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Testing Hypothesis That Data Fit a Given Probability Distribution Problem: We have a sample of size n. Determine if the data fits a probability distribution.

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Presentation on theme: "Testing Hypothesis That Data Fit a Given Probability Distribution Problem: We have a sample of size n. Determine if the data fits a probability distribution."— Presentation transcript:

1 Testing Hypothesis That Data Fit a Given Probability Distribution Problem: We have a sample of size n. Determine if the data fits a probability distribution. Null Hypothesis, H0: The data fits the distribution. Fact: Divide the range into k intervals. If the data fits the distribution, then following random variable follows the chi-square distribution with k-1 degrees of freedom.

2 Testing Hypothesis That Data Fit a Given Probability Distribution The value of the above variable computed in a hypothesis test is called chi-square statistic. If chi-square statistic is too large (far in the right tail of the chi-square distribution) this is a surprising result, and it means that the evidence from the test contradicts the hypothesis that the data fit the probability distribution.

3 Algorithm 1.Perform visual test first. If there is no reason to reject hypothesis proceed as follows. 2.Divide range of values in a sample into k adjacent intervals. 3.Tally the number of observations in each interval. 4.Calculate the chi-square statistic. 5.Calculate the p-value of the test. 6.Decide if the hypothesis should be rejected.

4 Decision Rule Reject hypothesis if p- value less or equal to some low significance level  (e.g. 0.05). Otherwise do not reject hypothesis. Reject H0Do not reject H0


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