EFCOG Safety Analysis Working Group May 10, 2012 Jeremy Rishel Bruce Napier Atmospheric Dispersion Modeling in Safety Analyses: GENII.

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Presentation transcript:

EFCOG Safety Analysis Working Group May 10, 2012 Jeremy Rishel Bruce Napier Atmospheric Dispersion Modeling in Safety Analyses: GENII

Today’s Presentation…. Will provide a high-level overview of the GENII codes. Will cover basic aspects of GENII’s acute atmospheric transport model. Will review the GENII deposition model that is used to estimate the deposition velocity used in plume depletion. 2

GENII Development History 1988 – GENII V1 Released ICRP-26/30/48 dosimetry 1990 – GENII V1.485 stabilized Current DOE Toolbox Version 1992 – GENII-S stochastic version 2004 – GENII V2 ICRP-72 age-dependent dosimetry Federal Guidance Report 13 risk factors 2006/7 – V&V 2008/9 – New features for NRC (biota doses, etc.) 2012 – GENII V (soon-to-be toolbox version) 3

GENII Overview A set of computer programs for estimation of radionuclide concentrations in the environment and dose/risk to humans from: Acute or chronic exposures resulting from Releases to the atmosphere or surface water, or Initial contamination conditions A typical scenario for DOE safety-basis calculations might look like the following: 4

GENII Modeling Scenarios Far-Field scenarios Atmospheric transport (Acute or chronic) Surface water transport (Acute or chronic) Near-Field scenarios Spills Buried waste (Groundwater use - GW transport modeling is NOT an explicit part of GENII) 5

GENII Acute Atmospheric Transport Straight-line (centerline) Gaussian plume for individuals For short duration releases (~2 hours) Single source Ground-level or elevated releases Radial grid Radial sectors by 16 or 36 compass points A specialized module for 95% conditions is now available GENII 95% sector-dependent values are calculated with respect to the total time the wind is blowing in that sector; this is similar to HOTSPOT. MACCS2 95% sector-dependent values are calculated with respect to the total number of hours in one year (8760 hours), or the 438 th value in each sector. RG1.145 recommends the 99.5%, or 44 th value in each sector GENII/HOTSPOT 95% will generally be higher than MACCS2 95% and closer to RG

GENII Parameterizations for Atmospheric Diffusion GENII utilizes the Pasquill Gifford (PG) stability classes (A-G) and associated diffusion coefficients Various parameterizations exist in GENII for estimating the PG lateral (σ y ) and vertical (σ z ) diffusion coefficients: Briggs Open Country and Urban EPA Industrial Source Complex (ISC3) Model (1995) Eimutis and Konicek (1972) Used in various NRC codes: PAVAN, MESORAD, XOQDOQ, etc. Comparison of the PG parameterizations reveals the methods are essentially indistinguishable out to distances of ~11 km, beyond which, the Briggs open country parameterization begins to diverge 7

GENII Parameterizations for Atmospheric Diffusion σ y Near-field Comparison 8

GENII Parameterizations for Atmospheric Diffusion σ y Far-field Comparison 9

GENII Dispersion Adjustments Plume rise from buoyancy and/or momentum Wind Speed Profiling Adjusts the measured wind speed to final plume height Diabatic wind profile – accounts for surface roughness and stability Diffusion Enhancements Building wake: adjustments to σ y and σ z to account for enhanced turbulence around buildings Ramsdell and Fosmire (1995) low wind speed correction Direction-dependent building wake model from ISC3 (1995) Buoyancy-induced dispersion: adjustments to σ y and σ z to account for enhanced turbulence from plume rise (buoyancy or momentum) 10

GENII Deposition GENII also accounts for dry and wet deposition of the plume Deposition depletes the plume available for air inhalation dose; the deposited material accounts for dose through ground shine and ingestion pathways Dry Deposition Particles and reactive gases (noble gases assumed not to deposit) Based on a “resistance” model Includes gravitational settling of larger particles Wet deposition Gases (solubility) and particles (washout) Dependent on precipitation rate Rain and snow considered 11

Dry Deposition Digression Many complex processes are involved in the transfer of pollutants at the surface: Properties of the depositing material (particle size, shape, and density) Surface characteristics (surface roughness, vegetation type, amount, physiological state) Atmospheric properties (stability, turbulence intensity) Commonly used measure of deposition is the “deposition velocity” (v d ) (m/s) Defined by the bulk deposition flux of material onto the ground from material in the air: v d [m/s] = Flux [(g/(m 2 s)] / χ [g/m 3 ] Reported deposition velocities estimated from experimental data exhibit considerable variability due to the many factors affecting deposition 12

Observed Dry Deposition Velocities (Slinn et al. 1978) 13

GENII Dry Deposition Velocity 14

GENII Dry Deposition Velocity cont’d The aerodynamic (r a ) and surface-layer (r s ) resistances are a function of: Wind speed Surface roughness Atmospheric stability In general, a faster wind speed, a rougher surface, or a more thermally unstable atmosphere will decrease r a and r s (enhance inertial impaction), and therefore increase v d. 15

GENII Plume Deposition and Depletion The deposition velocity is used to deplete the plume. As noted previously, a faster wind speed will increase the deposition velocity for particles within ~1 to 20 µm range. However, a faster wind speed also means that the plume is over a given location for less time, which means it has less time to deposit out (i.e., deplete) at that location Therefore, a faster wind speed has offsetting effects: it increases the deposition velocity, but the plume has less time to deplete over a given location 16

Contact Information (for copies of GENII) Website: 17