Stakeholders’ Meeting of the Malé Declaration 14 th October 2005, Delhi Compilation of emissions inventories using the Malé Declaration Emission inventory.

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Presentation transcript:

Stakeholders’ Meeting of the Malé Declaration 14 th October 2005, Delhi Compilation of emissions inventories using the Malé Declaration Emission inventory Manual. Harry Vallack, Stockholm Environment Institute

The problem Air pollution can have many adverse effects including:  Damage to human health  Damage to crops, animals and ecosystems  Damage and soiling of buildings and other structures  Air quality degradation  Global warming/climate change  Stratospheric ozone depletion

Why produce an emissions inventory?  provide input data for modelling the movement, deposition and effects of air pollutants  help inform the policy makers and the public  help define priorities and set objectives for reducing emissions  assess the potential impacts of different reduction strategies  forecast future emission levels to determine which emission sources might require further controls

What is an emissions inventory? An air pollutant emissions inventory details the amounts and types of air pollutants released into the air by source category. Some consist of large point sources :  electrical power plants  oil refineries  metal smelters  large factories

What is an emissions inventory? Other source categories are made up of many small, or diffuse (area or line) sources:  domestic households  small factories  offices and public buildings  cars and other vehicles  vegetation fires (e.g. savannah burning)  crop residue burning  application of fertilizers

What is an emissions inventory? Sometimes natural emissions are also inventoried:  trees and other vegetation(VOCs & NH 3 )  Volcanoes (SO 2 & PM)

General approach for calculation of emissions Unless measured directly, emission are generally estimated as: In practice the calculations are more complicated but the principle remains the same.

Emission factors are the rate of emission of a pollutant per unit of activity General approach for calculation of emissions Examples:  In a power station - kg NO X per tonne coal burnt  In a copper smelter - kg SO 2 per tonne copper produced

Examples of activity rates:  For fuel combustion - the annual rate of consumption of a fuel (e.g. kilotonnes coal burnt per year in a power station)  For industrial process emissions - the annual rate of production of the commodity (e.g. kilotonnes copper produced per year at a copper smelter) General approach for calculation of emissions

Pollutants currently included in the Malé emission inventory manual  Sulphur dioxide (SO 2 )  Nitrogen oxides (NO X )  Ammonia (NH 3 )  Particulate matter (PM 10 and Total Suspended Particulate (TSP))

Additions to be made to a new version of the Malé manual during Phase III Two extra pollutants will be added to enable ozone modelling:  Carbon monoxide (CO)  Non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs) Spatial allocation of emissions will be addressed Improve and extend PM/dust emission coverage

Information required to compile the emissions inventory Regional and national sources of activity data from:  government departments  industries  research institutes  research publications

Information required to compile the emissions inventory International sources of activity data:  International Energy Agency (IEA) Energy Statistics and Balances  United Nations Industrial Commodity Statistics Yearbooks  Food and Agriculture Organisation’s (FAO) on-line database FOASTAT

The Malé emission inventory Excel workbook: main menu

The Malé emission inventory Excel workbook: Menu 4

Worksheet for Process (non-combustion) emissions from metal production

Making inventory output compatible with the Integrated Assessment Model (IAM)  For the IAM, the 8 countries of the Malé Declaration are divided into 19 emission regions.  This division was arrived at using a method combining reported SO 2 emissions, land area and population. (With proviso that each country should comprise at least 1 emission region.)  Only 3 countries have more than 1 emission region : Iran (2) India (10) Pakistan (2)[All other countries (1)]

Division of India into 10 emission regions

Division of Pakistan into 2 emission regions

Division of Iran into 2 emission regions

Making inventory output compatible with the Integrated Assessment Model (IAM)  For India, Pakistan and Iran, if data are available at the provincial or state level, a separate inventory should be compiled for each emission region.  Otherwise, national inventories will have to be compiled and the area emissions allocated to emission regions based on population density, economic activity statistics etc.  (Allocation of large point source emissions will be straight forward as their locations will be known.)

Training requirements  Over the next 3 years, a series of up to 4 emission inventory training workshops will be held in Asia.  First training workshop will be in March 2006 with a follow-up workshop in October 2006 (dates to be confirmed).  Subsequently workshops will probably be held in 2007 and 2008.