Stephen H. Linder, Ph.D. © Duncan P. Walker, iStockphoto.com, 2007.

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Presentation transcript:

Stephen H. Linder, Ph.D. © Duncan P. Walker, iStockphoto.com, 2007

Responding to the Challenges of Climate Disruption Stephen H. Linder, Ph.D. The University of Texas School of Public Health ©Nature Canada

Global climate is warming Warming has accelerated in the last 25 years Sea levels are rising, glaciers are melting Extreme weather events are changing in intensity and frequency CO2 emitted by fossil fuel combustion is a principal cause The World Health Organizations summary: Continued Warming could lead to abrupt changes

epa.gov/climatechange/emissions/co2_human.html

CC M.Tobis, 2009

Strategies for Mitigation Federal Action Local Action Personal Measures

Framing Green Transportation Conserve Energy Protect the Environment National Security Clean Energy Cap GHG Emissions Energy Efficiency

Kerry-Lieberman Kerry-Boxer S1733 Cantwell-Collins S2877 Stabenow S2729 Alexander-Webb S2729 Waxman-Markey HR2454 Bingamon S1462 June 2009 November 2009 Luger-Graham SenateHouse

Elevated concentrations of 6 GHGs Endangerment of public health and welfare Observed & Projected Climate Change The Air Pollutant Exposure mechanism Adverse health effects US EPA and Greenhouse Gases

Key Elements for Endangerment Analysis (1) Amounts being emitted by human activity (2) Accumulation (3) Changes in energy balance (4) Observed temperature and climatic changes (5) Observed changes in other climate sensitive sectors (6) Observed changes due to human induced buildup (7) Future projected change under different scenarios (8) Projected Risks to health society and the environment

A different kind of Technical Support Document U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change -- 4 Assessment Reports U.S. Climate Change Science Program Syntheses and Assessments National Research Council -- 5 Reports

A different kind of air pollution No direct respiratory or toxic effects No significant contribution required Not attributable to one source Global and regional Time scale of several decades

A different kind of causality Mediation by scenarios of causal sequences No dose-response relationship Projected effects Prospective harm Anticipatory action

Different kinds of health effects Changes in air quality -- strong and clear support Increases in temperatures -- support Changes in extreme weather events –- clear support Increases in vector-borne pathogens and aeroallergens -- not primary Susceptible populations

WHO, Figure 3.1, Climate Change and Human Health

Disaster Preparedness Public Education & Risk Communication Enhanced Monitoring Strategies for Adaptation

Monitoring Health Outcomes WHO, Climate Change and Human Health

Google Images, 2010