SLICE Advisory Team Meeting January 26 th -27 th 2011

Oversight DNR Fisheries 1 Project Coordination 2 Ray Valley Implementation DNR Fisheries Implementation 3 Recommendation of direction Information base Analysis and Evaluation Analysis Teams 10 Syntheses of trends Technical Advisory Team 12 Eco and Waters Implementation 4 PCA Implementation 5 Local Partners 7 Citizen Volunteers 8 Public Information and Outreach 9 MDH Implementation 6 DNR Area Staff Local trends Local Partners Local trends PCA Water Monitoring Unit Local trends Ancillary Investigations 11 Strategic Advisory Team 13 SLICE Advisory Team Who are we?

What we want to accomplish by tomorrow… Debrief from Phase 1 Debrief from Phase 1 Review of progress on goals and objectives Review of progress on goals and objectives What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint Come to consensus on program purpose and goals Come to consensus on program purpose and goals ID core components and areas of growth in Phase 2 ID core components and areas of growth in Phase 2 ID alternative operational program designs based on Section funding scenarios. ID alternative operational program designs based on Section funding scenarios.

What we want to accomplish by tomorrow… Debrief from Phase 1 Debrief from Phase 1 Review of progress on goals and objectives Review of progress on goals and objectives What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint Come to consensus on program purpose and goals Come to consensus on program purpose and goals ID core components and areas of growth in Phase 2 ID core components and areas of growth in Phase 2 ID alternative operational program designs based on Section funding scenarios. ID alternative operational program designs based on Section funding scenarios.

Adaptive Management Process Assess problem Evaluate Adjust Implement Design Monitor Phase 1: Oct – Jan 2006/2007 May-Jun 2007 Apr Today! Phase 2 Phase 1 Op plan

Adaptive Resource Management Set-Up Phase 1.Stakeholder Commitment 2.Objectives 3.Management Actions 4.Models 5.Monitoring Plans Iterative Phase 6. Decision Making7. Follow-up Monitoring 8. Assessment Williams, Szaro & Shapiro 2007

For another day… Formalize survey design and split- panel design Formalize survey design and split- panel design Sentinel Lake composition going forward Sentinel Lake composition going forward Random Lake assessments Random Lake assessments What does 2012 look like? What does 2012 look like? Will we be ready? Staff and protocols in place? Will we be ready? Staff and protocols in place? Stop-gap measures? Stop-gap measures? Another meeting to precede Fall Area Sups? Another meeting to precede Fall Area Sups?

Synopsis of Phase 1 Ongoing efforts and deliverables: 1. USGS forecast models predicting outcomes of climate change and landuse on cold-water habitat in Carlos, Elk, and Trout (LCCMR)

Sentinel watersheds as focal points of long-term monitoring and research USGS Objectives – Monitoring watershed

Synopsis of Phase 1 Ongoing efforts and deliverables: 1. USGS forecast models predicting outcomes of climate change and landuse on cold-water habitat in Carlos, Elk, and Trout (LCCMR) 2. SCWRS water quality reconstruction in South Twin, Carlos, Elk, Trout, White Iron, Ten Mile, and Cedar (LCCMR)

LCCMR grant LCCMR grant Sediments archive conditions of the past Sediments archive conditions of the past Link changes to historical climate conditions Link changes to historical climate conditions 1840s Today Historical reconstructions of water quality and sedimentation – St. Croix Wshd research station

Synopsis of Phase 1 Ongoing efforts and deliverables: 1. USGS forecast models predicting outcomes of climate change and landuse on cold-water habitat in Carlos, Elk, and Trout (LCCMR) 2. SCWRS water quality reconstruction in South Twin, Carlos, Elk, Trout, White Iron, Ten Mile, and Cedar (LCCMR) 3. UMD analysis of hydroacoustic and vertical gillnetting tools to assess status of cisco (LCCMR)

Synopsis of Phase 1 Ongoing efforts and deliverables: Ongoing efforts and deliverables: 1. Zooplankton assessment – Jodie Hirsch 2. DJ Indicator Research Project a) Overall synthesis – Dave Staples & Ray Valley b) Aquatic plants – Cindy Tomcko & Ray Valley c) Fish – Mike McInerny (Populations) Ray Valley (Community indicators and IBI)

Synopsis of Phase 1 Ongoing efforts and deliverables: Ongoing efforts and deliverables: 1. Water quality synthesis – Steve Heiskary 2. Sentinel Lake Baseline Reports – Various DNR and PCA staff 3. Reports will be moving to DNR SLICE page

If you build it they will come… Lucinda Johnson Heinz Stefan Puni Jeyasingh - OSU Lee Engel – U of MN

Partner investigations – “free” analysis Simulations of cisco fish habitat in Minnesota Lakes under future climate scenarios – Fang et al. (Auburn U & U of MN) Simulations of cisco fish habitat in Minnesota Lakes under future climate scenarios – Fang et al. (Auburn U & U of MN) Simulating the combined effects of future watershed land cover and climate change on cold-water fish habitat – Herb, Stefan, Johnson, Jacobson (U of MN and NRRI; USGS funded) Simulating the combined effects of future watershed land cover and climate change on cold-water fish habitat – Herb, Stefan, Johnson, Jacobson (U of MN and NRRI; USGS funded) Reconstruction of how a century of nutrient-enrichment of lakes has affected evolutionary changes in organisms, particular Daphnia pulex zooplankton – Punidan Jeyasingh Oklahoma State University (NSF funded) Reconstruction of how a century of nutrient-enrichment of lakes has affected evolutionary changes in organisms, particular Daphnia pulex zooplankton – Punidan Jeyasingh Oklahoma State University (NSF funded) Classification of Selected Minnesota Lakes Using Deuterium and δ 18 O to Characterize Hydrologic Residence Time – Lee Engel and Joe Magner (U of MN) Classification of Selected Minnesota Lakes Using Deuterium and δ 18 O to Characterize Hydrologic Residence Time – Lee Engel and Joe Magner (U of MN)