Simulations of Binary Black Hole Coalescence Frans Pretorius Princeton University University of Maryland Physics Colloquium May 8, 2007.

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Simulations of Binary Black Hole Coalescence Frans Pretorius Princeton University University of Maryland Physics Colloquium May 8, 2007

Outline Why study binary black hole systems?Why study binary black hole systems? –expected to be among the strongest and most promising sources of gravitational waves that could be observed by gravitational wave detectors –understand the strong-field regime of general relativity Why do we need to simulate them?Why do we need to simulate them? –understanding the nature of the gravitational waves emitted during a merger event may be essential for successful detection –the two-body problem in GR is unsolved, and no analytic solution techniques (perturbative or other) known that could be applied during the final stages of an inspiral and merger MethodologyMethodology –brief overview of numerical relativity, the difficulties in discretizing the field equations, and an evolution scheme based on generalized harmonic coordinates Simulation resultsSimulation results –highlights about what has been learnt about the merger process for astrophysically relevant initial data parameters –binaries in eccentric orbits constructed via scalar field collapse evidence that, to a certain degree, some of the interesting phenomenology of test particle motion persists in the equal mass merger regime, including unstable circular orbits and corresponding zoom-whirl like behaviorevidence that, to a certain degree, some of the interesting phenomenology of test particle motion persists in the equal mass merger regime, including unstable circular orbits and corresponding zoom-whirl like behavior speculative application to the high-energy scattering problemspeculative application to the high-energy scattering problem

Gravitational Waves in General Relativity Einstein’s theory of general relativity states that we live in a 4 dimensional, curved spacetimeEinstein’s theory of general relativity states that we live in a 4 dimensional, curved spacetime –curvature is responsible for what we describe as the force of gravity –matter/energy is responsible for curvature in the geometry –localized disturbances in the geometry propagate at the speed of light — these are gravitational waves –bulk motions of dense concentrations of matter/energy produce gravitational waves that may be strong enough to detect

Weak field nature of gravitational waves Far from the source, the effect of a gravitational wave is to cause distortions in the geometry transverse to the direction of propagationFar from the source, the effect of a gravitational wave is to cause distortions in the geometry transverse to the direction of propagation Two linearly independent polarizations (+ and x)Two linearly independent polarizations (+ and x) –schematic effect of a wave, traveling into the slide, on the distances between an initially circular ring of particles: + x time

The network of gravitational wave detectors LIGO Hanford LIGO Livingston ground based laser interferometers LIGO/VIRGO/GEO/TAMA space-based laser interferometer (hopefully with get funded for a 201? Lauch) LISA ALLEGRO/NAUTILUS/AURIGA/… resonant bar detectors ALLEGRO AURIGA Pulsar timing network, CMB anisotropy The Crab nebula … a supernovae remnant harboring a pulsar Segment of the CMB from WMAP

source frequency (Hz) source frequency (Hz) source “strength” source “strength” relics from the big bang, inflation relics from the big bang, inflation exotic physics in the early universe: phase transitions, cosmic strings, domain walls, … exotic physics in the early universe: phase transitions, cosmic strings, domain walls, … 1-10 M ๏ BH/BH mergers 1-10 M ๏ BH/BH mergers NS/BH mergers NS/NS mergers pulsars, supernovae EMR inspiral EMR inspiral NS binaries WD binaries M ๏ BH/BH mergers M ๏ BH/BH mergers >10 6 M ๏ BH/BH mergers >10 6 M ๏ BH/BH mergers CMB anisotropy Pulsar timing LISALIGO/… Bar detectors Overview of expected gravitational wave sources

Binary black holes in the Universe strong, though circumstantial evidence that black holes are ubiquitous objects in the universestrong, though circumstantial evidence that black holes are ubiquitous objects in the universe –supermassive black holes ( 10 6 M ๏ M ๏ ) thought to exist at the centers of most galaxies high stellar velocities near the centers of galaxies, jets in active galactic nuclei, x-ray emission, …high stellar velocities near the centers of galaxies, jets in active galactic nuclei, x-ray emission, … –more massive stars are expected to form BH’s at the end of their lives a few dozen candidate stellar mass black holes in x-ray binary systems … companion too massive to be a neutron stara few dozen candidate stellar mass black holes in x-ray binary systems … companion too massive to be a neutron star VLA image of the galaxy NGC 326, with HST image of jets inset. CREDIT: NRAO/AUI, STScI (inset) detection of gravitational waves from BH mergers would provide direct evidence for black holes, as well as give valuable information on stellar evolution theory and large scale structure formation and evolution in the universedetection of gravitational waves from BH mergers would provide direct evidence for black holes, as well as give valuable information on stellar evolution theory and large scale structure formation and evolution in the universe this will also be an unprecedented test of general relativity, as the last stages of a merger takes place in the highly dynamical and non-linear strong-field regimethis will also be an unprecedented test of general relativity, as the last stages of a merger takes place in the highly dynamical and non-linear strong-field regime Two merging galaxies in Abell 400. Credits: X-ray, NASA/CXC/ AIfA/D.Hudson & T.Reiprich et al.; Radio: NRAO/VLA/NRL)

