1. A global energy revolution is both necessary and inevitable! Katherine Richardson Professor og Vice Dean, University of Copenhagen Chairman for ”Climate Commission”

2. 2009 2100?

3. The Congress is sponsored by:

4. AIR TEMPERATURE CHANGE

5. Blue:1961-2003 Red:1993-2003

6. Surface ocean temp rising 50% faster than predicted

7. Polar Ice sheets melting faster than predicted at last IPCC

8. Sea-level rising faster than predicted Rise of approx. 1 m or more expected by 2100

9. “much better than expected”? “Over the past two years, sea levels have not increased at all — actually, they show a slight drop. Should we not be told that this is much better than expected?“ Björn Lomborg “Let the data speak for itself” The Guardian, 14 Oct 2008

10. Emissions rising faster than predicted 2006 2005 2007 SRES (2000) growth rates in % y -1 for 2000-2010: A1B: 2.42 A1FI: 2.71 A1T: 1.63 A2: 2.13 B1: 1.79 B2: 1.61 Observed 2000 – 2006 3.3%

11. High CO 2 causing ocean acidification

12. From R. Buddemeier, based on Kleypas et al. 1999

13. (Smith et al. 2009 PNAS) Updated Reasons for Concern EU 2°C-Guardrail Source: H.J. Schellnhuber

14. Why should we stop burning fossil fuels? Because of their contribution to climate change. Because fossil fuels create geopolitical tensions (national security issues, economic vulnerability of fluctuating fuel prices, energy security..) Because fossil fuels are finite resources – oil: 41 years, natural gas: 60 years, coal: 133 years (source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2008)

15. 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 19902000201020202030 mb/d Natural gas liquids Non-conventional oil Crude oil - yet to be developed (inc. EOR) or found Crude oil - currently producing fields International Energy Agency: World oil production in the Reference Scenario 64 mb/d of gross capacity needs to be installed between 2007 & 2030 – six times the current capacity of Saudi Arabia – to meet demand growth & offset decline

16. Why fossil fuels create geopolitical tensions. Proven reserves - oil (source:BP)

17. Coal Least problematic global distribution of reservesLeast problematic global distribution of reserves Most problematic for climate changeMost problematic for climate change

18. Natural Gas 40 percent better than coal for the climate National security issues.. (Russia, Iran….)

19. EU: Growing import dependency over the next 25 years.

20. KEY MESSAGE: Future energy supplies are not secure...

21. Danmark’s energy source: world expert in renewable energy but there’s a long way to go!

22. A double challenge - to reduce energy use and replace fossil fuels as the primary energy source We have the technology!!

23. Even the International Energy Agency says that an ”Energy Revolution” is necessary Note: In revolutions there are winners and losers… Winners understand what challenges the future will bring and are ready to handle them.

24. In the midst of the COP process… A transition to non-fossil fuel energy sources is a necessity and a prerequisite for economic growth in the not too distant future! We need to change the way we think and speak about dealing with climate change! There is also a world after December 2009!!