1 Diskusi Panel “Broadband Wireless Access Indonesia, Peluang dan Tantangan” Sept 2, 2010.

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Presentation transcript:

1 Diskusi Panel “Broadband Wireless Access Indonesia, Peluang dan Tantangan” Sept 2, 2010

2 3G Has a Strong Evolution Path LTE is on a Parallel Evolution Path LTE Rel-8 Rel-10 LTE Advanced Rel Enhanced User Experience Improved voice and data capacity Created 04/06/10 CDMA2000 1X Simultaneous 1X Voice and EV-DO Data DO Advanced Rev. A EV-DO Rev. B EV-DO Rel. 0 Rel-9 Rel-7 Rel-8 HSPA Rel-5 Rel-6 WCDMA Rel-99 1X Advanced HSPA+ Rel-10 & Beyond HSPA+ H/W upgrade Multicarrier 2011 Estimated commercial launches, LTE launch assumes multimode devices Excellent Mobile Broadband Voice and Full Range of IP Services LTE Leverages new, wider and TDD spectrum

3 3G Has a Strong Evolution Path LTE is on a Parallel Evolution Path LTE Rel-8 Rel-10 LTE Advanced Rel Enhanced User Experience Improved voice and data capacity CDMA2000 1X Simultaneous 1X Voice and EV-DO Data DO Advanced Rev. A EV-DO Rev. B EV-DO Rel. 0 Rel-9 Rel-7 Rel-8 HSPA Rel-5Rel-6 WCDMA Rel-99 1X Advanced HSPA+ Rel-10 & Beyond HSPA+ H/W upgrade Multicarrier 2011 Estimated commercial launches, LTE launch assumes multimode devices Excellent Mobile Broadband Voice and Full Range of IP Services 4x increase compared to today’s voice capacity Best in class voice capacity DL: 3.1 Mbps UL: 1.8 Mbps DL: 2.4 Mbps UL: 153 kbps DL: 14.7 Mbps 2 UL: 5.4 Mbps DL: 19.6 Mbps 3 and beyond UL: 7.2 Mbps 3 and beyond DL: 9.3 Mbps 1 UL: 5.4 Mbps DL: 384 kbps UL: 384 kbps DL: Mbps UL: 384 kbps DL: Mbps UL: 5.7 Mbps DL: 28 Mbps UL: 11 Mbps DL: 42 Mbps 4 UL: 11 Mbps DL: 84 Mbps 5 (10 MHz) UL: 23 Mbps 5 (10 MHz) DL: 73 – 150 Mbps 6 (10 MHz – 20 MHz) UL: 36 – 75 Mbps 6 (10 MHz – 20 MHz) 1 Peak rate for 3 EV-DO carriers supported by initial implementation. 2 Peak rate for 3 EV-DO carriers with 64QAM in the DL. Rev. B standard supports up to 15 aggregated EV-DO carriers. 3 DO Advanced peak rate for 4 Rev. B carriers with 64 QAM in DL 4 R8 will reach 42 Mbps by combining 2x2 MIMO and HOM (64QAM) in 5 MHz, or by utilizing HOM (64QAM) and multicarrier in 10 MHz. 5 R9 combines multicarrier and MIMO in 10 MHz to reach 84 Mbps. Uplink multicarrier doubles uplink peak data rate to 23 Mbps in 10 MHz. 6 Peak rates for 10 and 20 MHz FDD using 2x2 MIMO, standard supports 4x4 MIMO enabling peak rates of 300 Mbps. TDD rates are a function of up/downlink asymmetry. Peak data rates takes overhead into account, per standards 172 Mbps is achievable in 20 Mhz. 7 Peak rates can exceed 300 Mbps by aggregating multiple 20 MHz carriers planned for LTE Advanced (LTE Rel-10). Peak data rate can exceed 1 Gbps using 4x4 MIMO and at least 80 MHz of spectrum DL: up to 1 Gbps 7 (100 MHz) UL: 375+ Mbps 7 (100 MHz) DL: 168 Mbps (20 MHz) UL: 23 Mbps (10 MHz) Created 04/06/10 LTE Leverages new, wider and TDD spectrum

4 3G: >1B Wireless Subscribers, 2.8B by 2014 LTE: Continued Support Worldwide 3G Operators committed to combined 3G and LTE Strategy Sources: 1 3G - Wireless Intelligence, as of Q2 ’ G WiMAX - Informa, as of Q2 ‘10 3 Wireless Intelligence estimates as of Jul 19 for the quarter ending Jun 30, 2010, GSMA and CDG, Jul Global Mobile Suppliers Association (GSA) Aug 26, G Operators3G Subs Million 3G Operators3G Subs 665 >1 Billion Mobile WiMAX is approaching 3 million subscribers globally since its existence 2 3G adds ~ 3 million approximately every 4 days operators committed to LTE in 33 countries 4 ~22 LTE networks expected to be commercially launched by end LTE network launched

5 3G Global Handset Shipments Expected to Reach Nearly a Billion by 2013 Sources: Average of Yankee Group : Global Mobile Device Monitor/Forecast (Oct09), Informa Telecoms and Media (Oct’09) Note: 3G includes CDMA2000, WCDMA and TD-SCDMA *Shipments refer to sell-through numbers from Informa and Yankee Note: CDMA-based technologies device ASPs are for estimated worldwide device shipments including shipments not reported to Qualcomm. Inclusive: 1X/EVDO/WCDMA/HSDPA *Guidance as of November 4,  Voice–centric devices  Growth in CDMA 2000  Focus on mature regions  Transition to data  Ramp in WCDMA and EV-DO  Significant growth in emerging regions  Continued emerging region growth  Continued penetration into GSM base  DOrA, DOrB, HSPA+ growth 3G Technologies Wholesale Handset ASP Trend

6 LTE: The Global Solution for Unpaired Spectrum LTE FDD Multimode commercial launches LTE FDD single mode LTE TDD Multimode commercial launches 3G Evolution (HSPA/HSPA+, EV-DO Rev. A/B, 1X/DO Advanced) LTE TDD trials TDD Spectrum Bands Potential Spectrum 2.5/2.6 GHz (IMT Extension gap) B40 3 : 2570 MHz to 2620 MHz 50 MHz 2.3 GHz B38 4 : 2300 MHz to 2400 MHz 100 MHz Global TDD Spectrum LTE TDD operator trials in 2010, Commercial launches mid 2011  China and India to deploy LTE TDD  China Mobile committed to LTE TDD, e.g. in 2.3 GHz  Major India BWA operators in 2.3 GHz  Strong industry support  Basically all vendors offering LTE TDD  WiMAX industry support declining 1  Leverages LTE FDD  Shares most of FDD design and standard  Common FDD/TDD core network 1 Examples: Clearwire announced LTE trials in press release Aug 4 th Russia’s Yota announced plans to drop WiMAX in favor of LTE in some markets. 2 Single mode LTE TDD trials 2H2010, multimode trials 1H 2010 and commercial multimode launch mid IMT extension band provides 50 MHz TDD in addition to 70 MHz + 70 MHz FDD in most countries. 2 B38 will e.g. be used for India and China, can provide up to 100 MHz, but less spectrum may be available in some markets.

7 Driving domestic industry, another perspective Potential domestic industry from overall creative concept, app development, local content generation, marketing/promotion, system integration, local customization and handset testing. Gfk Retail Audit Report August 2010: “Local brand acquired ~34.1 % market share incl operator branded”

8 Thank You