The two body problem Newtonian gravity solution for the dynamics of two point-like masses in a bound orbit: motion along an ellipseNewtonian gravity solution for the dynamics of two point-like masses in a bound orbit: motion along an ellipse in general relativity there is no (analytic) solution … several approximations with different realms of validityin general relativity there is no (analytic) solution … several approximations with different realms of validity –test particle limit geodesic motion of a particle about a black hole (i.e. self-gravity of particle is ignored)geodesic motion of a particle about a black hole (i.e. self-gravity of particle is ignored) already get some very interesting behavioralready get some very interesting behavior –perihelion precession –unstable and chaotic orbits –“zoom-whirl” behavior –Post-Newtonian (PN) expansions self-gravity accounted for, though slow motion (relative to c) and weak gravitational fields assumedself-gravity accounted for, though slow motion (relative to c) and weak gravitational fields assumed begins to incorporate “radiation-reaction”; i.e. how the orbit decays via the emission of gravitational wavesbegins to incorporate “radiation-reaction”; i.e. how the orbit decays via the emission of gravitational waves –black hole (BH) perturbation theory can be used to model the “ring-down” of the final BH that is formed in a collisioncan be used to model the “ring-down” of the final BH that is formed in a collision can also describe the radiation caused by a test particle in orbit about the BHcan also describe the radiation caused by a test particle in orbit about the BH binary black hole mergersbinary black hole mergers –all the above assumptions break down close to the merger of comparable mass BHs: self gravity can’t be ignored, the gravitational fields are not weak, and the BHs are moving at sizeable fractions of the speed of light From N. Cornish and J. Levin, CQG 20, 1649 (2003)

Numerical Relativity Numerical relativity is concerned with solving the field equations of general relativity using computers.Numerical relativity is concerned with solving the field equations of general relativity using computers. When written in terms of the spacetime metric, defined by the usual line element the field equations form a system of 10 coupled, non-linear, second order partial differential equations, each depending on the 4 spacetime coordinatesWhen written in terms of the spacetime metric, defined by the usual line element the field equations form a system of 10 coupled, non-linear, second order partial differential equations, each depending on the 4 spacetime coordinates –it is this system of equations that we need to solve for the 10 metric elements (plus whatever matter we want to couple to gravity) –for many problems this has turned out to be quite an undertaking, due in part to the mathematical complexity of the equations, and also the heavy computational resources required to solve them The field equations may be complicated, but they are the equations that we believe govern the structure of space and time (barring quantum effects and ignoring matter). That they can, in principle, be solved in many “real-universe” scenarios is a remarkable and unique situation in physics.The field equations may be complicated, but they are the equations that we believe govern the structure of space and time (barring quantum effects and ignoring matter). That they can, in principle, be solved in many “real-universe” scenarios is a remarkable and unique situation in physics.

Minimal requirements for a formulation of the field equations that might form the basis of a successful numerical integration scheme Choose coordinates/system-of-variables that fix the character of the equationsChoose coordinates/system-of-variables that fix the character of the equations –three common choices free evolution — system of hyperbolic equationsfree evolution — system of hyperbolic equations constrained evolution — system of hyperbolic and elliptic equationsconstrained evolution — system of hyperbolic and elliptic equations characteristic or null evolution — integration along the lightcones of the spacetimecharacteristic or null evolution — integration along the lightcones of the spacetime For free evolution, need a system of equations that is well behaved off the ”constraint manifold”For free evolution, need a system of equations that is well behaved off the ”constraint manifold” –analytically, if satisfied at the initial time the constraint equations of GR will be satisfied for all time –numerically the constraints can only be satisfied to within the truncation error of the numerical scheme, hence we do not want a formulation that is “unstable” when the evolution proceeds slightly off the constraint manifold Need well behaved coordinates (or gauges) that do not develop pathologies when the spacetime is evolvedNeed well behaved coordinates (or gauges) that do not develop pathologies when the spacetime is evolved –typically need dynamical coordinate conditions that can adapt to unfolding features of the spacetime Boundary conditions also historically a source of headachesBoundary conditions also historically a source of headaches –naive BC’s don’t preserve the constraint nor are representative of the physics –fancy BC’s can preserve the constraints, but again miss the physics –solution … compactify to infinity Geometric singularities in black hole spacetimes need to be dealt withGeometric singularities in black hole spacetimes need to be dealt with

