1 National Venture Capital Association 2008 Predictions Survey All data embargoed until: December 17, 2007.

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Presentation transcript:

1 National Venture Capital Association 2008 Predictions Survey All data embargoed until: December 17, 2007

2 NVCA 2008 Venture Capital Predictions Survey  Second annual predictions survey  Conducted in December 2007  More than 170 respondents  Quotes and press release available – contact Emily Mendell ( )

3 Venture Investment

4 How much will venture capitalists invest in 2008? Mean = $26.8 billion Median = $27 billion Range: $18 – 43 billion Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

5 Of which single global investment region are you most leery? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

6 Predictions for high growth investment sectors in 2008 Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

7 Predictions for moderate growth investment sectors in 2008 Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

8 Predictions for lower growth investment sectors in 2008 Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

9 Which single industry will be overvalued in 2008? Source: NVCA 2007 Predictions Survey

10 Which single industry will be undervalued in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

11 Venture Exits

12 In 2008, the venture-backed U.S. IPO market will… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey 15 % faster pace than % slower pace to % equal pace to 2007

13 Which stock exchanges hold the most promise for growth for venture backed companies in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

14 In 2008, transaction volume in the venture- backed M&A market will… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

15 In 2008, transaction value in the venture- backed M&A market will… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

16 Venture Fundraising

17 On average, venture capital funds raised in 2008 will be … Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

18 In 2008, we will see the number of venture capital firms… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

19 Venture Performance

20 How will venture capital performance change over time? Short Term Returns (1-5 years) Long Term Returns (5-10 years) Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

21 US Economic and Political Predictions

22 How will the US economy trend in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

23 Will the sub-prime credit woes be contained in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

24 Where will the price of oil be in December 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

25 What will happen to the value of the US dollar in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

26 Who will be sworn in as US president in January 2009? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey

27 Venture Capital Historical Data

28 VC Fundraising 1996 – 2007 (thru Q3) Source: VentureXpert™ Database by VE & NVCA

29 Venture Capital Investment 1995 – Q Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report; Data: Thomson Financial

30 Venture Exit Counts- IPOs and M&A by Year Source: Thomson Financial/National Venture Capital Association

31 Private Equity Returns As of 6/30/07 Source: Thomson Financial/National Venture Capital Association Fund Type 1yr 5 yr 10 yr 20 yr Early VC 8%-1%40%21% Balanced VC 25%6%18%14% Later VC 24%5%10%14% > All VC 18%3%21%16% Buyouts22%11%9%13% All PE 21%9%11%14% S&P %4%7%8% NASDAQ4%6%7%9%

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