Wind in the UK – a growing market Dr Gordon Edge Director of Policy RenewableUK.

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Presentation transcript:

Wind in the UK – a growing market Dr Gordon Edge Director of Policy RenewableUK

A word on who we are…

Wind starting to deliver 2004:250MW 2005:440MW 2006:630MW 2007:430MW 2008:867MW 2009:1,077MW

Operational wind farms 4,491MW –3,450MW onshore –1,041MW offshore 2,872 turbines Ttt H L K Ttt H

Wind farms under construction 1,656MW –537MW onshore –1,119MW offshore 614 turbines HHHHHHHHHH H

Wind farms consented Considerable capacity consented but yet to start construction –4,357MW onshore wind –3,127MW offshore wind 13,600MW in total built, building or ready to build

The onshore planning logjam ~8,000MW of onshore capacity is built, building or ready to build However, nearly 20,000MW has entered the planning system since 2002 ~2,500MW rejected 7,700MW being held up in planning Aviation issues a key problem

Moving ahead onshore Projects consented may still have barriers to delivery –Planning conditions may need to be discharged –Grid connections may still be awaited –Finance may not be in place Nonetheless, we anticipate delivery of ~1GW/year for the next five years –2010 may see a dip in onshore delivery over 2009, mostly due to finance issues

The UK has a healthy offshore pipeline STW 6.4 GW Wind Farm Capacity (MW) InstalledUnder Construction/ Contracted ConsentedPlanned ,000 47GW of leases in total… Round 3 32 GW Extensions ~ 1 – 2 GW …But when are they delivered?

Near term delivery quite clear Source: UK Offshore Wind: Staying on Track, report by Garrad Hassan for BWEA, June 2009

Possible offshore delivery post-2015 Crown Estate 20% attrition, some projects delayed by 1 year 30% attrition, most projects delayed by 2 years Installed in 2020: High: 45GW; Medium: 24GW; Low: 14GW

Some uncertainties The Election –Unclear what effect a change of Government might have –May be changes in support mechanism, planning Implementation of ‘Connect & Manage’ –Implications for connection, particularly in Scotland Implementation of the OFTO regime –Affects offshore projects particularly around Charging for transmission services –Potential move to per MWh charges instead of per kW per year

So… Despite some uncertainty, the UK is moving to a market of: –~1GW/year onshore, –~1GW/year offshore, –~3-4GW/year offshore,

Let’s get to work!

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