Meteorological And Hydrologic Cooperation: “Impacts Of Weather, Water And Climate Information on Disaster Preparedness”

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Presentation transcript:

Meteorological And Hydrologic Cooperation: “Impacts Of Weather, Water And Climate Information on Disaster Preparedness”

Division of Emergency Management Mission Statement Ensure that Florida is prepared to respond to emergencies, recovery from them and mitigate their impact.

Extreme Weather Drought / Wildfires Floods Severe Weather Temperature Tropical Cyclones

Are You Using Weather, Water and Climate Information in Making Decisions?

Changing Outcomes Can Emergency Managers utilize forecast products to improve the outcome of an event? Public Information Resource Management Scale of events

If So, What Information Do You Use (Observations, Forecasts, Climate Outlooks)?

Information Used Long Range Mid Range 1 to 3 Days Short Term Warnings

National Weather Service Melbourne, Florida EL Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Home Page

National Weather Service Melbourne, Florida Daily Threats Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook

Keetch-Byram Drought Index

What Weather, Water and Climate Information Do You Not Currently Receive, Which You Need?

Unmet Needs We are still striving to understand how to apply current products to reduce the impact of weather and climate events Formats designed for the non- meteorologist / scientist More data on potential impacts at scales useful to the end users

What Are Your Critical Thresholds of Weather, Water and Climate Information in Order for You to Take Appropriate Action?

Actions In summer 1997, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecast a strong El Nino to develop and continue through the Florida –December 1997 to the "Florida El Nino Summit" in Tallahassee, FL –22-23 February 1998 Florida storm that produced the deadliest tornado outbreak in Florida history, killing 42 people

Where Do You Obtain Your Weather, Water and Climate Information?

Sources U.S. National Weather Service Research Community Access Internet NOAA Weather Wire Service Emergency Managers Weather Information Network

What Inhibits Your Use of Weather Information and What Would Convince You to Routinely Incorporate This Information in Your Decision Making Process?

Inhibitions Lack of skill in applying forecast to actions Consequences of a busted forecast Lack of specificity in long range forecasts Public Officials What is needed Probabilistic Forecast Training

Craig Fugate