PACS 4500 Senior Seminar in Peace and Conflict Studies Section 001 Guy Burgess

Careers

Pushing the Bureaucracy

Middle East Primer eastern-primer.html?emc=eta1

Rich and Poor many-people-feel-poor/283334/

The Diminishing Middle-Class Market the-business-world.html?hp&_r=0&referrer=

Psychological Impacts of Inequality

Secular Stagnation summers/

Reading Reflections / D2L Grades  Level of Effort  Number of Points  Evidence of Having Done the Readings  Personal Reflections  Timeliness

Project Ideas?

Complex Systems Organic Systems and Metaphors

Situational Awareness

Systems Thinking

Alpha Male Effect “Power Over” Relatively Simple

“Meek Shall Inherit the Earth” Effect “Power With” Extremely Difficult

The E-Bay vs. Unity of Effort

Learning Accelerator

Readings Reflections

The Opportunity Coalition com/2014/01/31/opi nion/brooks-the- opportunity- coalition.html?partn er=rssnyt&emc=rss &_r=0

NOT the Post-It Note Excersise

Inequality Problems at the Top – Assortative Mating – The Super Star Effect – Money Addiction/Boundless Greed – Others? Problems the Bottom – Single Parenting – Crimes/Incarceration Rates – Unemployment History – Low Educational Expectations – Scarcity-Afflicted Thinking – Others? Systemic Problems – Automation – Kludgeocracy – Reserve Army of the Unemployed – Zero-Some Mentality – Matthew’s Law – Stress Limits on Compassion – Under-Performing Schools – Lance Armstrong Effect – Others

Micro, Meso, Macro Peacebuilding Fractals

Coleman Paradigms

This Week’s Readings

Ricigliano SAT Model  Structures  Attitudes  Transactions

Opportunity Coalition: Systems Thinking Training  Shortcomings of “conventional thinking”  Overview of “systems thinking”  Key/useful ideas  Exercises  Advantages of “systems thinking”  Disadvantages of “systems thinking” / frontiers of the field

Extra Slides

Complicated vs. Complex Systems I Complicated Engineering View System Consciously Designed by Humans Complete Plans of the System Are Available Unified Command-and- control Structure Deterministic Complex Medical View System Evolved Through Processes of Natural and Social Selection No Plans Exist—Only Observational Studies and Theories Decentralized, Multiple Independent Actors Adaptive / Chaotic

Complicated vs. Complex Systems II Complicated Workings of all system components are understood Complete repair possible Applies to simpler, designed systems Space shuttle Computers Complex Workings of only some system components understood Only incremental fixes/improvements Applies to complex, real-world systems Medicine, Ecosystem management, Internet, Economy, Social conflict

Complicated vs. Complex Systems III Complicated All malfunctions can be troubleshooted and repaired (given sufficient funds and political will) Complex Some problems (pathologies/diseases) can be diagnosed and treated, others cannot— treatment varies from: Complete Cure Symptomatic Relief No Successful Treatment -- Chronic Condition -- “Live with It” No Successful Treatment -- “Terminal” Focus on the most threatening pathologies