Santhi et al.ASAE1 Environmental and Economic Impacts of Reaching and Doubling the USDA Buffer Initiative Program on Water Quality C. Santhi 1, J. D. Atwood.

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Presentation transcript:

Santhi et al.ASAE1 Environmental and Economic Impacts of Reaching and Doubling the USDA Buffer Initiative Program on Water Quality C. Santhi 1, J. D. Atwood 2, J. Lewis 2, S. R. Potter 1, and R. Srinivasan 1 1 Blackland Research and Extension Center, Texas A&M, 720 East Blackland Road, Temple, TX USDA-NRCS, Resource Assessment Division, Washington D.C.

Santhi et al.ASAE2 Conservation Buffers Strips/small land with permanent vegetation Trap sediment, nutrients, pesticides, bacteria and other pathogens Help wildlife& fish habitat Add recreation and value of farmland

Santhi et al.ASAE3 USDA National Conservation Buffer Initiative Program 2 Million miles of buffer by 2002 National Buffer Council Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) »Continuous signup provision for buffers NRCS Technical Assistance

Santhi et al.ASAE4 Progress of the Buffer Initiative Program

Santhi et al.ASAE5 Assessment of Buffer Initiative Program Identify appropriate farmland (likely to be eligible & enrolled) for buffers Evaluate the economic impacts of converting the farmland to buffers Estimate the environmental changes due to buffers

Santhi et al.ASAE6 Objectives of the Study Evaluate the environmental and economic effects of reaching 2 million miles of buffer (BUFFER2) 4 million miles of buffer (BUFFER4)

Santhi et al.ASAE7 Integrated Modeling Approach Hydrologic modeling system (HUMUS) Agricultural economic model (ASM) Estimate the location and design criteria of buffer acreages BREC

Santhi et al.ASAE8 Hydrologic Unit Model for the United States (HUMUS) Regional scale modeling system developed by USDA-ARS and Blackland Research & Extension Center with financial support from USDA-NRCS » Watershed model(Soil & Water Assessment Tool) to predict flow, sediment and nutrients » GIS Interface to derive weather and spatial data for 2107 HCUs in US

Santhi et al.ASAE9 Buffer simulation through regression equations (Rodriguez et al., 2001) relating trapping efficiencies of sediment and nutrients with strip length and % of cropland buffered

Santhi et al.ASAE10 Agricultural Sector Model (ASM) National scale model developed by Texas A&M University and USDA-NRCS Economic model to simulate market equilibrium effects for resources & commodities Simulates agricultural production and resources and associated economics for 63 subregions in US

Santhi et al.ASAE11 HUMUS was applied over 2107 HCUs in US to estimate the % of sediment, total nitrogen and total phosphorus trapped by BUFFER2 and BUFFER4 scenarios ASM was applied over 63 subregions in US to estimate the costs and benefits associated with BUFFER2 and BUFFER4 scenarios HUMUS-ASM Applications

Santhi et al.ASAE12 Buffer Location & Design Criteria for Buffer Scenarios

Santhi et al.ASAE13 Assumptions in Buffer Scenarios 3.6 acres of cropland/mile of buffer Buffer width 29.7 ft based on 40 acre field Current non-CONCRP buffer acres (1.5 mill. acres) distributed proportional to CONCRP buffer acres across subregions Additional acres for BUFFER2 & BUFFER4 are distributed proportional to the gap btw ‘ideal’ and ‘current’ across subregions except »Increase atleast 20% & 40% in each subregion for BUFFER2 & BUFFER4 »Where greater than 100% of cropland buffered is implied in a particular subregion, re-distribute the acres to other subregions with greater gap Per-acre cost for buffer for BUFFER2 & BUFFER4 at the same level of current CONCRP provision

Santhi et al.ASAE14 Environmental Impacts Results As % reductions in sediment, total nitrogen and total phosphorus Regional level National level

Santhi et al.ASAE15 Reduction in Sediment for BUFFER2(%) South Dakota: 50.7%(BASELINE), 60.8%(BUFFER2) (%change:20) Tennessee: 15.1%(BASELINE), 100.0%(BUFFER2) (%change:562) >25 % 15 to 25 % 10 to 15 % 2 to 10 % < 2% Reductions

Santhi et al.ASAE16 >25 % 15 to 25 % 10 to 15 % 2 to 10 % < 2% Reductions Reduction in Total Nitrogen for BUFFER2(%) South Dakota: 50.7%(BASELINE), 60.8%(BUFFER2) (%change:20) Tennessee: 15.1%(BASELINE), 100.0%(BUFFER2) (%change:562)

Santhi et al.ASAE17 >25 % 15 to 25 % 10 to 15 % 2 to 10 % < 2% Reductions Reduction in Total Phosphorus for BUFFER2(%) South Dakota: 50.7%(BASELINE), 60.8%(BUFFER2) (%change:20) Tennessee: 15.1%(BASELINE), 100.0%(BUFFER2) (%change:562)

Santhi et al.ASAE18 National Estimates # Estimates based on area weighted average for cropland and non-cropland

Santhi et al.ASAE19 Reduced commodity production; Food inelastic demand; Price increases for producers; Producer’s benefit more than cost Cost increases for consumers due to reduced production Economic Impacts

Santhi et al.ASAE20 Annual Economic Impacts

Santhi et al.ASAE21 Water quality and economic analyses showed buffer programs to be cost effective More research needed to enhance landowners participation in the buffer programs Conclusions

Santhi et al.ASAE22 United States Dept. of Agriculture-National Resources Conservation Service ( Blackland Research&Extension Center ( Thank You