9.2 Inferences About 2 Proportions

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Presentation transcript:

9.2 Inferences About 2 Proportions Notation: 𝑝 1 = 𝑛 1 = 𝑥 1 = 𝑝 1 = 𝑞 1 = Pooled sample proportion 𝑝 = 𝑞 =

Requirements, Test Statistic, and C.I. Test statistic for two proportions: 𝑧= Confidence Interval estimate of 𝑝 1 − 𝑝 2 is:

Example 1 (page 452) Do Airbags Save Lives? The table below lists results from a simple random sample of front-seat occupants involved in car crashes (based on data from “Who Wants Airbags?” by Meyer and Finney, Chance, Vol. 18, No. 2). Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the fatality rate of occupants is lower for those in cars equipped with airbags. Airbag Available No Airbag Available Occupant Fatalities 41 52 Total number of occupants 11,541 9,853

Example 2 (page 454) Use the sample data given in Example 1 to construct a 90% confidence interval estimate of the difference between the two population proportions. What does the result suggest about the effectiveness of airbags in an accident? Airbag Available No Airbag Available Occupant Fatalities 41 52 Total number of occupants 11,541 9,853

Exercise 15 (page 458) A simple random sample of front-seat occupants involved in car crashes is obtained. Among 2823 occupants not wearing seat belts, 31 were killed. Among 7765 occupants wearing seat belts, 16 were killed. Construct a 90% confidence interval estimate of the difference between the fatality rates for those not wearing seat belts and those wearing seat belts. What does the result suggest about the effectiveness of seat belts?

Exercise 16 (page 458) Use the sample data in Exercise 15 with a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the fatality rate is higher for those not wearing seat belts. From exercise 15: “Among 2823 occupants not wearing seat belts, 31 were killed. Among 7765 occupants wearing seat belts, 16 were killed.”

9.3 - Inferences about Two Means: σ1≠ σ2 and are unknown Requirements:

Inferences about Two Means: σ1≠ σ2 and are unknown Hypothesis Testing Confidence Interval For this class, H0: Note: Test Statistic: where E = 𝑡= df = smaller of (n1-1) and (n2-1)

Inferences about Two Means: σ1= σ2 and are unknown Requirements:

Inferences about Two Means: σ1= σ2 and are unknown Hypothesis Testing Confidence Interval For this class, H0: Test Statistic: where E = 𝑡= 𝑠 𝑝 2 = 𝑛 1 −1 𝑠 1 2 + 𝑛 2 −1 𝑠 2 2 𝑛 1 −1 + 𝑛 2 −1 Note: df = n1+ n2 - 2 𝑃𝑜𝑜𝑙𝑒𝑑 𝑣𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒:

Hypothesis Test for Effect of Marijuana Use on College Students A group of light and heavy users of marijuana in college were tested for memory recall, with the results given below (based on data from “The Residual Cognitive Effects of Heavy Marijuana Use in College Student,” Journal of the American Medical Association). Use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the population of heavy marijuana users has a lower mean than the light users. Should marijuana use be of concern for college students? Items sorted correctly by light marijuana users: 𝑛=64, 𝑥 =53.3, 𝑠=3.6 Items sorted correctly by heavy marijuana users: 𝑛=65, 𝑥 =51.3, 𝑠=4.5

Hypothesis Test for Effect of Marijuana Use on College Students (continued) Now construct a 98% confidence interval for the difference between the two population means. Does the confidence interval include zero? What does this suggest about the equality of the two populations?

Repeat the hypothesis testing and Confidence interval with the assumption that σ1= σ2

9.4 - Inferences from Dependent Samples Notation: d = µd = 𝑑 = sd = n =

Requirements: 1.) The sample data are 2.) The samples are 3.) As long as there are no outliers and it looks close to a normal distribution, then we can say it has an approximately normal distribution

Hypothesis Testing Confidence Interval 𝑡= Test Statistic: df =

Example 1: Hypothesis Test of Claimed Freshman Weight Gain Use the following table of weights of students measured both in September and later in April of their freshman year with a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that for the population of students, the mean change in weight is equal to 0 kg. Weight (kg) Measurements of Students in their Freshman Year April weight 66 52 68 69 71 September weight 67 53 64 70 Difference d = (April weight) – (September weight) -1 4 -2 1

Conclusion:

Confidence Interval for Example 1 Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of µd Conclusion:

Page 482, #5: Car Mileage Listed below are measured fuel consumption amounts (in miles/gal) from a sample of cars. Using a 0.05 significance level and 𝜇 𝑑 =0 find the following: a.) 𝑑 = b.) 𝑠 𝑑 = c.) The test statistic: 𝑡= d.) The critical values: t = ± City fuel consumption 18 22 21 Highway fuel consumption 26 31 29