Forecasting Dust in Sahelian countries

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Presentation transcript:

Forecasting Dust in Sahelian countries Mariane DIOP KANE Senegal National Meteorological Agency ANAMS Email: riane_diopkane@yahoo.fr 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011

2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011 Outline Brief Introduction Forecasting systems Example Convlusions & recommendations 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011

2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011

2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011 Dust occurs mainly during the dry season, either locally or transported, with a peak between February and May main sources are from Mauritania/ Algeria and the Bodele depression impacts on transport through reduced visibility impacts on health (meningitis, respiratory diseases, flu, eye infections) impacts on agriculture through land degradation 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011

2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011 Short term forecasting of dust Observations Global and LAM forecast model outputs: winds, MSLP, RH Satellite images: visible, RGB dust Dust forecast now + Dust model outputs 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011

2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011 Data and Forecasting systems Data from GTS are received trough the RETIM-SYNERGIE System and MSG PUMA-AMESD stations ECMWF, Meteo-France, UKMO model outputs, surface, upper air observations and satellite data are received 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011

2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011 ECMWF MSLP 12/11/11 at 00Z 24H forecast 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011

2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011 12/11/11 at 0900Z 13/11/11 at 09Z 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011

2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011 Recommandations Observing stations in the sahelian regions Dust model evaluation Model intercomparison Dust Ensemble forecast model 2nd training course on WMO SDS-WAS, Antalya, 21-25 Nov. 2011