Strategy Day on Emerging Trends in Public Transport and Vehicle Automation Challenges, Opportunities and Next Steps.

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Presentation transcript:

Strategy Day on Emerging Trends in Public Transport and Vehicle Automation Challenges, Opportunities and Next Steps

Housekeeping Much gratitude to: o Organizing Committee: Kornhauser, Le Vine, McDonald, Rodier, Young o Stanford Law School o University of Maryland’s Center for Advanced Transportation Technology o Advanced Transit Association (ATRA) o Carplus Chatham House Rules Those taking part remotely: input via o Monitored in real time. Please sign the “Sign in” sheet and pick up handouts Hold all but clarifying questions for interactive Q/A We have a hook for time-keeping purposes

Today’s Program Stan Young: Report from Automation Conference Caroline Rodier: California’s GHG Legislation Stuart Cohen: Advocacy perspective on trends in public transportation Alain Kornhauser: A-taxis Derek Toups: Regional perspective on vehicle-automation Moderated Q/A: Business as usual vs. step changes Coffee Break Andy Bata: Innovations in NYC’s transit system Susan Shaheen: Trends and trajectory of shared-mobility Guy Fraker: Trust and insurance in New Mobility Shannon McDonald: Architecture and land use implications of PRT/vehicle-automation Moderated Q/A: Next steps to achieve potential of ‘New Mobility’ Caroline Rodier : Wrap Up

Report out from Vehicle Automation Stan Young, CATT and ATRA

Levels of Automation (NHTSA definitions) Level 0 : No automation Level 1: Function-specific automation Level 2: Combined function automation Level 3: Limited self-driving automation Level 4: Full self-driving automation

Mapping Between Technology and Issues Issue 1Issue 2Issue 3Issue 4… Level ILevel II Level IIILevel IV Sharing

Take home messages (1) Automated vehicles are (probably) legal Wild west vs. dead hand of regulations Uncertainty and perceived risk Insurance industry product models under pressure Demand and energy consumption: murky, difficult to control White House: This stuff matters

Take home messages (2) Autonomous vs. connected Google: 5 yrs to level 4 (rumor has it) Cyber-security: think like a hacker Follow the data… Behavioral modelling A lot happens in 100M miles How good is “good enough” and who decides? TaaS: Transportation as a Service Transit, taxis, rentals: Less distinct?

Interaction between shared mobility and increasing automation level (shared fleets as test bed?) Automation in Public Transit – a Holistic View Promise of auto-valet parking: a panacea or simply shifting the problem Performance Measures for Automated Mobility in Urban Settings Exclusive Guideway vs Open Road Automation Impact on Mobility Impaired Research Needs: Shared Mobility and Transit

Legal Framework For Automated Driverless Transit Integration of Automation and Shared Mobility into the Urban Fabric Future Alternative Analysis for MPOs and NEPA Processes Hazards Framework for Automated Transport Safety Practical / Near-term Issues of Automation in Transit Agencies … only 50+ more ( Research Needs: Shared Mobility and Transit

Automation ….. PRT …. …. Princeton…. …. I’ll believe that when cars drive themselves. Did he really say that ?