CHAPTER 4 BOND PRICES, BOND YIELDS, AND INTEREST RATE RISK.

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CHAPTER 4 BOND PRICES, BOND YIELDS, AND INTEREST RATE RISK

Time Value of Money A dollar today is worth more than a dollar received at some future date. Money may be spent on consumption or saved by investing in real capital assets (machinery) or by buying financial assets (deposits or stock). Investing means giving up consumption.

Time Value of Money (concluded) With a positive time preference for consumption, investment means giving up consumption (opportunity cost). The opportunity cost of giving up consumption is known as the time value of money. It is the minimum rate of return required on a risk-free investment.

Future Value or Compound Value The future value (FV) of a sum (PV) is FV = PV (1+i) n. (1+i) n is referred to as the Future Value Interest Factor. Multiply by the dollar amount involved to calculate the FV of an investment. Interest factor formulas are included in financial calculators.

Present Value The value today (at present) of a sum received at a future date discounted at the required rate of return. Given the time value of money, one is indifferent between the present value today or the future value received in the future.

Present Value (concluded) With risk present, a premium return may be added to the risk-free time value of money. The higher the risk or higher the interest rate, the lower the present value.

Valuing a Financial Asset There are two necessary ingredients for valuing financial assets. –Estimates of future cash flows. The estimates include the timing and size of each cash flow. –An appropriate discount rate. The discount rate must reflect the risk of the asset.

Bond Yields &Interest Rate Risk Bond yields are related to several risks. –Credit or default risk is the chance that some part or all of the interest or principal payments will be delayed or not paid. –Reinvestment risk is the potential variability of market interest rates affecting the reinvestment rate of the periodic interest received resulting in an actual, realized rate different from the expected yield to maturity. –Price risk relates to the potential variability of the market price of the bond caused by a change in market interest rates.