Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction (FFMP) Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction-Advanced (FFMPA) Reggina Cabrera NOAA/National Weather Service Eastern.

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Presentation transcript:

Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction (FFMP) Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction-Advanced (FFMPA) Reggina Cabrera NOAA/National Weather Service Eastern Region Johnson City - Picture from Pressconnects.com

Tools 2 FFPIFFMPDHM-TF

FFPI FFMPA FFPI Shows you areas that you should be concerned, where flash flooding could occur. It is static FFMPA Monitors areas where current/future rainfall might prompt a warning. It is dynamic 3

FFMP Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction (FFMP) is a Decision Assistance tool specifically designed to help forecasters monitor and evaluate the flash flood threat and decide whether or not to issue flash flood warnings It does this by using radar data to calculate precipitation accumulation in hydrologic water basins over various time periods and compare to the suggested Flash Flood Guidance (FFG), provided by River Forecast Centers (RFCs).

Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction tool used by National Weather Service forecasters to track the precipitation rates and accumulations in small basins (typically 5 to 25 square kilometers) as compared to flash flood guidance. Information is updated every 4.5 to 6 minutes. The stream name and county can also be displayed so more specific information can be included in flash flood warning messages.

Data Requirements –Radar: DHR product for each applicable radar –Basin shapefile for each applicable radar –Radar Bin shapefile for each applicable radar –Flash Flood Guidance (FFG) issued by the RFCs.

Basins 2-20 mi 2

Basic Components  Processor  Creates input data  Display  Displays data as an image (map)  Displays data in a table  Displays data in a time trend  Flash Flood Threat Indicator (FFTI)  The Monitor

Processor Ingests  Localization  Radar data  Flash Flood Guidance (FFG) Writes output for each radar volume scan:  

Display Image: displays Counties or Basins Basin Table: GUI presenting data in tabular form Basin Trend: launched form Basin Table or D2D Image (if made active)

Set of Displays Basin Trend Graph D2D Image Basin Table

County Precipitation Accumulation Display Images from a WFO-created Presentation Left Click on County Name To zoom in

Basin Precipitation Accumulation Display Only displays those basins within the county area selected. FFMP 1.0 Hour Basin Avg Precip Left Click to Zoom out. Right Click to display the Basin Trend. Left Click to Zoom in more.

Basin Trend Graph Where the accumulation is above the FFG there is a threat of flash flooding Instantaneous Rate Accumulation Flash Flood Guidance

Flash Flood Threat Indicator (FFTI). Provides GUI to define settings. Note: FFG Expiration definition is here.

FFMPA: Display

17

18

28 th September,

Highlights/Strengths: Split Window –Combine QPE with QPF, then compare to guidance –Brings much more of a predictive quality to FFMP

Tom Filiaggi

Questions? 22 Binghamton, NY - Picture from Pressconnects.com