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OVERVIEW ON POPULATION AGEING IN VIETNAM:

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Presentation on theme: "OVERVIEW ON POPULATION AGEING IN VIETNAM:"— Presentation transcript:

1 OVERVIEW ON POPULATION AGEING IN VIETNAM:
Session 1/2c OVERVIEW ON POPULATION AGEING IN VIETNAM: CURRENT STATUS, TRENDS AND IMPACTS Nguyen Van Tan Deputy General Director in -charge, General Office for Population- Family Planning

2 CONTENT Current status Trends Impacts

3 1. CURRENT STATUS Overview on Population Ageing in Vietnam:
Current status, Trends and Impacts 1. CURRENT STATUS

4 VIETNAM IS IN THE PROCESS OF POPULATION AGEING
Year Total population (million) 60+ (million) Ratio (%) 65+ ratio (%) 1979 53.74 3.71 6.9 4.7 1989 64.38 4.64 7.2 1999 76.33 6.19 8.1 5.8 2009 85.84 7.45 8.68 6.4 2010 86.75 8.15 9.4 6.8 2011 87.61 8,.65 9.9 7.0 In the three decades ( ) there was an increase of points per year (65+) During there was an increase of points/year In 2011: Vietnam officially entered the stage of population aging Source: GSO, Census & Housing Survey 1979, , and the Survey on Population-Family Planning Changes, 2011

5 65+ proportion/ total population
Session 1/2c The elderly mainly living in rural areas, as famers, and engaged in agricultural activities Regions 65+ proportion/ total population (%) Northern midlands & mountainous areas 6,0 Red River delta 8,3 Northern central zone & central coastal zone 7,8 Tay Nguyen Highlands 4,0 Southeastern zone 4,7 Cuu Long River delta 6,1 > 70% tự lao động kiếm sống > 25.5% have pension/social allowance The area of ​​agricultural land is shrinking, coupled with natural disasters; low income. Source: GSO,General Census & Housing Survey 2009 , Elderly Census Survey 2011

6 Session 1/2c The elderly in Vietnam mainly living with their children and grand children The elderly in Vietnam mainly living with their children and grand children while the trend is of a changing family structure 72,3% living with children and grand children, High population of the elderly living alone Lonely elderly females are 5.44 times as many as lonely elderly males Living alone is a big disadvantage for the elderly, because the family is always the basic support for each member in old age. Source:Viet Nam National Committee on Ageing (VNCA), National Elderly Survey, Ten Years’ Madrid Report, 2012.

7 FEMINIZATION OF THE ELDERLY POPULATION
Session 1/2c Females accounting for a high percentage of the elderly population 60-69: 1 male: 1.3 females 70-79: 1 male: 1.5 females 80+: 1 male: 2 females This has led to the phenomenon of "feminization of the elderly population" in Vietnam (the life expectancy of women is always higher than that of men). Age group Number of elderly women per 100 elderly men 60-69 131 70-79 149 80+ 200 However, older women are often more at risk than older men in terms of income, health status, and access to health care services and health insurance. Source: GSO, General Census & Housing Survey 2009

8 POOR HEALTH STATUS Session 1/2c Despite the high average life expectancy (73 years), the burden of disease of the Vietnamese people is also high (15.3 years WHO, 2009) The dual burden of diseases (95% of the elderly suffer from diseases, mainly chronic non-communicable diseases) 27%: Meet with difficulties in daily activities 60% of elderly women support older men and the other way round is 30% 67.2%: poor , very poor health condition; 5%: good The percentage of females having poor health is higher than that of males, higher in rural areas than in urban areas 35%: Feeling (at least several times) sad, disappointed 22%: Feeling lonely 33%: Do not share with anyone happiness or sadness Source: Viet Nam National Committee on Ageing (VNCA), National Elderly Survey, Ten Years’ Madrid Report, 2012.

9 STILL LIVING A DIFFICULT LIFE 18% living in poor households
Session 1/2c STILL LIVING A DIFFICULT LIFE 18% living in poor households The older the age the poorer they become Women are poorer than men Rural residents are poorer than urban residents 70% of the elderly have no material accumulation or savings 62,3%: Needy with difficulties (Rural: 68%, Urban: 50%) 27,6%: Think that the economy is getting worse More than 30% live in solid houses Nearly 10% live in temporary houses Source:Viet Nam National Committee on Ageing (VNCA), National Elderly Survey, Ten Years’ Madrid Report, 2012.

10 TRENDS Overview on Population Ageing in Vietnam:
Current status, Trends and Impacts TRENDS

11 REDUCED FERTILITY RATE
Total fertility rate, Viet Nam, Source: GSO, Census & Housing Survey 1979, , and the Annual Surveys on Population-Family Planning Changes.

