David George Housing Intelligence for the East Midlands (hi4em) December 2011

Fuel Poverty costs How does fuel poverty impact on society? Slows infant development – impact for life Children and teenagers more likely to suffer: –Meningitis and respiratory problems –Long term ill health and disability –Slow physical growth and delayed cognitive development Vulnerable adults more likely to suffer: –Heart attack, stroke or respiratory illness –Slips, trips and falls Huge cost to NHS, Education, Social Services, Criminal Justice System – and people’s lives

References: Harker L (2006) Chance of a lifetime: The impact of housing on children’s lives. London: Shelter. r/chance_of_a_lifetime_-_the_impact_of_bad_housing_on_childrens_lives r/chance_of_a_lifetime_-_the_impact_of_bad_housing_on_childrens_lives Capie R (2009) Beyond built: The role of housing in tackling inequality. CIH presentation to the Marmot Review. Review of Health and Safety Risk Drivers’ CLG in 2008: y.pdf y.pdf

East Midlands Fuel Poverty levels DECC 2008 LSOA dataset = 359,000 (19.2%) –Based on fuel costs, income and energy needed to heat homes Hi4em 2011 LSOA dataset = 277,400 (14.1%) –Based on CO 2 emissions, household income and fuel costs (Nottingham Energy Partnership web site March 2011) –What is actually spent rather than what is needed

Spatial distribution

Effect of price rises 15% Price rise:  75,000 more fuel poor  26.9% increase  30%+ in parts of Lincolnshire  Map shows numeric increase Hi4em fuel poverty Model can be updated as prices fluctuate

UK Carbon Reduction targets

East Midlands targets

Green deal – how many homes?  Lofts & cavities : –32,400 tonnes - equal to 381,000 loft top-ups or 81,000 cavity insulations Major measures – primarily solid wall insulation –243,000 tonnes – equal to 162,000 dwellings or 30% of all solid walled houses

The task  Will get harder –Fuel market price increases –Cost of carbon reduction policies expected to be £200 per household –Policies expected to have much smaller impact where homes are fully insulated Message: –Pay to insulate your home, or pay to insulate your neighbour’s home Challenge: –Match Green Deals to fuel poor households

Fuel Poor households DECC data: 61.4% are single adult households

Fuel Poor households DECC data: 26.8% of single adult households are fuel poor

Fuel Poor households Hi4em data: 71% are single adult households or home sharers

Fuel Poor households Hi4em data: 26.9% are single adult households or home sharers

Targeting  Average area of 3,000 households:  Target 1,000 single person households – data available to LAs through Council Tax single person discount  Reaches 269 in fuel poverty = approx 66% of all fuel poor  Leaves 139 fuel poor families to find

Targeting Single person households in or at risk of fuel poverty Families in or at risk of fuel poverty

Hi4em help Hi4em model can be split into families and single person households Your household data can be added to improve accuracy: –Insulation installed –Boilers replaced –CO 2 emission estimates –Renewable energy installations –Household income data Target areas based on most up-to-date data

Hi4em help We can analyse data to give: dwelling and household characteristics of fuel poor households in your area loft, cavity and solid wall insulation targets to eliminate fuel poverty and meet carbon reduction targets in any area Ranking of lower super output areas to your criteria – fuel poverty, dwelling age, vulnerability etc

More information Full report and appendices: Expands on these themes and gives much more data Available at

Any Questions?