Generalized Harmonic Evolution Scheme Einstein equations in generalized harmonic form with constraint damping: where the generalized harmonic constraints are,  is a constant, n  is a unit time-like vector and  are the Christoffel symbolsEinstein equations in generalized harmonic form with constraint damping: where the generalized harmonic constraints are,  is a constant, n  is a unit time-like vector and  are the Christoffel symbols Need gauge evolution equations to close the system; use the following with     and n constants, and  is the so-called lapse function:Need gauge evolution equations to close the system; use the following with     and n constants, and  is the so-called lapse function: Matter stress energy supplied by a massless scalar field  :Matter stress energy supplied by a massless scalar field  :

Computational issues in solving numerical solution of the field equations Each equation contains tens to hundreds of individual terms, requiring on the order of several thousand floating point operations per grid point with any evolution scheme.Each equation contains tens to hundreds of individual terms, requiring on the order of several thousand floating point operations per grid point with any evolution scheme. Problems of interest often have several orders of magnitude of relevant physical length scales that need to be well resolved. In an equal mass binary black hole merger for example:Problems of interest often have several orders of magnitude of relevant physical length scales that need to be well resolved. In an equal mass binary black hole merger for example: radius of each black hole R~2Mradius of each black hole R~2M orbital radius ~ 20M (which is also the dominant wavelength of radiation emitted)orbital radius ~ 20M (which is also the dominant wavelength of radiation emitted) outer boundary ~ 200M, as the waves must be measured in the weak-field regime to coincide with what detectors will seeouter boundary ~ 200M, as the waves must be measured in the weak-field regime to coincide with what detectors will see –Can solve these problems with a combination of hardware technology — supercomputers — and software algorithms, in particular adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) vast majority of numerical relativity codes today use finite difference techniques (predominantly 2 nd to 4 th order), notable exception is the Caltech/Cornell pseudo- spectral codevast majority of numerical relativity codes today use finite difference techniques (predominantly 2 nd to 4 th order), notable exception is the Caltech/Cornell pseudo- spectral code How to deal with the true geometric singularities that exist inside all black holes?How to deal with the true geometric singularities that exist inside all black holes? excisionexcision

Brief (and incomplete) history of the binary black hole problem in numerical relativity L. Smarr, PhD Thesis (1977) : First head-on collision simulationL. Smarr, PhD Thesis (1977) : First head-on collision simulation P. Anninos, D. Hobill, E.Seidel, L. Smarr, W. Suen PRL 71, 2851 (1993) : Improved simulation of head-on collisionP. Anninos, D. Hobill, E.Seidel, L. Smarr, W. Suen PRL 71, 2851 (1993) : Improved simulation of head-on collision B. Bruegmann Int. J. Mod. Phys. D8, 85 (1999) : First grazing collision of two black holesB. Bruegmann Int. J. Mod. Phys. D8, 85 (1999) : First grazing collision of two black holes mid 90’s-early 2000: Binary Black Hole Grand Challenge Alliancemid 90’s-early 2000: Binary Black Hole Grand Challenge Alliance –Cornell,PSU,Syracuse,UT Austin,U Pitt, UIUC,UNC, Wash. U, NWU … head-on collisions, grazing collisions, cauchy-characteristic matching, singularity excision B. Bruegmann, W. Tichy, N. Jansen PRL 92, (2004) : First full orbit of a quasi- circular binaryB. Bruegmann, W. Tichy, N. Jansen PRL 92, (2004) : First full orbit of a quasi- circular binary FP, PRL 95, (2005) : First “complete” simulation of a non head-on merger event: orbit, coalescence, ringdown and gravitational wave extractionFP, PRL 95, (2005) : First “complete” simulation of a non head-on merger event: orbit, coalescence, ringdown and gravitational wave extraction M. Campanelli, C. O. Lousto, P. Marronetti, Y. Zlochower PRL 96, , (2006) ; J. G. Baker, J. Centrella, D. Choi, M. Koppitz, J. van Meter PRL 96, , (2006) … several other groups have now repeated these results: PSU, Jena, AEI, LSU, Caltech/CornellM. Campanelli, C. O. Lousto, P. Marronetti, Y. Zlochower PRL 96, , (2006) ; J. G. Baker, J. Centrella, D. Choi, M. Koppitz, J. van Meter PRL 96, , (2006) … several other groups have now repeated these results: PSU, Jena, AEI, LSU, Caltech/Cornell –note that to go from “a to b” here has required a tremendous amount of research in understanding the mathematical structure of the field equations, stable discretization schemes, dealing with geometric singularities inside black holes, computational algorithms, initial data, extracting useful physical information from simulations, etc.

