Kyle Thiem, Jessica Voveris, & Emma Fagan

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Climate & Health: A Toolkit? Peter J Robinson Department of Geography Southeast Regional Climate Center University of North Carolina – Chapel Hill.
Advertisements

Integrated climate indices for risk assessment of extreme events Roxana Bojariu Nationala Meteorological Administration
CORE E nvironmental H ealth S ciences Kim Knowlton, DrPH Post-Doctoral Research Scientist Public Hearing - NJ Clean Air Council.
1 Challenges associated with projecting urbanization-induced heat-related mortality David M. Hondula 1,2, Matei Georgescu 2, Robert C. Balling, Jr. 2 1.
Understanding Oklahoma’s Weather and Climate: The Data, the Tools, and the Technology Jeffrey B. Basara Director of Research Oklahoma Climatological Survey.
Fighting the Great Challenges in Large-scale Environmental Modelling I. Dimov n Great challenges in environmental modelling n Impact of climatic changes.
Extreme Heat and Societal Vulnerability in a Changing Climate Olga Wilhelmi NCAR / Research Applications Program NCAR Colloquium on Statistical.
© Crown copyright Met Office Climate Change, Cities, and the Urban Heat Island Mark McCarthy, Martin Best, Richard Betts, Maggie Hendry.
RAINS review 2004 The RAINS model: Health impacts of PM.
Estimation of future changes in extreme climate events for the user and decision-making communities Clare Goodess WCRP-UNESCO workshop, Paris, 28 September.
Heat-Related Mortality in Washington State: Past and Future The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment Conference February 12, 2009 J. Elizabeth.
Urban Heat Island. Air temperature measurements: Thermometer is located in the shade at about 1.5 meters above a short grass surface in an open field.
Instrumental Observed Temperature Trends - ANNUAL IPCC TAR (2001)
Climate Change and Global Warming. What is the difference between global warming and climate change? How are they interrelated?
Explaining Changes in Extreme U.S. Climate Events Gerald A. Meehl Julie Arblaster, Claudia Tebaldi.
Concerns for Health from Smog and Heat
Dr. Natalia Chubarova Faculty of Geography, Moscow State University, , Moscow, Russia, 2012 Gregory G. Leptoukh Online Giovanni.
1.Introduction Heat waves are common occurrences around the world and have been projected to increase in frequency, intensity, and longevity in the future.
Assessing changes in mean climate, extreme events and their impacts in the Eastern Mediterranean environment and society C. Giannakopoulos 1, M. Petrakis.
Heat Waves and Their Impacts on Human Health in Urban Areas of Central Oklahoma Emma Fagan, Jessica Voveris, Kyle Thiem University of Oklahoma, School.
Data and Surveillance: How can we measure and monitor climate-related health effects? Andrew Smith, SM, ScD State Toxicologist, Maine CDC Rebecca Lincoln.
Impact of Urbanization on the Thermal Comfort Conditions in the Hot Humid City of Chennai, India. A. Lilly Rose Assistant Professor, Department of Architecture,
Assessment of Localized Urban Climates and Associations with Air Pollution and Synoptic Weather Patterns Aaron Hardin, MS Candidate, Texas Tech University.
Climate change and adaptive human migration Dr. Robert McLeman Department of Geography University of Ottawa.
Future Climate Extremes: Physical and Human Dimensions Claudia Tebaldi Climate Central & NCAR Brian O’Neill NCAR November 13, 2012 CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY.
Heat Waves in the United States: Mortality Risk during Heat Waves and Effect Modification by Heat Wave Characteristics in 43 U.S. Communities By: G. Brooke.
Impacts, uncertainties and non-linearities of extreme events (heavy precipitation and floods) in a changing climate Luis J. Mata Center for Development.
Developing of Evaluation Metrics and Indices for Applications Galia Guentchev and the NCPP Core and Tech team.
CLIMATE CHANGE AND HUMAN HEALTH Heidi E. Brown, Ph.D., M.P.H. University of Arizona School of Geography and Development College of Public Health.
Gary McManus Associate State Climatologist Oklahoma Climatological Survey Global Climate Change and the Implications for Oklahoma.
