Chris Birchfield Atmospheric Sciences, Spanish minor
Center of low pressure Warm Core No fronts attached
Warm tropical oceans between 8° and 20° latitude Typically 80°F< Tropical disturbance Convection - Thunderstorms form Rotation due to Coriolis Force Depression Tropical Storm Hurricane
Inner-core observations of hurricanes limited to dropsondes or buoys Modelers forced to use high-sensitivity PBL parameterizations Importance of surface fluxes & vertical mixing Equivalent potential temperature (Θ e )
Burk-Thompson PBL scheme Bulk-Aerodynamic PBL scheme Blackadar PBL scheme MRF PBL scheme BL/BT BL/BU1 BL/BU2 BU/BT MRF/BT
Domain A – 36-km grid Domain B – 12-km grid C1 & C2 – moving 4-km grids
Used to conduct 72-hr simulations Uses course grid of 193 X 163 grid points Uses x,y spacing of 36 km (fig.1) Grid centered at 33°N, 84°W Conditions were obtained from ECMWF 9 high-resolution simulations
Shows max winds in excess of 50 m/s E Shaded region = winds of 35< m/s
BT yields winds of 55< m/s BA has wavenumber 2 pattern. 100 km area of 35 m/s winds BL and MRF display weaker winds
Indicates partial eyewall Radius of ~25km Northern convective bands showed high reflectivities
Each case shows defined eyewall Precipitation less defined – more scattered
BT BA BL MRF Vertical Velocity Tangential Velocity
BT BA BL MRF Radial Velocity Equivalent Potential Energy (Θ e )
BT BA BL MRF Avg. Tangential Velocity Temp. Tendency
BT BA BL MRF Water Vapor Tendencies Eddy Diffusivity Coefficient
q v = Vapor mixing ratio K = Eddy diffusivity L v = Latent heat of vaporization ρ = Density of air Δz 1 = Vertical grid increment of lowest layer
E s & C q = Moisture H s & C 0 = Heat τ s & C D = Momentum C k = Enthalpy
Blackadar agrees with Hawkins and Imbembo up to 45 m/s BT values parallel, but lower due to weaker dependence of z o. BA is uniform due to lack of wind speed dependence z o
Original Blackadar produces weakest storm (C k /C D ) is smallest BL/BU1 neglecting z o produces the strongest storm BL/BU2 including z o does not produce strongest
The MM5 model simulated Hurricane Bob in high resolution Results exhibited high sensitivity to PBL processes. Min SLP and max winds varied by 16mb and 15 m/s BT & BA produced the strongest storms Vertical structures similar in BT, BL and BA Each PBL scheme differed in vertical mixing
Intensity increases as C k /C D increases Surface fluxes & vertical mixing differ difficult to ascertain individual roles. Simulated intensity varies depending on wind speed dependence of the surface roughness parameter z 0 Precipitation forecasts very sensitive Obtaining measurements for heat, moisture, momentum essential. Dropsondes & Doppler Radar play significant role in observing the depth.
More measurements Dissipative heating Sea spray Ocean-atmosphere coupling