Current state of the field Two quite different, stable methods of integrating the Einstein field equations for this problemTwo quite different, stable methods of integrating the Einstein field equations for this problem –generalized harmonic coordinates with constraint damping, F.Pretorius, PRL 95, (2005) Caltech/Cornell, L. Lindblom et al., Class.Quant.Grav. 23 (2006) S447-S462Caltech/Cornell, L. Lindblom et al., Class.Quant.Grav. 23 (2006) S447-S462 PITT/AEI/LSU, B. Szilagyi et al., gr-qc/ PITT/AEI/LSU, B. Szilagyi et al., gr-qc/ –BSSN with “moving punctures”, M. Campanelli, C. O. Lousto, P. Marronetti, Y. Zlochower PRL 96, , (2006); J. G. Baker, J. Centrella, D. Choi, M. Koppitz, J. van Meter PRL 96, , (2006) Pennstate, F. Herrmann et al., gr-gc/ Pennstate, F. Herrmann et al., gr-gc/ Jena/FAU, J. A. Gonzalez et al., gr-gc/ Jena/FAU, J. A. Gonzalez et al., gr-gc/ LSU/AEI/UNAM, J. Thornburg et al., gr-gc/ LSU/AEI/UNAM, J. Thornburg et al., gr-gc/ U.Tokyo/UWM, M. Shibata et al, astro-ph/ U.Tokyo/UWM, M. Shibata et al, astro-ph/ U. Sperhake, gr-qc/ U. Sperhake, gr-qc/

Evolution of Cook-Pfeiffer Quasi- circular BBH Merger Initial data This animation shows the lapse function in the orbital plane. The lapse function represents the relative time dilation between a hypothetical observer at the given location on the grid, and an observer situated very far from the system --- the redder the color, the slower local clocks are running relative to clocks at infinity If this were in “real-time” it would correspond to the merger of two ~5000 solar mass black holes Initial black holes are close to non-spinning Schwarzschild black holes; final black hole is Kerr a black hole with spin parameter ~0.7 A. Buonanno, G.B. Cook and F.P.; gr- qc/

Gravitational waves from the simulation A depiction of the gravitational waves emitted in the orbital plane of the binary. Shown is the real component of the Newman Penrose scalar  , which in the wave zone is proportional to the second time derivative of the usual plus-polarization

What does the merger wave represent? Scale the system to two 10 solar mass (~ 2x10 31 kg) BHsScale the system to two 10 solar mass (~ 2x10 31 kg) BHs –radius of each black hole in the binary is ~ 30km –radius of final black hole is ~ 60km –distance from the final black hole where the wave was measured ~ 1500km –frequency of the wave ~ 200Hz (early inspiral) - 800Hz (ring-down) –fractional oscillatory “distortion” in space induced by the wave transverse to the direction of propagation has a maximum amplitude DL/L ~ 3x10 -3 a 2m tall person will get stretched/squeezed by ~ 6 mm as the wave passesa 2m tall person will get stretched/squeezed by ~ 6 mm as the wave passes LIGO’s arm length would change by ~ 12m. Wave amplitude decays like 1/distance from source; e.g. at 10Mpc the change in arms ~ 5x m (1/20 the radius of a proton, which is well within the ballpark of what LIGO is trying to measure!!)LIGO’s arm length would change by ~ 12m. Wave amplitude decays like 1/distance from source; e.g. at 10Mpc the change in arms ~ 5x m (1/20 the radius of a proton, which is well within the ballpark of what LIGO is trying to measure!!) –despite the seemingly small amplitude for the wave, the energy it carries is enormous — around kg c 2 ~ J ~ ergs peak luminosity is about 1/100 th the Planck luminosity of ergs/s !!peak luminosity is about 1/100 th the Planck luminosity of ergs/s !! luminosity of the sun ~ ergs/s, a bright supernova or milky-way type galaxy ~ ergs/sluminosity of the sun ~ ergs/s, a bright supernova or milky-way type galaxy ~ ergs/s

