S E P T E M B E R 2 0 0 8W O R K S H O P O N D E V E L O P I N G C O R P O R A T E B O N D M A R K E TS H A N G H A I N A T I O N A L A C C O U N T I N.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Remedy Statistics April 2009 May 28th 2009 Paris Desktop Support Analysis only done with Remedy tickets (Incident-Task-Request) (GRS requests are not included.
Advertisements

Longevity & Mortality Risk Transfer via the Capital Markets Guy Coughlan, Managing Director PENSION ADVISORY GROUP S T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D.
How do Global Custodians and Investors deal with the
W Geneva December, 2007 World Meteorological Organization Basics of Catastrophe Reinsurance.
M A Y M A Y C A P I T A L M A R K E T T R A N S A C T I O N S U S I N G D E R I V A T I V E SC A P I T A L M A R K E T T R A N S A C T I.
SEPTEMBER S T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A LS T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L Panel Session:
© 2013 Sri U-Thong Limited. All rights reserved. This presentation has been prepared by Sri U-Thong Limited and its holding company (collectively, “Sri.
Hedge fund flows on pace to nearly double 2012
Headlines (Internet / News Media)
Irish recovery? Pär Magnusson
Venture Services Group Fund Admin – Inhouse vs Outsource: Solutions Addressed by a Global Custodian.
November 14, 2014 M U N I C I P A L M A R K E T U P D A T E S T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L.
Global Commercial Card – Legacy Migrations Training R © 2013 Legacy Migration Training. JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. JPMorgan Chase.
This presentation was prepared exclusively for the benefit and internal use of the J.P. Morgan client to whom it is directly addressed and delivered including.
J U N E J U N E T H E C A R B O N P R I N C I P L E ST H E C A R B O N P R I N C I P L E S.
J A N U A R Y C H I N A 2010: E C O N O M I C THEMES AND O U T L O O K Joyce Chang Global Head of Emerging Markets and Credit Research J.P. Morgan.
Innovations in Structured Products October 25, 2010 An Innovator’s Dilemma?
Four tips to keep ACH fraud in the past. 2 ACH Fraud Prevention Steps Businesses Can Take to Minimize Fraud Risk 1 1 b b c c d d e e f f g g a a Monitor.
Confidential Date: June 2011 PRELIMINARY | SUBJECT TO FURTHER REVIEW AND EVALUATION These materials may not be used or relied upon for any purpose other.
13 September 2007] Vurdering af grunnfondsbeviset og grunnfondsbevisbankerne set fra London.
ACBO FALL 2012 CONFERENCE PANEL OUTLINE Wednesday, October 24, 8:30 a.m. “THE STRUCTURE OF TODAY’S GENERAL OBLIGATION BOND DEALS”
©UFS Financial Planning 101 Investment Advisory Services offered through Investment Advisor Representatives of MetLife Securities, Inc. (MSI), 200 Park.
S E P T E M B E R S E P T E M B E R A S I A B O N D T R E N D SA S I A B O N D T R E N D S S T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I.
Saxo Bank OUTLOOK 2011 Saxo Bank’s HQ in Copenhagen June 24, 2015.
Asset Allocation and the Efficient Frontier: Optimizing a portfolio’s risk/return profile J.P. Morgan Investment Academy SM FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY.
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION A guide to economic indicators and their impact on investing J.P. Morgan Investment Academy Series.
Business Succession Planning Can your business survive without you?