12 REDUCED MORTALITY RATE
Session 1/2c REDUCED MORTALITY RATE Infant mortality rates (of children under 1 year old) (%o) Mortality rate: Reduced: CDR, IMR, MMR all reduced IMR reduced quickly Advances in Medicine, Hygiene, Nutrition … The socio-economic conditions of the country are improved Nguồn: TCTK, Tổng Điều tra DS & Nhà ở 1979, 1989, 1999, 2009

13 LIFE EXPECTANCY OF THE 60+ POPULATION
Session 1/2c LIFE EXPECTANCY OF THE 60+ POPULATION Life expectancy of the 60+population Of Viet Nam and some countries, regions, 2010 Life expectancy of the population is very high and keeps growing Viet Nam: 21.5; equivalent to that of developed countries Japan Australia France Canada South Korea UK USA Developed countries Europe Vietnam The world China Russia Developing countries Source: UN, Population Ageing and Development 2012

14 VIETNAM IS IN THE PROCESS
OF AGEING POPULATION Forecast of population proportion by age group, Vietnam 0-14: Gradually reduced “Golden population” 65+: Keep growing Source: GSO, Population Projections ; Population and Family Planning Survey 1 April 2012

15 VIETNAM IS IN THE PROCESS
OF AGEING POPULATION Forecast of the 65+ population, Viet Nam, Source: GSO, Vietnam Population Forecast

16 Session 1/2c THE PERIOD OF TRANSITIONING FROM “AGEING POPULATION” TO “AGED POPULATION” IS SHORT The period of transitioning from “ageing population” to “aged population” of Vietnam and some countries Proportion of the population is fast growing The aging index increased sharply Vietnamese people's life expectancy is increasing The transition from the "ageing population" to the “aged population" of Vietnam takes 15 to 18 years, much shorter than that of many countries, including the more developed countries. Source: Kinsella and Gist, 1995; Census Bureau, 2005; Vietnam GSO, 2010

17 The elderly population increased rapidly in the oldest age group
Session 1/2c The elderly population increased rapidly in the oldest age group The elderly population in Vietnam (proportion % of total population) Age group 1979 1989 1999 2009 2019 2029 2039 2049 60-64 2.28 2.40 2.31 2.26 4.29 5.28 5.80 7.04 65-69 1.90 2.20 1.81 2.78 4.56 5.21 6.14 70-74 1.34 1.40 1.58 1.65 1.67 3.36 4.30 4.89 75-79 0.90 0.80 1.09 1.16 1.91 3.28 3.87 80+ 0.54 0.70 0.93 1.47 1.48 1.55 4.16 South Korea's averaged life expectancy is 80.5 years, the proportion of the elderly (65+) is 11% of total population, but the number of people over 100 years old is only 1,836 (0.0037% of total population). The averaged life expectancy of Vietnam is 72.8 (2009); the proportion of the elderly population (65+) is 6.6% of the total population, but the population over 100 years is 7,200 (accounting for % of the total population). Thus, although the proportion of the elderly population and averaged life expectancy in Vietnam is lower than that of South Korea, the proportion of the elderly of 100 years and older in Vietnam is times that of South Korea.

18 IMPACTS Overview on Population Ageing in Vietnam:
Current status, Trends and Impacts IMPACTS

19 Session 1/2c IMPACTS The social security system does not meet the needs of the elderly The health care system has not met the growing needs of the elderly Changes in the age distribution will affect the economy through significant changes in the size and composition of the working-age population and the composition of individual consumption. Challenges in the work of planning, policy making There are no programs, solutions in place to adapt to aging population There is no fund for care of the elderly people There is no system of concentrated long-term care facilities 30% of the elderly do not have any kind of health insurance. 54.6% of the elderly need treatment. Rural residents need more than urban residents. 70% of the elderly have to pay for health care services, medicines (among those treated) Main treatment at district, provincial and central hospitals 50% can not afford treatment => No treatment More than 16% are not satisfied

20 and hospitals under the line ministries
IMPACTS . The medical-geriatric system is still inadequate and poorly equipped failing to meet the needs for addressing chronic diseases which are characteristic of the elderly At present, there are 49 departments of geriatric medicine in provincial hospitals, centrally-administered city hospitals and hospitals under the line ministries

21 NUMBER OF HEALTH CARE FACILITIES THAY HAVE GEATRIC DEPARTMENTS
Number of hospitals that have geriatric departments: 49 Number of hospital departments that have separate wards or separate treatment areas for the elderly: 270 Number of beds for patients who are the elderly : 5.568 Number of village/ hamlet health workers trained in geriatric medicine: 957 The number of elderly patients receiving regular health check-ups: 1,057,750 Number of the elderly people with health records : 894,004 Number of the elderly people provided with knowledge on health care for the elderly people : 1,909,403 Source: Ministry of Health. Reports of 30/63 provincial /city health departments, 14 central hospitals and hospitals of other sectors. (Report on Orientation of the Health System to Meet the Needs of the Elderly: Vietnam Situation Analysis by WHO and National Institute for Health Policy and Policy, October 2015.

22 THANK YOU SO MUCH!


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