Summary of equal mass quasi-circular merger results Remarkable simplicity in the waveformRemarkable simplicity in the waveform –“plunge/merger” phase very short, ~ 10-20M –waveform dominated by the quadrupole mode –despite some initial eccentricity, the inspiral phase can be well described as a quasi-circular inspiral driven by quadrupole GW emission –close to 4% of the total initial energy of the system is released in gravitational waves; roughly ½ of this in the final couple of orbits, and ½ during the merger/ringdown phase. Though the merger phase is short, it is characterized by a steep rise in the frequency of the waveformThough the merger phase is short, it is characterized by a steep rise in the frequency of the waveform –spans a broad range of frequencies, and depending upon the black hole masses could be the dominant contribution to the LIGO/LISA signal Pre & post merger well approximated by perturbative methodsPre & post merger well approximated by perturbative methods –Post-Newtonian for the inspiral –Black hole perturbation theory for the ring down phase Given the short time between the inspiral and ringdown phases, seems reasonable that it might be possible to construct an analytic mode of the entire merger eventGiven the short time between the inspiral and ringdown phases, seems reasonable that it might be possible to construct an analytic mode of the entire merger event –will need to understand the non-linear excitation of quasi-normal modes (QNM), and probably need higher order PN methods, as naïve constructions quite sensitive to the time of the match

Beyond equal mass, non-spinning mergers Detailed studies underway by several groups --- a couple of highlights:Detailed studies underway by several groups --- a couple of highlights: –“kick” velocity of remnant black hole due to asymmetric beaming of radiation up to 175km/s for non-spinning, unequal mass components [ F. Herrmann et al., gr- qc/ ; J.G. Baker et al. astro-ph/ ; J.A. Gonzalez et al., gr-qc/ ]up to 175km/s for non-spinning, unequal mass components [ F. Herrmann et al., gr- qc/ ; J.G. Baker et al. astro-ph/ ; J.A. Gonzalez et al., gr-qc/ ] typical values for spinning black holes of 100’s km/s, but can be as large as 4000km/s for equal mass black holes with spins vectors anti-aligned and in the orbital plane [ F. Herrmann et al., gr-qc/ ; M. Koppitz et al., gr-qc/ ; M. Campanelli et al. gr-qc/ & gr- qc/gr-qc/ ]typical values for spinning black holes of 100’s km/s, but can be as large as 4000km/s for equal mass black holes with spins vectors anti-aligned and in the orbital plane [ F. Herrmann et al., gr-qc/ ; M. Koppitz et al., gr-qc/ ; M. Campanelli et al. gr-qc/ & gr- qc/gr-qc/ ] –uniform sampling over spin vector orientations and mass ratios for two a=.9 black holes with m1/m2 between 1 and 10 suggested only around 2% parameter space has kicks larger than 1000km/s, and 10% larger than 500km/s [ J. Schnittman & A. Buonanno, astro-ph/ ] –astrophysical population is most likely highly non-uniform, e.g. torques from accreting gas in supermassive merger scenarios tend to align the spin and orbital angular momenta, which will result in more modest kick velocities <~200km/s [ T.Bogdanovic et al, astro-ph/ ] –strong spin-orbit coupling effects near merger that can cause significant precession of the orbital plane and orientation of the spins, as well as enhance (reduce) the gravitational wave energy for spins aligned (anti-aligned) with the orbital angular momentum [ M. Campanelli, et al., PRD 74, (2006) & gr-qc/ ]

Scalar field collapse driven binaries Look at equal mass mergersLook at equal mass mergers –initial scalar field pulses separated a coordinate (proper) distance 8.9M ( 10.8M ) on the x-axis, one boosted with boost parameter k in the +y direction, the other with k in the -y direction note, resultant black hole velocities are related to, but not equal to knote, resultant black hole velocities are related to, but not equal to k To find interesting orbital dynamics, tune the parameter k to get as many orbits as possibleTo find interesting orbital dynamics, tune the parameter k to get as many orbits as possible –in the limit as k goes to 0, get head-on collisions –in the large k limit, black holes are deflected but fly apart Generically these black hole binaries will have some eccentricity (not easy to define given how close they are initially), and so arguably of less astrophysical significanceGenerically these black hole binaries will have some eccentricity (not easy to define given how close they are initially), and so arguably of less astrophysical significance –want to explore the non-linear interaction of BH’s in full general relativity

Scalar field  r, compactified (code) coordinates

Sample Orbit

Lapse function , orbital plane Lapse and Gravitational Waves 6/8h resolution, v= merger example Real component of the Newman-Penrose scalar  4 ( times rM), orbital plane

