Using the EAB Cost Calculator Cliff Sadof Department of Entomology Purdue University September 2009.

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Presentation transcript:

Using the EAB Cost Calculator Cliff Sadof Department of Entomology Purdue University September 2009

Management Options 3 Ways to Kill EAB Remove Replace Treat trees with pesticides Management approaches to integrating options SLAM type approach for outlying populations Politically driven plans Pet /historical trees Use EAB Calculator to see what you can afford

Lessons from EAB Calculator You’ll have to pay for something Remove trees killed by EAB Each strategy has distinct effect on forest size Removing all trees leaves smallest forest Replacing all trees temporarily depletes forest Pesticides application if successful saves the most forest Mixing strategies splits the difference Protecting large trees saves more of the forest but costs more Protecting small trees saves less of forest but costs less

Key findings about controlling costs Strategies dependent on pesticides are most sensitive to factors influencing pesticide costs. Strategies dependent on removal and replacement are most sensitive to tree processing costs. Mixed strategies split the difference.

How forest size influences costs Big trees are more expensive to remove than small trees More insecticide and time is needed to effectively protect larger trees from EAB

How is forest size measured? Size of trees Diameter at breast height (Dbh) Number of trees in each size category Number of trees within a Dbh range Cumulative Dbh Sum of the Dbh of remaining trees in the forest

Measure tree circumference 4 feet above the soil line in inches Divide circumference by π (pi), or 3.14 CA FS Measuring DBH

Composition of Indianapolis Ash Trees >42

White Ash 3.5” DBH

White Ash 3.5” Tree

Green Ash 8.5” DBH

Green Ash 8.5” Tree

White Ash 12” Trunk

White Ash 12” Tree

White Ash 22” DBH

White Ash 22” Tree

White Ash 30” DBH

White Ash 30” Tree

White Ash 38” DBH

White Ash 44” DBH

White Ash 44” tree

White Ash 44” Tree

White Ash 3.5-5” DBH

White Ash 6-9” DBH

Green Ash 6 to 11” DBH

Green Ash 12.5 to 13.5” DBH

White Ash 13 to 18.5” DBH

White Ash 26 to 36” DBH

EAB Cost Calculator to: Estimate costs for a management strategy for 25 years. Estimate size of the remaining forest over time Size of forest = Sum of DBH

Cumulative DBH= Sum of all trees

EAB Calculator Default Options Simple Strategies Remove All Replace All Treat All Protect Small Trees Remove >12” DBH Replace > 12” DBH Replace 12” DBH Protect Large Trees Replace < 12” DBH

Longevity of EAB Annual Chemical Control Strategy Based on Field Studies and Indianapolis Tree Growth Model Effectiveness Not Yet Demonstrated Dinotefuran or Imidacloprid once Emmamectin Benzoate Or 2x Imidacloprid

Small and Big Trees in Indianapolis >42 Big Trees Small Trees

Assumptions for Indianapolis Analysis Inventory is accurate Pesticide costs $4, 6, 8, 10/DBH for up to 12,24,36, and >36” DBH Treat every 3 years 2% Ash and 1% Replacement Tree Mortality Replacement tree species grows at same rate as ash 3% Discount Rate 5 years to remove or replace trees

Simple Strategies Remove All Replace all Treat all

Effects of Simple Strategy on Forest Size Remove All Replace all Treat all

Lessons from EAB Calculator Each strategy has distinct cost Removing all trees least expensive Replacing all trees more expensive Pesticide application less expensive in short run, but more expensive in long run

Lessons from EAB Calculator Each strategy has distinct effect on forest size Removing all trees leaves fewest trees Replacing all trees temporarily depletes forest Pesticides application if successful saves the most forest Mixing strategies can help you save some trees, and replace others

Remove All Replace all Treat all Replace> Remove > 12 Costs: Simple vs Save Small

Remove All Replace all Treat all Replace> Remove > 12 Size: Simple vs Save Small

Treat All Replace > 12 Replace < 12 Treat All Replace > 12 Replace < 12 Save Large vs Save Small

How size of smallest trees treated affects 25 year costs Treat and Save All Ash Replace None Replace All Ash Treat None

How size of smallest saved trees affects 25 year forest size Treat All Ash Replace None Replace All Ash Save None