Virginia Extremes: Assessing the Weather & Climate Scenario MICHAEL J. ALLEN, PH.D. DEPARTMENT POLITICAL SCIENCE & GEOGRAPHY OLD DOMINION UNIVERSITY MITIGATION.
Heat Waves By: Kathryn Bullinger Double Major: Geography and Earth Sciences The 1995 Heat Wave: How Likely is a Recurrence? Contribution of Land-Atmosphere.
Climate Change Vulnerability Projection in Georgia Earth Science and Climate Change Conference June 16-18, 2015 Alicante, Spain J. Marshall Shepherd Department.
Urban vs. Rural Atlanta An assessment of : 1)PM2.5 composition and trends 2)The Atlanta Urban Heat Island Effect.
24/10/2015 The urban heat island (UHI) effect and its sensitivity to large-scale atmospheric flow Koen De Ridder.
Urban Influences on Temperature in New Jersey
HOW HOT IS HOT? Paul Wilkinson Public & Environmental Health Research Unit London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine Keppel Street London WC1E 7HT (UK)
P. Otorepec, M. Gregorič IVZ RS Use of rutinely collected air pollution and health data on local level for simple evaluation of health impact.
Projecting Climate Change Impacts on Regional Hydrology and 21 st Century Water Resources Auroop R. Ganguly*, Karsten Steinhaeuser, Esther Parish, David.
Dr Mark Cresswell Impacts: Disease 69EG6517 – Impacts & Models of Climate Change.
Extreme Heat and Human Health Richard B. Rood and Marie S. O’Neill Richard B. Rood
Investigative Results of the Use of Positive Standardized Anomalies for Precipitable Water to Diagnose Heat Waves and Episodes of High Apparent Temperature.
The impact on mortality of heat waves in Budapest, Hungary R Sari Kovats, Shakoor Hajat, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United.
Department of Health Heatwave and Human Health Professor C W Brook Executive Director, Wellbeing Integrated Care and Ageing Division Dr John Carnie Director,
Eugene S. Takle Professor Department of Agronomy Department of Geological and Atmospheric Science Director, Climate Science Program Iowa State University.
HEAT ISLANDS & URBAN IMPACTS ON WEATHER AND CLIMATE.
Courtney Smith Prepared for the California Department of Public Health Notes All projections are in GCS North American Data sources include U.S.
What Do We Know About Climate Risks Facing Philadelphia and the Urban Northeast? Daniel Bader Columbia University May 30, 2014.
Importance of chemistry-climate interactions in projections of future air quality Loretta J. Mickley Lu Shen, Daniel H. Cusworth, Xu Yue Earth system models.
Weather and Climate Extremes in a Future Warmer Climate Gerald A. Meehl NCAR.
Understanding Population Risk to Weather Disasters in a Changing Climate Olga Wilhelmi, Ph.D. Climate Science and Applications Research Applications Laboratory.
Developing of Evaluation Metrics and Indices for Applications Galia Guentchev and the NCPP Core and Tech team.
© Crown copyright Met Office ETC – DRR CCA 1° Core Team Meeting ETC Technical Paper on Extreme Weather and Climate Events Peter Dempsey, ,
Use of climate data and information for EEA climate change assessment Blaz Kurnik (Air and climate change programme - EEA)
Extreme Weather: Impact on Tourism and Events 1 Ruth Monfries VisitScotland – Insight Department.
Mapping estimated heat-related mortality in London due to population age, urban heat island, and dwelling characteristics Jonathon Taylor 1, Paul Wilkinson.
March Outline: Introduction What is the Heat Wave? Objectives Identifying and comparing the current and future status of heat wave events over.
Satellite Data for Health & Air Quality Applications
Understanding the Science of Climate Disruption
Creating a Cooler Phoenix
Inna Khomenko, Oleksandr Dereviaha
FORECASTING HEATWAVE, DROUGHT, FLOOD and FROST DURATION Bernd Becker
HUMAN HEALTH THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON IN THE UNITED STATES:
Forecast Capability for Early Warning:
The Turbulent Structure of the Urban Boundary Layer
Respiratory Health Effects of Climate Change
WCIAS Strategy: Filling critical gaps in weather and climate impact assessment science Developing integrating methods Moving toward decision-making as.
Climate Change, Health, & Equity
Trends in Iowa Precipitation: Observed and Projected Future Trends
by Gerald A. Meehl, and Claudia Tebaldi
Presentation transcript:

