Outline: Motivation Mission and Approach Description of Current Projects Representative of Approach Summary and Questions A US National Climate Predictions and Projections (NCPP) Platform Prepared by the NCPP CORE TEAM March 5, 2012

222 Typical Practitioner "Climate scientists have already established that the world needs to be prepared for sea level rise, more extreme environmental conditions, and more rapid environmental change. Decision makers are already factoring this into their processes. Given this: Where can climate science add demonstrable additional value?"

333 What’s Missing? “Better” climate information is rarely sufficient; this is not simply a problem of handing off data and information. Repeated studies have shown that usable climate information follows from the generation or production of problem solving strategies by teams containing both scientists and non-scientist practitioners. (e.g. Lemos and Morehouse, 2005) Lemos and Morehouse, 2005 National Climate Predictions and Projections Platform. This co-generation or co-production of solution strategies is at the foundation of the National Climate Predictions and Projections Platform. We work at the interfaces between climate science and decision making.

444 NCPP Mission and Strategy Mission: Supports state-of-the- art approaches to develop and deliver comprehensive regional climate information and facilitate its use in decision making and adaptation planning. Strategy: A participatory community enterprise where climate information users, infrastructure developers, and scientists come together in a collaborative problem solving environment.

555 NCPP is an emerging Participatory Community Focused on the synthesis of existing climate assets spread across federal agencies, regional and local governments, universities, professional societies, nonprofits, and commercial activities

666 NCPP Problem Approach Work through pilot projects and use cases that support – Provision of guidance and advisory narratives – Provision of quality-assessed, digital climate data – Development of IT infrastructure Pilot projects support extension to growing capacity – Study “How is the Problem Addressed?” – Develop templates that facilitate similar problems – Evaluation of effectiveness of provided information and services

777 NCPP Current Pilot Projects PROJECTS FUNCTIONS RESOURCES Pilots Missouri Basin La Nina Downscaling -Evaluation Workshop Use Cases Climate Indices (technical framework) Translational Information & Guidance / Infrastructure / Data Access (Templates and Tools to Facilitate Community Problem Solving) Existing Resources / Open Source Tools / Community Activities NCPP Core Team NCPP Core Team NCPP Core Team NCPP Core Team NCPP Core Team NCPP Core Team

National Climate Service NCPP and open communities 88 Link to COG NSF (CDI) Commodity Governance List of related projects Link to COG

National Climate Service Downscaling NCPP Goals –Evaluation Standards –Guidance Documents –Translation for users and development of metadata / common language Climate Science Applications Team –K. Dixon (GFDL), K. Hayhoe (Texas Tech), R. Horton (Columbia Univ.), K. Kunkel (NCDC; NC State), X.-Z. Liang (Maryland), L. Mearns (NCAR), J. Winkler (MSU), A. Wood (NWS/CBRFC) Plan White Paper for Publication in Summer Link to COG

National Climate Service Missouri River Basin / La Nina 2012 Extremes (NCPP Goals) Real-world example of regional problem –Evaluation of provided information –Engagement of network of users for use-driven problems –Translation of global to regional / seasonal to long-term Template for problem solving (link to design doc )link to design doc Potential capacity building regional problems –Technique – how to provide usable information –Footprint of usable resources / Gap identification –Engagement of users in capacity building –Development of COG as aggregation center for class of problems 10 Link to COG

National Climate Service Climate Indices Pilot & North Central – Climate Science Center (NC - CSCs) Climate Indices for Impacts Assessment: technical project to spur development of framework for translational information and shared services: NCPP, USGS Derivatives Portal, and data collections at Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) NC- CSC: deliberate, ongoing interaction to prototype how NCPP will work with CSCs (Department of Interior) to develop and deliver needed climate information products. 11 Link to COG

National Climate Service Examples of Potential Resource Re-use OpenClimateGIS: geospatial web service that provides access to climate model forecasts in geospatial formatsOpenClimateGIS GLISAClimate.org: Use-driven Problem Solving EnvironmentGLISAClimate.org 12 Link to COG

13 Summary NCPP is focused on the synthesis of existing capabilities to build a sustained capability. Relies on last decade’s development of pieces of a potential integrated capacity: Investments in understanding user needs and use of climate information Investments in information technology infrastructure Emergence of successful approaches to govern distributed communities Status Set of pilot projects where we participate in the project with the goal on understanding “how” the problem is approached – then structuring that information into new capacity and extending to new problems and communities Developing a model of project governance to formalize multi-agency, multi-sponsored ownership of NCPP

14 NCPP CORE TEAM Program/Platform manager – Don Anderson Chief Scientist: Richard Rood Translational Information & Guidance Integration and Design: Joseph Barsugli Caspar Ammann Infrastructure and DataCecelia DeLuca Application Pilots Community Interfaces Wayne Higgins Administration Galia Guentchev, Allyn Treshansky, Richard Rood, Cecelia DeLuca Galia Guentchev Core Team Luca CinquiniAllyn Treshansky Doug KluckAndrea Ray Executive Board (in progress)