Focus on April or earlier records
I think this will take a more seasoned person than me – but here are some records that stood out:
MD 3/25 (then none till 2nd half of April, but then throughout)
VA 3/29 (then commonly after 4/8)
CT 4/22 (other early 4/28, 4/29, 5/1,5/1, etc…)
WV mid-April on…
NY a smattering in mid-to-late April, then throughout May
ON a smattering in late April, then throughout May
PA had many sightings throughout 2nd half of April
DC 4/25
DE 4/26 (but other early 4/28,4/30, etc…)
NJ throughout April
MA 4/26, then not until May
NH 4/19, 4/29, 5/8, then all past May 23
ME, VT, NB has several throughout May
GA, SC each has 2 in mid February, then throughout March…
NC throughout March; TN throughout mid-March on
IA in late April (23-30)
IL, KS, KY, MO had many sightings throughout April
IN, MI, OH had sightings throughout 2nd half of April
WI 4/20, 4/24, then throughout May
MN 3/22 – then 4/29, 5/3, then throughout May
SD 4/22, 4/30, then mid-May on