David T. Taylor, Roger H. Coupal, Thomas Foulke, Benjamin Rashford and Desiree Olson 1 Prepared in support of the Bridger-Teton National Forest plan revision.

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Presentation transcript:

David T. Taylor, Roger H. Coupal, Thomas Foulke, Benjamin Rashford and Desiree Olson 1 Prepared in support of the Bridger-Teton National Forest plan revision process Funded by the Governor’s Planning Office of the State of Wyoming University of Wyoming, Department of Agricultural & Applied Economics

Our work started in January, Two phases were planned: Phase I was the main body of work, characterizing the BTNF region. This was completed in May, Phase II worked off of Phase I and built on it in areas identified in the process. Background 2

1. Refinement of Phase I report based on comments from reviewers:  Ron Dutton  Hayley Hesseln  Jeffery Jacquet  Jonathan Schechter 2. Economic Overview of Each County: Bridger-Teton Region, County Profiles series of reports. 3

4

CountyJobsPeople Labor Earnings (000) Total Earnings (000) Ave. Earning Per Job Per Capita Income Fremont 22,14236,220$597,137$990,554$26,969$27,348 Lincoln 9,27015,651$291,624$439,449$31,459$28,078 Sublette 5,1336,655$171,724$256,094$33,455$38,481 Teton 23,86518,972$906,336$1,622,266$37,978$85,508 Total 60,41077,498$1,966,821$3,308,363$32,558$42,690 5

IndustryFremont (Jobs) Lincoln (Jobs) Sublette (Jobs) Teton (Jobs) Region (Jobs) Logging/WPM Agriculture 1, ,360 Mining N.A.1,983 Travel 1, ,8908,460 Amenities ,1381,927 Total 3,9631,9811,7307,18014,845 6

SectorJobsEarnings (000) Ave. Earnings Per Job Timber76$1,897$24,865 Grazing576$15,637$27,146 Mining47$2,430$52,243 Travel2,123$45,391$21,386 Total2,822$65,355$23,160 7

Permit Category Number of Permits Use Days Land Based – Stock (Pack Trips & Day Rides) 60.0%30.6% Land Based – Non-Stock (Hiking & Biking) 10.0%5.0% Water Based (Rafting, Other Boating, Fishing) 11.7%52.9% Winter Uses (Not related to resorts) 18.3%11.5% Total 100.0% 8

CountyUSFS (MBF) Private (MBF) Other (MBF) Total (MBF) Fremont1, ,763 Lincoln Sublette Teton Total1, ,823 9

10

11

Head of Cattle40,00039,042 Head of Sheep78,00051,370 Allotments

24,270 Sheep AUM & 7,359 Cattle AUM 55% of acres closed to future grazing 45% of acres in forage reserve allotments Represents:  6 allotments  17,235 head of sheep & 1,533 head of cattle  380,679 total acres 13

Open Space – Landscapes, Lifestyles, & Wildlife Habitat. Three-fourths of residents feel they personally benefit from Ag presence in Wyoming. Ag land represent 86% of private land in region (1.8 MM acres). 1.5MM acres of Ag land are classified as having desirable wildlife characteristics. Estimates of economic value to residents and visitors. 14

2,883 miles of streams on USFS in region (not all BTNF). 4,651 acres of lakes on USFS in region (not all BTNF). Results from Hoback Creel Survey. Estimated economic impact based on NVUM data for fishing on BTNF. 15

Total yield from forest is 5,468,900 acre feet annually Equals 7,555 cfs in constant flow 574 cfs is appropriated (7.6%) Listed 5 largest diversions for Pinedale and Greys River Ranger Districts 16

17

These wells are some of the highest producing wells in the state (40-70 mmcf/day or bcf/year). Wells are in fields that supply Shute Creek Plant:  CO2 for all 6 enhanced oil recovery projects in Wyoming  30% of world’s helium Future wells on BTNF might not be this productive 18

Total Spending$117.3 Million Total Employment (Jobs)2,122 Total Labor Earnings$45.4 Million Average Earnings Per Job$21,386 19

Bridger-Teton Region, County Profile Series 20

Phase I Report & Phase II Refinements  Specific to the Forest Plan  Based on Desired Conditions in Chapter 3 under Economic Sustainability Bridger-Teton Region, County Profile Series– Intended to provide a general overview of each county’s economy 21

Population Employment Personal Income Local Government Finance 22

Population is important because the ability to attract and retain people is essential to the survival of a community and its economy. 23

Age Distribution of the Population Comparison of Age Distribution Comparison of Population Growth Rates Population Change by Age Group Sources of Population Change 24

Employment is important because providing jobs is one of the primary functions of the local economy. 25

Employment by Sector Comparison of Employment by Sector Average Earnings Per Job by Sector Comparison of Employment Growth Rate Sector Changes in Employment Comparison Average Earnings Per Job In-Commuting & Out-Commuting Workers Employment Diversity Index 26

Personal income is important because it represents the dollars that residents live on. 27

Source of Personal Income Comparison of Sources of Personal Income Comparison of Personal Income Growth Rates Change is Sources of Personal Income Comparison of Per Capita Income Comparison of Annual Percent Change 28

Local Government Finances are important because they determine local government’s ability to meet the needs of residents in terms of public services and public infrastructure. 29

Sources of Assessed Valuation Comparison of Sources of Assessed Valuation Comparison of Assessed Valuation Growth Rates Changes in Assessed Valuation Per Capita Assessed Valuation 30

Sources of Sale Tax Revenue Comparison of Sources of Sales Tax Revenue Comparison of Sales Tax Revenue Growth Rates Changes in Sales Tax Revenue by Sector Per Capita Sales Tax Revenue 31

Comparison of County Government Revenues and Costs Comparison of County School District Revenues and Costs 32

33 Questions?