The threshold of “immediate” merger Tuning the parameter k between merger and deflection, one approaches a very interesting dynamical regimeTuning the parameter k between merger and deflection, one approaches a very interesting dynamical regime the black holes move into a state of near- circular evolution before either merging ( k<k* ), or moving apart again ( k<k* )---at least temporarilythe black holes move into a state of near- circular evolution before either merging ( k<k* ), or moving apart again ( k<k* )---at least temporarily for k near k*, there is exponential sensitivity of the resultant evolution to the initial conditions. In fact, the number of orbits n spent in this phase scales approximately like where for this particular set of initial conditions for k near k*, there is exponential sensitivity of the resultant evolution to the initial conditions. In fact, the number of orbits n spent in this phase scales approximately like where for this particular set of initial conditions  In all cases, to within numerical error the spin parameter of the final black hole for the cases that merge is a~0.7In all cases, to within numerical error the spin parameter of the final black hole for the cases that merge is a~0.7

The threshold of “immediate” merger The binary is still radiating significant amounts of energy (on the order of 1-1.5% per orbit), yet the black holes do not spiral inThe binary is still radiating significant amounts of energy (on the order of 1-1.5% per orbit), yet the black holes do not spiral in Technical comment: the coordinates seem to be very well adapted to the physics of the situation, as the coordinate motion plugged verbatim into the quadrupole formula for two point masses gives a very good approximated to the actual numerical waveform measured in the far-field regime of the simulationTechnical comment: the coordinates seem to be very well adapted to the physics of the situation, as the coordinate motion plugged verbatim into the quadrupole formula for two point masses gives a very good approximated to the actual numerical waveform measured in the far-field regime of the simulation taking these coordinates at face-value, they imply the binaries are orbiting well within the inner- most stable circular orbit of the equivalent Kerr spacetime of the final black holetaking these coordinates at face-value, they imply the binaries are orbiting well within the inner- most stable circular orbit of the equivalent Kerr spacetime of the final black hole

Kerr equatorial geodesic analogue work with D. Khurana, gr-qc/ We can play the same fine-tuning game with equatorial geodesics on a black hole backgroundWe can play the same fine-tuning game with equatorial geodesics on a black hole background –here, we tune between capture or escape of the geodesic –regardless of the initial conditions, at threshold one tunes to one of the unstable circular orbits of the Kerr geometry ( for equatorial geodesics) I.e. any smooth, one parameter family of geodesics that has the property that at one extreme of the parameter the geodesic falls into the black hole, while at the other extreme it escapes, exhibits this behaviorI.e. any smooth, one parameter family of geodesics that has the property that at one extreme of the parameter the geodesic falls into the black hole, while at the other extreme it escapes, exhibits this behavior un-bound orbit example bound orbit example; the threshold orbit in this case is sometimes referred to as a homoclinic orbit

Kerr geodesic analogue cont. Can quantify the unstable behavior by calculating the Lyapunov exponent  of the orbit (or in this case calling it an “instability” exponent may be more accurate)Can quantify the unstable behavior by calculating the Lyapunov exponent  of the orbit (or in this case calling it an “instability” exponent may be more accurate) –easy way: measure n(k-k*), and find the slope  of n versus –ln|k-k*| … . –easier(?) way: do a perturbation theory calculation (following N. Cornish and J. Levin, CQG 20, 1649 (2003)) …

Comparison of  The dashed black lines are the previous formula evaluated for various ranges of a & rThe dashed black lines are the previous formula evaluated for various ranges of a & r The colored dots are from calculations finding the capture- threshold using numerical integration of geodesicsThe colored dots are from calculations finding the capture- threshold using numerical integration of geodesics Technical note: analytic expression derived using Boyer- Lindquist coordinates, numerical integration done in Kerr-Schild coordinates, though neither expect nor see significant differencesTechnical note: analytic expression derived using Boyer- Lindquist coordinates, numerical integration done in Kerr-Schild coordinates, though neither expect nor see significant differences The red-dashed ellipse is the single “dot” from the full numerical experiment performed. The size of the ellipse is an indication of the numerical uncertainty, though the trend suggests that r is slowly decreasing with the approach to threshold, so the ellipse may move a bit to the left if one could tune closer to thresholdThe red-dashed ellipse is the single “dot” from the full numerical experiment performed. The size of the ellipse is an indication of the numerical uncertainty, though the trend suggests that r is slowly decreasing with the approach to threshold, so the ellipse may move a bit to the left if one could tune closer to threshold interestingly, the final spin parameter of the black hole that forms in the merger case is ~0.7interestingly, the final spin parameter of the black hole that forms in the merger case is ~0.7

