A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 1-1 A Course In Business Statistics 4 th Edition Chapter 1 The Where, Why, and How.

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A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 1-1 A Course In Business Statistics 4 th Edition Chapter 1 The Where, Why, and How of Data Collection

Chap 1-2 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chapter Goals After completing this chapter, you should be able to: Describe key data collection methods Know key definitions:  Population vs. Sample  Primary vs. Secondary data types  Qualitative vs. Qualitative data  Time Series vs. Cross-Sectional data Explain the difference between descriptive and inferential statistics Describe different sampling methods

Chap 1-3 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Descriptive statistics Collecting, presenting, and describing data Inferential statistics Drawing conclusions and/or making decisions concerning a population based only on sample data Tools of Business Statistics

Chap 1-4 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Descriptive Statistics Collect data e.g. Survey, Observation, Experiments Present data e.g. Charts and graphs Characterize data e.g. Sample mean =

Chap 1-5 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Data Sources Primary Data Collection Secondary Data Compilation Observation Experimentation Survey Print or Electronic

Chap 1-6 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Survey Design Steps Define the issue what are the purpose and objectives of the survey? Define the population of interest Formulate survey questions make questions clear and unambiguous use universally-accepted definitions limit the number of questions

Chap 1-7 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Survey Design Steps Pre-test the survey pilot test with a small group of participants assess clarity and length Determine the sample size and sampling method Select Sample and administer the survey (continued)

Chap 1-8 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Types of Questions Closed-end Questions Select from a short list of defined choices Example: Major: __business__liberal arts __science__other Open-end Questions Respondents are free to respond with any value, words, or statement Example: What did you like best about this course? Demographic Questions Questions about the respondents’ personal characteristics Example: Gender: __Female __ Male

Chap 1-9 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. A Population is the set of all items or individuals of interest Examples: All likely voters in the next election All parts produced today All sales receipts for November A Sample is a subset of the population Examples:1000 voters selected at random for interview A few parts selected for destructive testing Every 100 th receipt selected for audit Populations and Samples

Chap 1-10 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Population vs. Sample a b c d ef gh i jk l m n o p q rs t u v w x y z PopulationSample b c g i n o r u y

Chap 1-11 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Why Sample? Less time consuming than a census Less costly to administer than a census It is possible to obtain statistical results of a sufficiently high precision based on samples.

Chap 1-12 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Sampling Techniques Convenience Samples Non-Probability Samples Judgement Probability Samples Simple Random Systematic Stratified Cluster

Chap 1-13 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Statistical Sampling Items of the sample are chosen based on known or calculable probabilities Probability Samples Simple Random SystematicStratifiedCluster

Chap 1-14 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Simple Random Samples Every individual or item from the population has an equal chance of being selected Selection may be with replacement or without replacement Samples can be obtained from a table of random numbers or computer random number generators

Chap 1-15 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Stratified Samples Population divided into subgroups (called strata) according to some common characteristic Simple random sample selected from each subgroup Samples from subgroups are combined into one Population Divided into 4 strata Sample

Chap 1-16 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Decide on sample size: n Divide frame of N individuals into groups of k individuals: k=N/n Randomly select one individual from the 1 st group Select every k th individual thereafter Systematic Samples N = 64 n = 8 k = 8 First Group

Chap 1-17 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Cluster Samples Population is divided into several “clusters,” each representative of the population A simple random sample of clusters is selected All items in the selected clusters can be used, or items can be chosen from a cluster using another probability sampling technique Population divided into 16 clusters. Randomly selected clusters for sample

Chap 1-18 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Key Definitions A population is the entire collection of things under consideration A parameter is a summary measure computed to describe a characteristic of the population A sample is a portion of the population selected for analysis A statistic is a summary measure computed to describe a characteristic of the sample

Chap 1-19 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Making statements about a population by examining sample results Sample statistics Population parameters (known) Inference (unknown, but can be estimated from sample evidence) Inferential Statistics

Chap 1-20 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Inferential Statistics Estimation e.g.: Estimate the population mean weight using the sample mean weight Hypothesis Testing e.g.: Use sample evidence to test the claim that the population mean weight is 120 pounds Drawing conclusions and/or making decisions concerning a population based on sample results.

Chap 1-21 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Data Types Data Qualitative (Categorical) Quantitative (Numerical) DiscreteContinuous Examples: Marital Status Political Party Eye Color (Defined categories) Examples: Number of Children Defects per hour (Counted items) Examples: Weight Voltage (Measured characteristics)

Chap 1-22 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Data Types Time Series Data Ordered data values observed over time Cross Section Data Data values observed at a fixed point in time

Chap 1-23 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Data Types Sales (in $1000’s) Atlanta Boston Cleveland Denver Time Series Data Cross Section Data

A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Data Measurement Levels Ratio/Interval Data Ordinal Data Nominal Data Highest Level Complete Analysis Higher Level Mid-level Analysis Lowest Level Basic Analysis Categorical Codes ID Numbers Category Names Rankings Ordered Categories Measurements

Chap 1-25 A Course In Business Statistics, 4th © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chapter Summary Reviewed key data collection methods Introduced key definitions:  Population vs. Sample  Primary vs. Secondary data types  Qualitative vs. Qualitative data  Time Series vs. Cross-Sectional data Examined descriptive vs. inferential statistics Described different sampling techniques Reviewed data types and measurement levels