 PNA Winter correlated with globally gridded temperatures (Jan-Feb-Mar (JFM) averages 1950-2011) (Monthly means)

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Presentation transcript:

 PNA Winter correlated with globally gridded temperatures (Jan-Feb-Mar (JFM) averages ) (Monthly means)

x Calculated T-value In this example the T value is conform with the null hypothesis that there is no correlation. We accept H 0 at the chosen two sided significance test-level of p (for example 0.05).

x Calculated T-value In this example the T value is unusually far in the tails of the theoretical T-distribution for a zero correlation. We reject H 0 at the chosen two sided significance test-level of p (for example 0.05) and say: there is a significant correlation at the (two-sided) 5-% significance level

 PNA Winter correlated with globally gridded temperatures (Jan-Feb-Mar (JFM) averages ) (Monthly means) Masked out non-significant correlations (two-sided t-test at 5% level)

ENSO Index: Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures Seasonal forcast outlook: El Nino is coming!

Source: (retrieved ) 7 days

Source: (retrieved ) 12 months 1 week

Source: (retrieved ) 60 years 1 year

Source: (retrieved ) 300 years 60 years

Source: (retrieved ) 800 ?

Source: (retrieved ) 800,000 years 300 years Reconstructions from air bubbles trapped in Antarctic Ice Cores

 Atmospheric Environmental sciences study processes on a wide range of time scales! from tenth of seconds in turbulence (or even less, e.g. lightning processes )  Weather (hours to weeks)  Seasonal variability (weeks to months)  Climate variability (years-decades)  Ice age cycles (10-100,000 years)  Geological processes (plate tectonics) > 10,000,000yrs

 Atmospheric Environmental sciences study processes on a wide range of time scales!  The sampling rate at which we observe these processes must match the typical time-scales of the variations

 scripts:  rmean.R  timeseries_noise1.R  timeseries_record1.R  timeseries_pna_daily.R  timeseries_co2_ R  timeseries_insolation_ R  data:  norm.daily.pna.index.b current.ascii csv  timeseries_co2_ asc  timeseries_insolation_JJA_ asc  sound_staple1.csv  sound_plasticbag1.csv  sound_noisy_tone1.csv  sound_water_fountain_sample.csv