Importance of Javakhq. Why Should We Care? 1. Final Siege.

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Presentation transcript:

Importance of Javakhq

Why Should We Care?

1. Final Siege

Tough Neighborhood!!!

Meskhetian Turks Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq

Meskhetian Turks Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq In 1944, Stalin deports Meskhetian Turks.

Meskhetian Turks Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq In 1944, Stalin deports Meskhetian Turks In 1999, Georgian government obliges to repatriate Meskhetian Turks by 2016, now numbering 200,000

Question: If de-Armenization of Javakhq succeeds, who will be the new settlers?

Question If de-Armenization of Javakhq succeeds, who will be the new settlers? Answer Meskhetian Turks

Consequences

Land link between Turkey and Azerbaijan Complete encirclement and blockade of Armenia by a Turkish element –Armenia ceases to be a viable state and becomes an “Armenian reservation” –The population of Armenia emigrates and, eventually, becomes assimilated –Final stage of the Genocide is complete

Final Solution!!!

2. Transportation Corridor A.Export Route B.Transportation Projects

A.Armenia’s Export Routes

What are Armenia’s Options of Export Routes?

Turkey Blockade Azerb Blockade

What are Armenia’s Options of Export Routes? Turkey Blockade Azerb Blockade Iran Long/ Expensive Sanctions Turkish Population

What are Armenia’s Options of Export Routes? Turkey Blockade Azerb Blockade Iran Long/ Expensive Sanctions Turkish Population Georgia Short/ Cheap Good International Relations Armenian Minority

Currently, Georgia is Armenia’s Primary Export Route

“Armenian” Javakhq Guarantee of Armenia’s open communication routes to the outside world Serious restrain on Tbilisi from deepening its strategic partnership with Turkey and Azerbaijan

B.Transportation Projects Baku – Tbilisi – Ceyhan (BTC) oil pipeline Baku – Tbilisi – Erzerum (BTE) gas pipeline Kars – Alhalkalak – Tbilisi -Baku (KATB) railroad Kars – Alhalkalak – Tbilisi - Baku highway (planned)

BTC/BTE Pipeline Route BTC/BTE are Azerbaijan’s primary source of income

KATB Railroad Route To Baku Kars Gyumri Akhalkalak

KATB Railroad Goals Connect Turkey and Azerbaijan (Turkish control), bypassing the Kars - Gyumri railroad (Armenian control) Isolate Armenia and strengthen its blockade Increase flow of Turks and Georgians into Javakhq (service personnel and security forces) to push out the Armenian population

Solution Support and assist local Armenians so they remain in Javakhq –By not emigrating, they will continue constituting majority population Republic of Armenia will continue to assert control over Javakhq and all its transportation routes –Armenia’s control over regional transportation corridors increases its influence in the region

Q & A