Voting. Electoral College- Votes per State are given based on each State’s total Reps and Senators.

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Presentation transcript:

Voting

Electoral College- Votes per State are given based on each State’s total Reps and Senators

How did President Obama Win and how to win in the future Based on the Gallup Poll President Obama won the East and West Mitt Romney won the South Midwest was close Currently there are 435 Reps and 100 Senators 270 electoral votes to win Need Ohio, Illinois and Michigan

The X factors Whit Ayres, a prominent Republican pollster who will work for Sen. Marco Rubio's presidential campaign told reporters that the Republican nominee must capture more than 40 percent of the Latino vote in 2016 to win the presidency. President Bush received 44% in reelection, John McCain received 31% in 2008 & Romney 27% 2012 These shifting demographics meant that even Romney's dominance among whites—who preferred him to Obama by a spread of 59% to 39%—were not enough to defeat, or even closely challenge, the sitting president.

X Factors Ayres predicts that Republicans will need to win "somewhere around 30 percent, almost a third, of the nonwhite vote overall" to take back the White House in % of Asian American voted for Barrack Obama New study concludes that immigration from Asia has overtaken immigration from Latin America

Unions- Labor Teachers Unions-Democratic Police Unions- Typically Republican but is may swing Fire fighter Unions Unions in general-

State of Oregon

What Do I look for in a President? Age Faith Marital Status

Would be Presidents.. Democrats- Hillary Clinton Chicago born and Yale educated lawyer Served as Senator of New York Ran for Democratic Presidential Nomination in 2008 Appointed Secretary of State Bernie Sanders Running as an Independent Brooklyn born Senator Sanders has served as a Mayor, Representative and currently as Senator 2007

Hillary Clinton

Bernard “Bernie” Sanders

Republicans Skip Andrews ◄ DECLARED Skip Andrews Kerry Bowers ◄ DECLARED Kerry Bowers Jeb Bush ◄ EXPLORING Jeb Bush Dr. Ben Carson ◄ DECLARED Dr. Ben Carson Dale Christensen ◄ DECLARED Dale Christensen Chris Christie ◄ EXPLORING Chris Christie Ted Cruz ◄ DECLARED Ted Cruz John Dummett, Jr. ◄ DECLARED John Dummett, Jr. Bob Ehrlich Mark Everson ◄ DECLARED Mark Everson Carly Fiorina ◄ DECLARED Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham ◄ EXPLORING Lindsey Graham Chris Hill ◄ DECLARED Chris Hill Mike Huckabee ◄ DECLARED Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal ◄ EXPLORING Bobby Jindal John Kasich Peter King Michael Kinlaw ◄ DECLARED Michael Kinlaw Dennis Michael Lynch ◄ EXPLORING Dennis Michael Lynch George Pataki ◄ EXPLORING George Pataki Rand Paul ◄ DECLARED Rand Paul Rick Perry ◄ EXPLORING Rick Perry Michael Petyo ◄ DECLARED Michael Petyo Marco Rubio ◄ DECLARED Marco Rubio Brian Russell ◄ DECLARED Brian Russell Rick Santorum ◄ EXPLORING Rick Santorum Rick Snyder Donald Trump ◄ EXPLORING Donald Trump Scott Walker ◄ EXPLORING Scott Walker

Marco Rubio

Rand Paul

Jeb Bush-Maybe

Dr. Ben Carson

30 State Senators- disricts of 114,000

State Reps- 1 Per District comprised of 57,000

Money and Politics In 2008, candidates for office, political parties, and independent groups spent a total of $5.3 billion on federal elections. The amount spent on the presidential race alone was $2.4 billion over $1 billion of that was spent by the campaigns of the two major candidates: Barack Obama spent $730 million in his election campaign, and John McCain spent $333 millionBarack ObamaJohn McCain

Senate and House of Reps In the 2010 midterm election cycle, candidates for office, political parties, and independent groups spent a total of $3.6 billion on federal elections. The average winner of a seat in the House of Representatives spent $1.4 million on his or her campaign. The average winner of a Senate seat spent $9.8 million. [6] [6]

Where does the money come from 1 st option-Public financing of presidential campaigns At the federal level, public funding is limited to subsidies for presidential campaigns. (1) a "matching" program for the first $250 of each individual contribution during the primary campaign, (2) financing the major parties' national nominating conventions (3) funding the major party nominees' general election campaigns

Opting out By refusing matching funds, candidates are free to spend as much money as they can raise privately. Starting in 1996 Presidential hopefuls started opting out of the primary matching funds They include Steve Forbes, President Bush, John Kerry, President Obama, John McCain, Hillary Clinton In 2008 President Obama was the first to opt out of general election finance help and was followed by Mitt Romney

Money for matching funds come from tax payers that check of the 3 dollar box for the presidential contribution fund on their taxes. Oddly it does not change a tax payers return but since 2006 only 8% check the box

Political Action Committees PACs were created to raise money for political parties and candidates and are tax exempt. "Super PACs": Born in 2010 of Citizens United, they are officially known as "independent-expenditure only committees,independent-expenditure " because they may not make contributions to candidate campaigns or parties, but rather must do any political spending independently of the campaigns. Unlike other PACs, there is no legal limit to the funds they can raise from individuals, corporations, unions and other groups. Don’t have to disclose contributors to the Super PAC

Citizen Koch Do you agree with the Supreme Courts ruling that campaign contributions are the equivalent of free speech? Furthermore, should companies be treated as people? If so and if companies are people and are protected under the 1 st Amendment can a candidate win without taking money? How has the introduction of Super PAC’s influenced public policy in The Cheese State Wisconsin

Dark Money in politics- The Koch Brothers

Charles and David Koch pledged to spend $889 million on the 2016 election

How Presidencies are really won

Why everything is scripted