Advanced Trading Course Intra-Day Chart Patterns

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Presentation transcript:

Advanced Trading Course Intra-Day Chart Patterns Day Trade Warrior Advanced Trading Course Intra-Day Chart Patterns

What do we know? We have learned about Managing Risk (2:1 profit loss ratio 50% success target) We have learned how to find the “Right Stocks” (high relative volume) We have learned what good Daily Charts look like and how to find pockets or windows of no support/resistance

How to find Entries? We know the “right stocks” how to we find buy and sell spots? CHART PATTERNS Flags are my favorite HFT’s can’t find patterns the way retail Traders can, that’s why patterns work best on stocks everyone is trading that day.

Intra-day vs Daily charts When we have a super strong stock it can override a poor daily chart. A great daily chart usually can’t override a poor intraday chart or a lack of intra-day volume Focus on the stock being a Stock in Play! Some of the biggest home run trades will have both great daily and intraday charts

Volume Makes the Pattern We NEED volume to make a pattern resolve. Without volume, the pattern will fail. Ask, do we have High Relative Volume? Is Volume coming in at the Breakout Spot? Volume confirms we are right, other people see the pattern too!

Trend Continuation Setups We look to get into a stock already trending. We must look for safe entries. We can trade Pull Backs and Breakouts. We set tight stop because we are buying stocks usually somewhat extended.

Trend Continuation Requirements We look for immediate resolution or we bail out. Ideal Trending Stocks have clean Daily Charts with Windows We trade most aggressively 9:30-10am and 3:30pm-4pm. The first 30min and last 30min is when we typically see the most momentum.

Catalyst Required For Trending Stocks I like to know there is a catalyst. A catalyst can be earnings, press release, or other type of news that impacts the stock. This gives us the reason traders will be excited to trade this stock. We want to be trading the stocks everyone is talking about. They are being closely watched, and will typically have cleaner FOLLOW THROUGH.

Flat Top Breakouts Ascending Wedge Patterns This is one of my Favorite Patterns Coiling is good, Period of Consolidation We don’t want to see a U shape or Double Top formation, this is bearish. http://daytradewarrior.com/breakout-trading-strategy/

Flat Top Entry Indicators I look to buy the resistance breakout and set my stop at the low of the last 5minutes candle. If I don’t get immediately breakout, I often sell ½ or all my position and wait. We should see quick resolution when these ascending wedges breakout. The long period of coiling is building strength for the break. If the break doesn’t come with volume, it’s also a bad sign.

Flat Top Exit Indicators Stop is the low of the last 5min candle If I risk 10 cents my goal is to make 20 cents. Once I can sell ½ at 20 cents, I will adjust my stop to breakeven to protect profits. At this point, I will use a trailing stop, adjust my stop as the stock moves up.

Intraday and Daily Coming Together

Flat Top Breakout

Flat Top Breakout

Flat Bottom Breakdowns http://daytradewarrior.com/breakdown-trading-strategy/

Bull Flags Bull Flags are a little riskier but work best on high volume stocks in the morning. Quick Ramp up, small pull back, then go http://daytradewarrior.com/bull-flag-trading/

Bull Flag Entry Requirements I Look for a sharp ramp up, and a small pull back. The pull back can’t be more than 30% of the move up, and MUST hold the 50% retracement line. I buy the first candle (1min if heavy opening range vol, 5min if lighter mid-day vol) to make a new high. Stop is at the low of the pull back.

Bull Flag Exit Indicators Like the Flat Top Exit Indicators, I set my stop at the low of the last 5min candle, and will keep a partial position as long as possible. Once I have hit my 2:1 profit loss ratio, I will sell ½ and adjust my stop to breakeven.

High Flying Bull Flag with excellent daily chart

Bull Flag Breakout

Bull Flag Pattern

Bull Flag Pattern (volume)

Bear Flags Bear Flags will have a quick drop, then a few candles of bouncing. Then more selling. Any pause in Buying is considered Bearish Entry requirements and Exit Indicators are the same as Bull Flags except in reverse. http://daytradewarrior.com/bear-flag-trading-strategy/

Bear Flags

Moving Average Pull Back (essentially a longer forming flag) Many Stocks will Trend Up and Pull Back to a Moving Average before another Move up. These Pull Backs are Buying Opportunities if the Moving Averages Hold Which Moving Average is in Play? 5ema, 9ema, 20ema, etc Smart Buyers look to buy the 1st pull back on a strong stock Therefore, we must scan for stocks making a QUICK move, and try to be one of the buyers

Moving Average Pull Back

News & IPO Trades Always Remember to Let the Dust Settle When News Breaks, The combination of high frequency Traders and aggressive retail traders can create huge volatility. News is risky! Wait until a PATTERN is forming, bull flag, flat top, etc. Volume 1st candle, 200k shares, 2nd candle, 20k shares, NO GOOD

News example

IPO example

Examples of Fake Outs

Examples of Fake Outs

Counter Trend Trading Trading Against the Trend is Risky However, if we can get a tight stop, there can be a lot of Upside Potential with a clear line in the sand that is your stop. Rubber Band Concept – Stretched out, need to bounce back!!

Top Reversals I believe the majority of Retail Traders have a Long Biased. This makes Top Reversals difficult because fewer people are shorting. Newbies can get smoked! Never hold after exit indicator and use caution http://daytradewarrior.com/top-reversal

Bottom Bounce Strategy Setup Requirements: Look for extension to downside (rubber band) I look for a STRONG sell of on high volume The best bounces are heavy sell offs that have a peak in volume at the low of day. I focus on Bounce plays from 10am – 4pm.

Bottom Bounce Strategy Entry Indicators Look for 1min candle to make a new high – This is where I take ½ size Look for 5min candle to make a new high – This is where I double up, or take an initial position Exit Indicators Stop is always at the low of day. Adjust stop to low of last 5min candle as you move into profit zone, selling along the way. Target is always at the VWAP

Bottom Reversal “Bounce” Bottom Bounces have the advantage of Short Covering and Retail Traders jumping in to scalp the Bottom Bounce Examples of Bounces: http://daytradewarrior.com/bottom-reversal/

Bounce Examples – Volume Peak (5min vs 1min)

Bottom Bounce

Bottom Bounce

Bottom Bounce

Red to Green The Red to Green Move is a powerful reversal setup to trade. It is most powerful between 9:30-9:45. Characteristics is that a stock gapped up, sold off for a few candles, then rips up through the highs and goes green. Opposite for Green to Red move for shorting

Red to Green Example

Extras & Links Email me with questions daytradewarrior@gmail.com http://daytradewarrior.com/breakout-trading-strategy/