SR-1143 | © 2008 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved.. Jamais Cascio Research Affiliate INSTITUTE FOR THE FUTURE Ten-Year Forecast Retreat April.

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Presentation transcript:

SR-1143 | © 2008 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved.. Jamais Cascio Research Affiliate INSTITUTE FOR THE FUTURE Ten-Year Forecast Retreat April 9–10, 2008 THE HEART OF THE MATTER: RESILIENCE

resilience: the capacity of a system to tolerate disturbance without collapsing, to withstand shocks, to rebuild itself when necessary.

ENVIRONMENT: THE BLUE ECONOMY

THE BLUE ECONOMY

the end of fishing

SUSTAINABILITY: FOOD WEBS

FOOD WEBS

extreme planning

POLITICS: OPEN-SOURCE WARFARE

OPEN-SOURCE WARFARE

new model armies

CULTURE: NEW COMMONS

commons: a shared resource, collectively managed and maintained by the people who use it. new commons: a shared resource, previously managed as a private or public good, but, leveraging new knowledge tools newly managed as a commons.

NEW COMMONS

health commons

resilience

SR-1143 | © 2008 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved.. Jamais Cascio Research Affiliate INSTITUTE FOR THE FUTURE Ten-Year Forecast Retreat April 9–10, 2008 THE HEART OF THE MATTER: RESILIENCE