How far can this go in the non-linear case? System is losing energy, and quite rapidly, so there must be a limit to the number of orbits we can getSystem is losing energy, and quite rapidly, so there must be a limit to the number of orbits we can get Hawking’s area theorem: assume cosmic censorship and “reasonable” forms of matter, then net area of all black holes in the universe can not decrease with timeHawking’s area theorem: assume cosmic censorship and “reasonable” forms of matter, then net area of all black holes in the universe can not decrease with time –the area of a single, isolated black hole is: –initially, we have two non-rotating (J=0) black holes, each with mass M/2 : –maximum energy that can be extracted from the system is if the final black hole is also non- rotating: in otherwords, the maximum energy that can be lost is a factor 1-1/√2 ~ 29% –If the trend in the simulations continues, and the final J~0.7M 2, we still get close to 24% energy that could be radiated the simulations show around 1-1.5% energy is lost per whirl, so we may get close to orbits at the threshold of this fine-tuning process!the simulations show around 1-1.5% energy is lost per whirl, so we may get close to orbits at the threshold of this fine-tuning process!

Can we go even further? The preceding back-of-the-envelope calculation assumed the energy in the system was dominated by the rest mass of the black holesThe preceding back-of-the-envelope calculation assumed the energy in the system was dominated by the rest mass of the black holes What about the black hole scattering problem?What about the black hole scattering problem? –give the black holes sizeable boosts, such that the net energy of the system is dominated by the kinetic energy of the black holes –set up initial conditions to have a one-parameter family of solutions that smoothly interpolate between coalescence and scatter “natural” choice is the impact parameter“natural” choice is the impact parameter –it is plausible that at threshold, all of the kinetic energy is converted to gravitational radiation (think of what happens to a “failed” merger, and what the resultant orbit must look like in the limit) this can be an arbitrarily large fraction of the total energy of the system (scale the rest mass to zero as the boost goes to 1)this can be an arbitrarily large fraction of the total energy of the system (scale the rest mass to zero as the boost goes to 1)

An application to the LHC? The Large Hadron Collider (LHC) is a particle accelerator currently under construction near Lake Geneva, SwitzerlandThe Large Hadron Collider (LHC) is a particle accelerator currently under construction near Lake Geneva, Switzerland –it will be able to collide beams of protons with center of mass energies up to 14 TeV In recent years the idea of large extra dimensions have become popular [ N. Arkani-Hamed, S. Dimopoulos & G.R. Dvali, Phys.Lett.B429: ; L. Randall & R. Sundrum [Phys.Rev.Lett.83: ]In recent years the idea of large extra dimensions have become popular [ N. Arkani-Hamed, S. Dimopoulos & G.R. Dvali, Phys.Lett.B429: ; L. Randall & R. Sundrum [Phys.Rev.Lett.83: ] –we (ordinary particles) live on a 4-dimensional brane of a higher dimensional spacetime “large” extra dimensions are sub-mm in size, but large compared to the 4D Planck length of cm“large” extra dimensions are sub-mm in size, but large compared to the 4D Planck length of cm –gravity propagates in all dimensions The 4D Planck Energy, where we expect quantum gravity effects to become important, is GeV ; however the presence of extra dimensions can change the “true” Planck energyThe 4D Planck Energy, where we expect quantum gravity effects to become important, is GeV ; however the presence of extra dimensions can change the “true” Planck energy A Planck scale in the TeV range is preferred as this solves the hierarchy problemA Planck scale in the TeV range is preferred as this solves the hierarchy problem current experiments rule out Planck energies <~ 1TeVcurrent experiments rule out Planck energies <~ 1TeV Collisions of particles with super-Planck energies in these scenarios would cause black holes to be produced at the LHC!Collisions of particles with super-Planck energies in these scenarios would cause black holes to be produced at the LHC! can “detect” black holes by observing energy loss (from gravitational radiation or newly formed black holes escaping the detector) and/or measuring the particles that should be produced as the black holes decay via Hawking radiationcan “detect” black holes by observing energy loss (from gravitational radiation or newly formed black holes escaping the detector) and/or measuring the particles that should be produced as the black holes decay via Hawking radiation

