Section 5.2 Designing Experiments AP Statistics www.toddfadoir.com/apstats.

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Presentation transcript:

Section 5.2 Designing Experiments AP Statistics

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 12 Terminology The individuals on which the experiment is done are the experimental units. When the units are human beings, they are called subjects. A specific experimental condition applied to the units is called the treatment.

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 13 UnitsTreatmentObserve Response Experiments

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 14 More terminology The explanatory variables in an experiment are often called factors. Each treatment is formed by combining a specific value (often called a level) of each of the factors.

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 15 The Physicians’ Health Study Does regularly taking aspirin help protect people against heart attacks? The Physicians’ Health Study looked at the effects of two drugs: aspirin and beta carotene. The body converts beta carotene into vitamin A, which may help prevent some forms of cancer. A combination of the drugs were given to 21,996 male physicians.

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 16 The Physicians’ Health Study Subjects?  Physicians Treatments?  4 (the groups-> Factors?  2 (aspirin & beta carotene)

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 17 The Placebo Effect “Gastric freezing” is a clever treatment for ulcers in the upper intestine. The patient swallow a deflated balloon with tubes attached, the a refrigerated liquid is pumped through the balloon for an hour. The idea is that cooling the stomach will reduce its production of acid and so relieve ulcers. An experiment reported in the Journal of the American Medical Association showed that gastric freezing did reduce the acid production of and relieve ulcer pain.

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 18 The Placebo Effect The “Gastric freezing” experiment was poorly designed. The patients’ response may have been due the placebo effect. A placebo is a dummy treatment. Many patients respond favorably to any treatment, even a placebo. This may be due to trust in the doctor and expectations of a cure, or simply to the fact that medical conditions often improve without treatment.

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 19 Placebo Use People who receive the placebo are members of the control group. People who receive the “real” treatment are the treatment group.

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 110 Aspirin/Beta CaroteneGroup 1 Units Compare Response Experiments Aspirin/PlaceboGroup 2 Placebo/Beta CaroteneGroup 3 Placebo/PlaceboGroup 4

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 111 Principles of Experiment Design Control the effects of lurking variables on the response, most simply comparing two or more groups. Randomize-use impersonal chance to assign experimental units treatments Replicate each treatment on many units to reduce chance variation in the results.

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 112 Statistical Significance An observed effect so large that it would rarely occur by chance is called statistically significant.

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 113 Double-Blind In a double-blind experiment, neither the subjects nor the people who have contact with know which treatment a subject received.

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 114 Experiments without placebos Matched pair design  In a matched pair design, subjects are paired by matching common important attributes.  Often the results are a pre-test and post-test with the unit being “matched” to itself.

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 115 Block Design A block is a group of experimental units or subjects that are known before the experiment to be similar in some way that is expected to affect the response to the treatments. In a block design, the random assignment of units to treatments is carried out separately within each block.

AP Statistics, Section 5.1, Part 116 Assignment Exercises: odd