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Emerging Research Opportunities at the Climate Modeling Laboratory NC State University (Presentation at NIA Meeting: 9/04/03) Fredrick H. M. Semazzi North.

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Presentation on theme: "Emerging Research Opportunities at the Climate Modeling Laboratory NC State University (Presentation at NIA Meeting: 9/04/03) Fredrick H. M. Semazzi North."— Presentation transcript:

1 Emerging Research Opportunities at the Climate Modeling Laboratory NC State University (Presentation at NIA Meeting: 9/04/03) Fredrick H. M. Semazzi North Carolina State University Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences & Department of Mathematics

2 For Details http://climlab4.meas.ncsu.edu
Emerging Research Opportunities at the Climate Modeling Laboratory NC State University For Details

3 RESEARCH OPPORTUNITIES
MAIN AREAS OF EMERGING RESEARCH OPPORTUNITIES High Resolution Nested Regional Climate Prediction Models High Resolution Global Atmospheric Prediction Models

4 Equations of Motion

5 MODEL NUMERICAL-DOMAIN

6 PERFORMANCE IN AN SIMULATING CLIMATOLOGY (IRI)
OND ACTUAL RAINFALL (MM/DAY) AVERAGE PERFORMANCE IN AN SIMULATING CLIMATOLOGY (IRI) AVERAGE Observations ENCHAM GCM RCM-Low Resolution Model RCM-High Resolution Model Comparison of models performance

7

8 Optimization of Regional Numerical Models Based on Useable Prediction Skill

9 Useable Skill (Palmer et al, 1999)

10 Fig.2: Algorithm for computation of forecast value (V) & optimization
USER SECTOR CLIMATE OBSERVATIONS PREDICTION MODEL Define (E) Identity C & L Observe E Compute Set Parameters Forecast E Region 1 observed Fst No   Yes   No Yes Parameter update and optimization Region 2 Region 9 ROC Perfect Prediction Model H Climatology Prediction Model F See fig.3 Fig.2: Algorithm for computation of forecast value (V) & optimization

11 Global Atmospheric Model ================== Variable Resolution Nonhydrostatic Global Semi-implicit Semi-Lagrangian

12 Global Variable Resolution Grid
No lateral boundary conditions Multiple scales Single code for multiple problems Flexible (easy to customize for different regions) Simplifies maintenance and optimization with only one code

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14 Variable Resolution Grid

15 Nonhydrostatic Dymanics
Increasing resolutions of atmospheric models Little additional computational cost Some atmospheric phenomena are nonhydrostatic (e.g. tropical cyclones)

16 Bates NASA GODDARD GCM Day 2 - 500 hPa NC STATE UNIVERSITY GCM
Bates et al (1993) NC STATE UNIVERSITY GCM Semazzi et al (2003)

17 400 m resolution-courant#=3
Hydrostatic Non-Hydrostatic 400 m resolution-courant#=3

18 Hydrostatic Non-Hydrostatic
2 km resolution

19 Future Work in collaboration with NASA and other organizations …
Optimization of Regional Numerical Models Based on Useable Prediction Skill Efficiency improvements to semi-implicit semi-Lagrangian (SISL) numerical scheme: solver, interpolation Physical parameterization: heating, friction, convection, moisture, etc. Parallel version in collaboration with NASA and other organizations …


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