1. Commission of the UE Genedec project (FP6-502184)
Rural Development Policy:
Possible Impact on Agricultural Productivity in Old and New Member States
Commission of the UE Genedec project (FP )
Elisa Montresor Univeristy of Verona – Italy
Francesco Pecci University of Verona - Italy
Maria Sassi University of Pavia - Italy

2. Importance of the analysis
Fostering and enabling
policy and institutional
environment
Encouraging agricultural
productivity and
competitiveness
Rural
Development Policy
( )
Strategic priorities
Encouraging non-farm
growth activity
Improving social
well-being, gender
equity, managing risk,
reducing vulnerability
The rural development policy for the programming period has stated five strategic priorities:
Encouraging sustainable
management of natural
resources

3. Importance of the analysis
Relationship between
local agricultural systems and
local socio-economic systems
The analysis of the
territorial systems
Impact of policy sensitive
socio-economic and environmental
variables on agriculture productivity
Policy making
process
Within this framework the agricultural sector is called to strongly interact with local socio-economic and environmental factor for rural development and its competitiveness (one of the main objective of the CAP reform) is going to be affected by the policy action on the policy sensitive socio-economic and environmental variable.
In this context today there is the need for territorial analysis aimed at understanding the relationship between the local agricultural systems and the local socio-economic systems and in the light of this relationship it is relevant the understanding of the impact of …. A key analysis for the policy making process required to both the old and new Member States by the new rural development policy and the modulation and cross-compliance introduced by the CAP reform.
Importance for the old and
new Member States
The Rural
Development Policy,
Modulation and
Cross-compliance

4. The CAP regionalization?
Impact of policy
sensitive socio-economic
environmental variables on
agriculture productivity
Agricultural territorial
systems within
homogeneous
socio-economic systems
1. Importance of the analysis
2. Object of the analysis
The CAP regionalization?
Object of the analysis
Spatial stationary and
non-stationary
parameters
Insights for territorial and
decentralised intervention policymaking
Groups of homogeneous
regions

5. Data processing chain 4. Adjustment 5. Initial data 1. Initial data
1. Importance of the analysis
4. Adjustment
and integration
5. Initial data
set
2. Object of the analysis
1. Initial data
set
3. Data processing chain
6. AIC +
multicollinearity
7. Indicators
for mixed
GWRs
2. PCA
3. Local agricultural
and socio-economic
systems
8a. Spatial
Stationary
parameters
8b. Spatial
Non-stationary
parameters
10. Regionalization
results
9.Kohonen SOM
classification

6. Indicators: analytical framework
1. Importance of the analysis
Common
2. Object of the analysis
Environmental, food safety and animal welfare standards
Cross-compliance and good practices
3. Data processing chain
- Competitiveness
- Environment and
Country side
- Quality of life and
Diversification of
Rural areas
4. Indicators: analytical framework
- Competitiveness
- Multifunctionality
- Sustainability
Farmers:
free to produce what the market needs
Rural development
Consumers
Taxpayers
Decoupling
Single farm
payments
Modulation
Agricultural Policy

7. Agricultural productivity
Indicators
1. Importance of the analysis
205 regions EU-25
2. Object of the analysis
Demographic
features
Innovation and
diversification
3. Data processing chain
4. Indicators
Agricultural productivity
Socio-economic
context
Efficiency and
competitiveness
Environmental
sustainability

8. Results: Spatial Non-stationary Parameters
1. Importance of the analysis
The variables affecting only locally the agricultural
productivity are not only agricultural but also
socio-economic and environmental variables
2. Object of the analysis
3. Data processing chain
4. Indicators
Farmers age structure
Agricultural environmental
sustainability
5. Results: Non-stationary parameters
Overall Economic
development
Overall and rural labour
market
Infrastructure
Demographic features

9. Results: Cluster analysis EU-25
1. Importance of the analysis
Cluster 5 (11) – Economic development, demographic structure, social infrastructure, rural labour market
Cluster 2 (20) – economic development, demographic structure, infrastructure, rural labour market and agricultural environmental sustainability
2. Object of the analysis
3. Data processing chain
Cluster 3 (58) – Farmer age structure
4. Indicators
Cluster 6 (21) – Part-time labour and farmers age structure
5. Results: Non-stationary parameters
Cluster 4 (18) – Infrastructures, rural labour market and agricultural environmental sustainability
5.1. Results: Cluster analysis EU-25
Cluster 8 (21) – Economic development, labour market, agricultural environmental sustainability
Cluster 1 (14) – Labour market and infrastructure
Cluster 7 (44) – Labour market

10. 1. Importance of the analysis
2. Object of the analysis
3. Data processing chain

11. Conclusions Regionalization Variables affecting
1. Importance of the analysis
Relationship between local
agricultural systems and
local socio-economic systems
Variables affecting
locally the agricultural
productivity are not only
agricultural but also
socio-economic and
environmental
2. Object of the analysis
3. Data processing chain
Regions and Member States competitiveness capacity
4. Indicators
Spatial coherence among
groups of regions sharing
geographic borders and sometime
coincident with the reference
State borders
Great diversity between
clusters in terms of profile
5. Results: Non-stationary parameters
Regionalization
Financial resources
5.1. Results: Cluster analysis EU-25
6. Conclusions