1. Special Educational Needs Analysis Wednesday 10 th February 2016 Presented by Nigel Howcutt

2. Agenda. A.Special Educational Need Background / Trend. B.Hounslow SEN Population comparison. C.Financial Comparison

3. Agenda. A.Special Educational Need (SEN) Trend.

4. SEN Demand – Backward Looking 5 to 16 Year olds  Year on year increase of 27.9% between 2010 and 2014 in number of children with a statement of SEN Type of need20102011201220132014 Change in absolute numbers 2010 to 2014 % change 2010 to 2014 ASD158206242271337179113.30% BESD123117 119121-2-1.60% Complex98 111 10466.10% HI4349464749614.00% MED25 242220-5-20.00% MLD2001931992282747437.00% PD646669656957.80% PMLD22253135371568.20% SCD101638514535350.00% SLCN155 152147146-9-5.80% SLD10598899589-16-15.20% SPLD55605967721730.90% VI343234353400.00% Total1,0921,1401,2111,2931,39730527.90%

5. SEN Demand – Forward Looking Projection.  Projected future SEN demand for 2010-2020 using method commissioned from external consultants MIME Type of need 201520162017201820192020 Projected change in absolute numbers 2015-2020 Projected % change 2015-20 ASD/SCD44249956462468973529366.30% BESD11710096988889-28-24.10% MLD2913063183383483728128.00% SLD186179175170164167-19-10.30% HI4342434445 24.90% MED242018 1718-6-25.40% PD931031101211261354244.70% PMLD3739444648501335.30% SLCN1861911942002032052010.50% SPLD8286898691961417.30% VI434446475152921.30% Total1,5431,6101,6971,7911,8691,96442027.20%

6. Agenda. B. Hounslow SEN Population

7. Hounslow SEN Statemented Levels.

8. Hounslow Benchmarking SEN Data Data analysed shows that Hounslow has a bigger demand for of school age population with SEN then other local authorities

9. Hounslow Primary Need Benchmarking. Part 1

10. Hounslow Primary Need Benchmarking. Part 2 Primary Need analysis.  4% Lower proportion of children with learning difficulties.  5% Greater proportion of children with behaviour difficulties.  5% lower proportion of children with speech and language difficulties.  3% lower proportion of children with autism. These variations have a number of variables attributed to them and to fully understand the small variations is very difficult and further work is required.

11. Benchmarking Data

12. Agenda. C. Financial Comparison

13. SEN Spend Benchmarking - Part 1.

14. SEN Spend Benchmarking – Part 2 In 2014 Hounslow spent 13.55% of the DSG on SEN provision. That is 1.71% greater than the England average and 0.5% greater than Hounslow’s comparable neighbours.

15. Benchmarking Average Unit Cost Over the last 2 years the average high needs spend per pupil has increased across England and London. * Section 251 return (actual spend) return used except 2013 and 2014 where budget return has been used SEN per pupil funding20092010201120122013*2014* Hounslow£3,142£3,546£3,807£3,787£3,705£3,670 Ealing£3,359£3,589£3,532£3,682£3,941£3,863 Hillingdon£3,130£3,243£3,356£2,694£3,226£3,265 Slough£3,668£3,805£3,872£4,085£3,025£3,502 Redbridge£4,408£4,454£4,676£5,189£3,890£4,065 Barnet£3,744£3,559£3,266£3,558£3,122£3,629 Harrow£3,892£3,916£3,670£3,866£4,140£4,306 LA Comparable average£3,700£3,761£3,729£3,846£3,557£3,772

16. Financial Summary. Key Facts.  The volume and demand for SEN provision is increasing.  The DSG funding levels are not increasing..  Schools and Local Authorities need to work in partnership to try and delivery more with less.  The challenge is not just a Hounslow issue.

17. 3 Year Cost Projection ?