Productivity Puzzles in Europe Paris, January 2015.

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Presentation transcript:

Productivity Puzzles in Europe Paris, January 2015

A labour productivity slowdown, Especially in European countries G7: Annual hourly productivity growth % (Source: OECD)

Small and medium sized European Countries: Annual hourly productivity growth % (Source: OECD)

Two major exceptions: Australia… and Spain Annual hourly productivity growth % (Source: OECD)

A multi-factor productivity slowdown (or recovery), as well For most countries, large contrasts compared to previous recessions No straightforward explanations Large uncertainty on the future of (productivity) growth Surprising unemployment figures Why puzzling?

Eg. The rise in tertiary-educated employment was in general unaffected by the crisis. 1000s France, Germany, UK (EU LFS)

Many open questions Mismeasurements? The signs of a secular stagnation or of faltering innovations? Or a transitory phenomenon? A common story for Europe or a sum of coincidences? The roles of various shocks: financial and debt crises, labour market policies, demographic transition

Today Morning session: Global views Afternoon sessions: the cases of the 3 largest European economies –France, Germany, United-Kingdom- and the “outlier” Spain

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