Shanghai Free Trade Zone (SFTZ)
The Demand and Supply of High Quality Liquid Collateral Post Financial Crisis Discussion at PBOC/Tsinghua Global Finance Forum The views expressed in this.
Four tips to mitigate Mobile fraud in the future.
Prepaid Cards -- Option for Distribution of Workers’ Compensation Payments?
Mike Zenker Barclays Capital Research (415) November 12, 2007
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION An introduction to the capital markets J.P. Morgan Investment Academy.
Strictly Private and Confidential
Financial Markets Update March 2014
Shanghai Free Trade Zone (SFTZ) Managing liquidity through a NEW two-way cross-border pooling arrangement.
Integrity. Commitment. Performance.™ PMA Financial Planning Program January 22, 2014 Wheaton Warrenville CUSD 200.
PRODUCTIVITY – THE PICTURE FOR THE UK & THE WEST MIDLANDS SUSTAINING COMPETITIVENESS CONFERENCE – THE BELFRY RHYS HERBERT SENIOR ECONOMIST 6 JULY 2012.
Online banking security best practices Access via ‘transaction devices’
Madison Elementary School District Class B Bond Capacity Update May 2013.
Real Estate Debt Capital Markets
W Geneva December, 2007 World Meteorological Organization Basics of Weather Risk Management.
Baring Asset Management (Asia) Limited 19/F, Edinburgh Tower, 15 Queen’s Road Central, Hong Kong Tel Authorised and regulated.
MacLean Finance Pty Ltd Australia CONFIDENTIALITY DISCLAIMER: The Presenter is not a United States Securities Dealer or Broker, or U.S. Investment Adviser.
Program Dashboard [Enter Date] Strictly Private and Confidential.
ENERGY MARKETS DIVISION Factors Affecting Resource Investment Decisions in ERCOT June 30, 2011.
Place Client Logo Here Oil Market Outlook Paul Horsnell Head of Commodities Research, Barclays Capital Intertanko Singapore Tanker Event 30 March 2006.
S T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 1 [ PRESENTED AT THE ASIAN BANKER SUMMIT 2011 ] April 7, 2011 LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT POST 2008.
Mortgage Financing Executions to Fit the Times September 28, 2015.
Economic Outlook: relapse or recovery? David Fenton, RBS Group Economics.
This confidential presentation has been prepared by CIBC Capital Markets, exclusively for the benefit and internal use of [the board of directors/special.
October 2012 Admission of professional participants – non-credit institutions to trading on the Moscow Exchange FX market.
Integrity. Commitment. Performance.™ PMA Financial Planning Program Howard Crouse, Vice President PMA Financial Network, Inc. March 17, 2014 El Paso-Gridley.
Algorithmic Trading challenges at Bank of America Merrill Lynch Algorithmic Trading Conference, UCL 11 June 2010.
Morgan Stanley ISG PowerPoint 2010 template – last updated 7/10/ Annual Conference September 26, 2016 The views represented herein are the author’s.
Table of Contents_Product
Account Maintenance for Program Administrators
Selecting the right provider
Rising Momentum Trumps Policy Uncertainty
Under-rated assets in an over-priced world
ACBO FALL 2012 CONFERENCE PANEL OUTLINE
Solanco School District
De-risking in a Low and Rising Interest Rate Environment
Environmental Upgrade Finance
TITLE PRESENTATIONDATE AUTHOR JOBTITLE.
Wheaton Warrenville CUSD 200
© 2013 Sri U-Thong Limited. All rights reserved
FEI Canada Conference Presentation
Presentation transcript:

S E P T E M B E R W O R K S H O P O N D E V E L O P I N G C O R P O R A T E B O N D M A R K E TS H A N G H A I N A T I O N A L A C C O U N T I N G I N S T I T U T ES E P T E M B E R W O R K S H O P O N D E V E L O P I N G C O R P O R A T E B O N D M A R K E TS H A N G H A I N A T I O N A L A C C O U N T I N G I N S T I T U T E A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ? S T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A LS T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L David G. Fernandez Head of Emerging Asia Research

C:\_this week\Conference\Asia Bond Trends.ppt This presentation was prepared exclusively for the benefit and internal use of the JPMorgan client to whom it is directly addressed and delivered (including such client’s subsidiaries, the “Company”) in order to assist the Company in evaluating, on a preliminary basis, the feasibility of a possible transaction or transactions and does not carry any right of publication or disclosure, in whole or in part, to any other party. This presentation is for discussion purposes only and is incomplete without reference to, and should be viewed solely in conjunction with, the oral briefing provided by JPMorgan. Neither this presentation nor any of its contents may be disclosed or used for any other purpose without the prior written consent of JPMorgan. The information in this presentation is based upon any management forecasts supplied to us and reflects prevailing conditions and our views as of this date, all of which are accordingly subject to change. JPMorgan’s opinions and estimates constitute JPMorgan’s judgment and should be regarded as indicative, preliminary and for illustrative purposes only. In preparing this presentation, we have relied upon and assumed, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of all information available from public sources or which was provided to us by or on behalf of the Company or which was otherwise reviewed by us. In addition, our analyses are not and do not purport to be appraisals of the assets, stock, or business of the Company or any other entity. JPMorgan makes no representations as to the actual value which may be received in connection with a transaction nor the legal, tax or accounting effects of consummating a transaction. Unless expressly contemplated hereby, the information in this presentation does not take into account the effects of a possible transaction or transactions involving an actual or potential change of control, which may have significant valuation and other effects. Notwithstanding anything herein to the contrary, the Company and each of its employees, representatives or other agents may disclose to any and all persons, without limitation of any kind, the U.S. federal and state income tax treatment and the U.S. federal and state income tax structure of the transactions contemplated hereby and all materials of any kind (including opinions or other tax analyses) that are provided to the Company relating to such tax treatment and tax structure insofar as such treatment and/or structure relates to a U.S. federal or state income tax strategy provided to the Company by JPMorgan. JPMorgan’s policies prohibit employees from offering, directly or indirectly, a favorable research rating or specific price target, or offering to change a rating or price target, to a subject company as consideration or inducement for the receipt of business or for compensation. JPMorgan also prohibits its research analysts from being compensated for involvement in investment banking transactions except to the extent that such participation is intended to benefit investors. IRS Circular 230 Disclosure: JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates do not provide tax advice. Accordingly, any discussion of U.S. tax matters included herein (including any attachments) is not intended or written to be used, and cannot be used, in connection with the promotion, marketing or recommendation by anyone not affiliated with JPMorgan Chase & Co. of any of the matters addressed herein or for the purpose of avoiding U.S. tax-related penalties. JPMorgan is a marketing name for investment banking businesses of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its subsidiaries worldwide. Securities, syndicated loan arranging, financial advisory and other investment banking activities are performed by a combination of J.P. Morgan Securities Inc., J.P. Morgan plc, J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd. and the appropriately licensed subsidiaries of JPMorgan Chase & Co. in Asia-Pacific, and lending, derivatives and other commercial banking activities are performed by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. JPMorgan deal team members may be employees of any of the foregoing entities. This presentation does not constitute a commitment by any JPMorgan entity to underwrite, subscribe for or place any securities or to extend or arrange credit or to provide any other services. English_General A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

C:\_this week\Conference\Asia Bond Trends.ppt Asia's sovereign bond issuance has peaked… While rest of the world has accelerated 1 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

C:\_this week\Conference\Asia Bond Trends.ppt Asia's share of the total sovereign bond market has collapsed 2 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

Presentation3 Asian governments issuing a lot more domestic debt… RoW stayed on trend 3 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

Presentation3 Asia's share of total local currency securities has grown substantially, but still a small share 4 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

Presentation3 Key EM Asian countries have significantly expanded local issuance 5 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

Presentation3 EM Asia has substantially reduced their reliance on international markets 6 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

Presentation3 But foreign money has followed the issuers home, particularly in Malaysia and Indonesia 7 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

Presentation3 Total foreign ownership is about $10-12bn in both Indo and Malaysia 8 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

Presentation3 Perhaps the currency trend explains this seeming 'structural' shift? 9 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

Presentation3 The trend is consistent in Malaysia as well: just a coincidence? What if the FX markets undergo a structural shift? 10 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

Presentation3 Markets which have well-developed local demand base At the long end, Indonesia is still gradually improving Malaysia has robust demand source, but insurers and pension funds have ceded market-share to foreigners 11 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

Presentation3 Demand from banks has slowed substantially Can this demand be re-ignited? What would that imply for credit availability? 12 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

Presentation3 Sources of demand in Indonesia are clearly very skewed, and heavily dependent on foreigners 13 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

Presentation3 The sources of demand are slightly better in Malaysia, foreigners still the largest players in recent times 14 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?

Presentation3 Mr. Fernandez serves as JPMorgan’s Head of Emerging Asia Research team. Before joining JPMorgan in January 1998, Mr. Fernandez spent five years as a professor of economics at the Johns Hopkins University International Studies School where he taught international macroeconomics. He was named Professor of the Year in Earlier, he served as an Economist in the Council of Economic Advisers in the administration of U.S. President George Bush. In 1987, he joined the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in its OECD economic research department and in the foreign exchange intervention group. Mr. Fernandez has a B.A. in Economics from the University of Pennsylvania and received a Doctorate in Economics from Princeton University where, as a National Science Foundation fellow, he wrote his dissertation under Ben S. Bernanke. In addition to his work at JPMorgan, Mr. Fernandez is on the Advisory Board of Singapore Management University’s School of Economics. Managing Director and Head, Emerging Asia Research (65) David Fernandez Biography 15 A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?A S I A B O N D T R E N D S : C A N C O R P O R A T E I S S U E R S F O L L O W T H E S O V E R E I G N ?