Kyle Thiem, Jessica Voveris, & Emma Fagan Heat Waves and Their Impacts on Human Health in Urban Areas of Central Oklahoma Kyle Thiem, Jessica Voveris, & Emma Fagan University of Oklahoma, School of Meteorology Heather Basara Assistant Professor, University of Oklahoma Department of Geography Jeffrey Basara Associate Professor, University of Oklahoma School of Meteorology

Background Heat waves are common occurrences Especially dangerous within urban environments Higher air pollutant concentrations UHI phenomenon Chicago (1995), Europe (2003), Russia (2010) Basara et al. 2008

Societal Impacts Increased heat related and pollution related illnesses during extreme heat events Increased urbanization in the future Heat waves are projected to increase in frequency, longevity, and intensity Better mitigation techniques are needed European Heat Wave of 2003

Research Goals Expand the current knowledge of the relationships between heat waves, urban environments, and human health Determine which populations are most at risk during extreme heat events within Oklahoma City at a neighborhood scale

What We’ve Done Determined our event July 30 – August 6, 2008 Sorted through and put all of the data from the Micronet and Census Tracts into GIS for further analysis 3 types of data: Demographic, Pollutant, Temperature Basara et al. 2011

Demographic Decided to use Clusters (defined by statistical similarities of demographic data) to group the Census Tracts (Hall and Basara) Hall and Basara

Pollutant Studies have shown that as stagnant air over a city due to a heat wave can cause an increse in the amounts of pollutants in the air. Result: Length of heat wave in this event was too short to see an increase in Ozone or PM data

Temperature Higher temperatures in urban areas apparent (approx. 1-2 C on average), especially at night. 1ºC increase in temperature above a comfortability threshold correlates to a 1-3% increase in mortality.

What’s Left To Do Determine climatological average maximum and minimum temperatures to establish comfortability thresholds Assign vulnerability levels to each Census Tract based on maximum and minimum temperature, population density, and demographic factors. Combine risk assessment of all factors in GIS to determine which neighborhoods are considered most at risk in final analysis.

Summary Heat waves are common occurrences, and especially dangerous in urban environments. Our goal is to determine which populations are most at risk during extreme heat events within Oklahoma City at a neighborhood scale Determined demographics and temperature exposure to be main risks. Currently working on last step: defining the vulnerability levels of each census tract.

References Basara, J. B., B. G. Illston, C. A. Fiebrich, P. D. Browder, C. R. Morgan, A. McCombs, J. P. Bostic, R. A. McPherson, A. J. Schroeder, and K. C. Crawford, 2011: The Oklahoma City Micronet. Metr. Appl., 18, 252-261. Basara, J. B., H. G. Basara, B. G. Illston, and K. C. Crawford, 2010: The impact of the urban heat island during an intense heat wave in Oklahoma City. Adv. in Metr., 2010, doi: 10.1155/2010/230365. Basara, J. B., P. K. Hall Jr., A. J. Schroeder, B. G. Illston, and K. L. Nemunaitis, 2008: Diurnal cycle of the Oklahoma City urban heat island, Jour. of Geophys. Res., 113, doi: 10.1029/2008JD010311. Basu, R., W. Feng, and B. D. Ostro, 2008: Characterizing temperature and mortality in nine California counties. Epidem., 2008, 138-145. Garcia-Herrera, R., J. Diaz, R. M. Trigo, J. Luterbacher, and E. M. Fischer, 2010: A review of the European summer heat wave of 2003. Crit. Reviews in Envir. Sci. and Tech., 40, 267-306. Grumm, R. H., 2011: The central European and Russian heat wave of July-August 2010. BAMS, 92, doi:10.1175/2011BAMS3174.1. Hajat, S., and T. Kosatky, 2010: Heat-related mortality: a review and exploration of heterogeneity, Jour. Of Epidemiol Comm. Health, 64, 753-760. Kovats, R. S., and S. Hajat, 2008: Heat stress and public health: a critical review. Annu. Rev. Public Health, 2008, 41-55. Krunkel, K. E., S. A. Changnon, B. C. Reinke, and R. W. Arritt, 1996: The July 1995 heat wave in the Midwest: a climatic perspective and critical weather factors. BAMS, 77, 1507-1518. Luber, G., and M. McGeehin, 2008: Climate change and extreme heat events. Amer. Jour. Prev. Med., 20, 429-435. Meehl, G. A. and C. Tebaldi, 2004: More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st Century. Science, 305, 994-997. Reid, C. E., M. S. O’Neill, C. Gronlund, S. J. Brines, D. G. Brown, A. V. Diez-Roux, J. Schwartz, 2009: Mapping Community Determinants of Heat Vulnerability. Environ. Health Pers., doi: 10.1289/ehp.0900683 [Available online at http://dx.doi/.org]