Roger Magarey CPHST/PERAL Raleigh, NC

Special thanks to Dan Borchert, Jessica Engle and Kathryn Echerd CPHST/PERAL Raleigh, NC

3 Workshop Outline i) System overview i) System overview ii) Model creation using templates weather data iii) Map creation iv) Climate matching v) Map interpretation vi) Collaboration and data sharing

4 The Purpose of NAPPFAST To assist the CAPS Program determine where and when to survey for invasive pest species To assist the CAPS Program determine where and when to survey for invasive pest species To provide information on pests (potential distribution, etc.) for risk assessment purposes To provide information on pests (potential distribution, etc.) for risk assessment purposes To assist APHIS by providing relevant information in Emergency Response situations To assist APHIS by providing relevant information in Emergency Response situations

5 The Development of NAPPFAST Idea originated at NCSU: Dr. Jack Bailey- method for forecasting peanut diseases in NC and the flexible template for disease modeling- 1990’s Idea originated at NCSU: Dr. Jack Bailey- method for forecasting peanut diseases in NC and the flexible template for disease modeling- 1990’s Dan Fieselmann and Glenn Fowler worked with Dr. Bailey for several years on project development Dan Fieselmann and Glenn Fowler worked with Dr. Bailey for several years on project development Roger Magarey developed the connection between ZedX Inc and NAPPFAST in 2002 Roger Magarey developed the connection between ZedX Inc and NAPPFAST in 2002 Dan Borchert joins the NAPPFAST Team in 2003 Dan Borchert joins the NAPPFAST Team in 2003

6 NAPPFAST System Overview Internet-based Pest Prediction System Internet-based Pest Prediction System Biological model (Degree day, Disease Infection, or Multi-function) templates paired with large climate database Biological model (Degree day, Disease Infection, or Multi-function) templates paired with large climate database Produce geo-referenced output maps Produce geo-referenced output maps Designed to assist pest Designed to assist pest survey detection efforts: survey detection efforts: predict when and where predict when and where

7 NAPPFAST NAPPFAST Map View Public Access JB Site Sirex Site Cactoblastis Site Insect Specific Reporting Insect Specific Phenology NAPPFAST-OBS Canned maps Pest Models and Observations Top 50 Pests

8 NAPPFAST PROJECTS October 2005 to present Survey and detection ~ 4 Survey and detection ~ 4 Risk maps for CAPS top 50 pests Pathway/organism risk assessment ~ 13 Pathway/organism risk assessment ~ 13 Weather-based analysis of Citrus canker Bactrocera invadens Emergency response ~ 9 Emergency response ~ 9 Light brown apple moth risk mapping