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The State of Public Opinion about Nuclear Energy in the United States John C. Besley, Ph.D., Associate Professor and Ellis N. Brandt Chair
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Part 1: Publicly reported polls Part 2: Academic research
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Bisconti Research for the Nuclear Energy Institute (data collection by GfK Rober and Quest Global Research, n = 1000) Fukushima
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Bisconti Research for the Nuclear Energy Association (data collection by GfK Rober and Quest Global Research)
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Did initial questions push people toward support?
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Annual Environment Poll (March, 2016, n = 1,019) Same question as Bisconti/NEA Fukushima Gallup blames decline on fossil fuel price drops (r = ~.50)
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Same question as Bisconti/NEA Fukushima Gallup blames decline on fossil fuel price drops (r = ~.50) Annual Environment Poll (March, 2016, n = 1,019)
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Annual Energy Poll (Online, weighted, n = 2,043) Annual Energy Poll (Online, weighted, n = 2,043)
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Annual Energy Poll (Online, weighted, n = 2,043)
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Fukushima % Favor
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Nuclear one of many issues where (AAAS) scientists and public have different views
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Pew Research Center Fukushima Part I: Summary of Public Polls
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Older, more conservative, males, and higher educated statistically more likely to support building more plants (+ all issues a little different)
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Part 2: Academic research
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There are issues where the public knows what it wants and thus has stable preferences. Is nuclear energy one of them?
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Predictors of “increase” nuclear use (in areas with existing nuclear): Older, whiter, richer male Nuclear familiarity (r partial = -.07) Coal risk (r partial = -.08) Nuclear risks (r partial = -.48) Trust in regulator (r partial = -.05) (Not environmentalism or ideology)
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Predictors of “yes” to nuclear energy: Older, whiter, male, more educated Preference for greater reliance on wind/other renewables (B =.52) Nuclear waste storage concerns ( B =.30) Trust in nuclear operators (B =.11) Trust in federal regulators (B =.05)
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Nuclear energy attitudes have similar structure to other attitudes about other technologies
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N = 1,000, Knowledge Network Nuclear support a function of … Accidents/health Transporting waste Knowledge Energy shortage Adequate regulation
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Controlling for other predictors, the best issue specific predictors of overall risk/benefit perceptions and support are: Accidents/health Long-term storage Climate change Air pollution Energy Independence Unpublished, 2011 Post-Fukushima Data: Issue Specific Concerns, Risks/Benefits, Support N = 1,000, Knowledge Network
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Final thought: What is it that you want from the public? Support? Non-opposition? Something else?
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