The black hole scattering problem Consider the high speed collision of two black holes with impact parameter bConsider the high speed collision of two black holes with impact parameter b –good approximation to the collision of two partons if energy is beyond the Planck regime –for sufficiently high velocities charge and spin of the parton will be irrelevant (though both will probably be important at LHC energies) threshold of immediate merger must existthreshold of immediate merger must exist if similar scaling behavior is seen as with geodesics and full simulations of the equal mass/low velocity regime in general, can use the geodesic analogue to obtain an approximate idea of the cross section and energy loss to radiation vs. impact parameter … Ingredients:if similar scaling behavior is seen as with geodesics and full simulations of the equal mass/low velocity regime in general, can use the geodesic analogue to obtain an approximate idea of the cross section and energy loss to radiation vs. impact parameter … Ingredients: –map geodesic motion on a Kerr back ground with (M,a) to the scattering problem with total initial energy E=M and angular momentum a of the black hole that’s formed near threshold –find  and b* using geodesic motion –assume a constant fraction  of the remaining energy of the system is radiated per orbit near threshold (estimate using quadrupole formula ) –Integrate near-threshold scaling relation to find E(b) with the above parameters and the following “boundary” conditions: E(0), E(b*) and –Integrate near-threshold scaling relation to find E(b) with the above parameters and the following “boundary” conditions: E(0), E(b*) and E(infinity) E(b*) must be ~ 1 in kinetic energy dominated regimeE(b*) must be ~ 1 in kinetic energy dominated regime E(infinity)=0E(infinity)=0 E(0) … need some other input, either perturbative calculations, or full numerical simulations.E(0) … need some other input, either perturbative calculations, or full numerical simulations.

The black hole scattering problem What value of the Kerr spin parameter to use?What value of the Kerr spin parameter to use? –in the ultra-relativistic limit the geodesic asymptotes to the light-ring at threshold –it also seems “natural” that in this limit the final spin of the black hole at threshold is a=1. This is consistent with simple estimates of energy/angular momentum radiated quadrupole physics gives the following for the relative rates at which energy vs. angular momentum is radiated in a circular orbit with orbital frequency  :quadrupole physics gives the following for the relative rates at which energy vs. angular momentum is radiated in a circular orbit with orbital frequency  : for the scattering problem with the same impact parameter as a threshold geodesic on an extremal Kerr background, the initial J/E 2 =1. The Boyer-Lindquist value of E  is ½ for a geodesic on the light ring of an extremal Kerr BH, in that regime d(J/ E 2 )=0for the scattering problem with the same impact parameter as a threshold geodesic on an extremal Kerr background, the initial J/E 2 =1. The Boyer-Lindquist value of E  is ½ for a geodesic on the light ring of an extremal Kerr BH, in that regime d(J/ E 2 )=0 But now we have a bit of a dilemma, as the extremal Kerr background has no unstable circular geodesics, and hence  tends to infinity in this limitBut now we have a bit of a dilemma, as the extremal Kerr background has no unstable circular geodesics, and hence  tends to infinity in this limit –will use a close to but not exactly 1 to find out what E(b) might look like

Sample energy radiated vs. impact parameter curves (normalized) An estimate of E(0) from Cardoso et al., Class.Quant.Grav. 22 (2005) L61-R84An estimate of E(0) from Cardoso et al., Class.Quant.Grav. 22 (2005) L61-R84 Cross section for black hole formation (b 1). Suggests effective cross section signaling strong gravitational interaction could be several times larger than thisCross section for black hole formation (b 1). Suggests effective cross section signaling strong gravitational interaction could be several times larger than this dE/dn ~  /40 in this limit, so expect all the energy to be radiated away in around a dozen orbits.dE/dn ~  /40 in this limit, so expect all the energy to be radiated away in around a dozen orbits.

Conclusions the next few of decades are going to be a very exciting time for gravitational physicsthe next few of decades are going to be a very exciting time for gravitational physics –numerical simulations are finally beginning to reveal the fascinating landscape of binary coalescence with Einstein’s theory of general relativity most of parameter space still left to exploremost of parameter space still left to explore –the “extreme” regions, though perhaps not astrophysically relevant, will be the most challenging to simulate, and may reveal some of the more interesting aspects of the theory –gravitational wave detectors should allow us to see the universe in gravitational radiation for the first time even if we only see what we expect to see we can learn a lot about the universe, though history tells us that each time a new window into the universe has been opened, surprising things have been discoveredeven if we only see what we expect to see we can learn a lot about the universe, though history tells us that each time a new window into the universe has been opened, surprising things have been discovered if we don’t see anything, something is “broken” … unless it’s the detectors even that will be a remarkable discoveryif we don’t see anything, something is “broken” … unless it’s the detectors even that will be a remarkable discovery