How Aggressive do we get on Lipids? Christopher Cannon, M.D. Senior Investigator, TIMI Study Group Cardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, MA
CHD Event Rates in Secondary Prevention and ACS Trials Updated from - O’Keefe, J. et al., J Am Coll Cardiol 2004;43: y = x · R² = p < LDL Cholesterol (mg/dl) CHD Events (%) PROVE-IT-PR PROVE-IT-AT CARE-S LIPID-S HPS-S 4S-S HPS-P CARE-P LIPID-P 4S-P TNT 80 TNT 10A2Z 80 A2Z 20 IDEAL S20/40 IDEAL A80
Cholesterol Trialist Collaboration Meta-Analysis of Dyslipidemia Trials 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% Adapted from CTT Collaborators. Lancet. 2005; 366: Reduction in LDL Cholesterol (mmol/L) Major Vascular Events Proportional Reduction in Event Rate (SE) TNT IDEAL
Recent Coronary IVUS Progression Trials Median Change In Percent Atheroma Volume (%) Mean Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol (mg/dL) REVERSAL pravastatin REVERSAL atorvastatin CAMELOT placebo A-Plus placebo ACTIVATE placebo Relationship between LDL-C and Progression Rate ASTEROID rosuvastatin r 2 = 0.95 p<0.001 Nissen S. JAMA 2006
High-dose statin betterHigh-dose statin worse Odds Reduction Event Rates No./Total (%) High DoseStd Dose -16% 3972/13798 (28.8) 4445/13750 (32.3) -16% 1097/13798 (8.0) 1288/13750 (9.4) -12% 462/13798 (3.3) 520/13750 (3.8) +3% 340/13798 (2.5) 331/13750 (2.4) -6% 808/13798 (5.9) 857/13750 (6.2) -18% 316/13798 (2.3) 381/13750 (2.8) Coronary Death or Any Cardiovascular Event Coronary Death or MI Cardiovascular Death Non-Cardiovascular Death Total Mortality Stroke OR % CI, p=0.012 Odds Ratio (95% CI) Meta-Analysis of Intensive Statin Therapy All Endpoints Cannon CP, et al. OR, % CI, P=0.20 OR, % CI, p=0.73 OR, % CI, p=.054 OR, % CI, p= OR, % CI, p< Cannon CP, et al. JACC 2006; 48:
Odds ratio Study (n) Treatment Achieved LDL (mg/dl) Odds ratio (95% CI) 0.74 (0.58,0.94) TNT (10,001) Atorvastatin (0.52,0.98) A to Z (4497) Simvastatin (0.34,0.85) PROVE-IT (4162) Atorvastatin (0.61,1.05) IDEAL (8888) Atorvastatin (0.63,0.84), p<0.001 Overall (95% CI) Intensive statin therapy better Moderate statin therapy better Atorvastatin Simvastatin Pravastatin Simvastatin Intensive Moderate Scirica BM, et al. AHA 2005 Meta-Analysis of Intensive Statin Therapy CHF
Meta-Analysis of Intensive Statin Therapy in ACS Any Cardiovascular Event HR (95% Cl) Hulten E, et al. Arch Intern Med. 2006;166: ( ) 0.84 ( ) 0.76 ( ) 0.80 ( ) 0.81 ( ) 0.84 ( )
ACS Patients: Major Coronary Events MI + CHD Death + Resuscitated Cardiac Arrest Years Since Randomization Cumulative Hazard (%) HR =.66 (95% CI = 0.46, 0.95), P=.02 34% RRR Simvastatin Atorvastatin Pedersen, Olsson, Cater et al. Presented at World Congress of Cardiology 2006
months5 years Summary: 5 Years Of Follow-Up In IDEAL Is The Longest Period Of Follow-Up Of ACS Patients On Statin Therapy Cardiac Event (%) Atorvastatin 80 mg Pravastatin 40 mg Simvastatin mg 16% RRR P=0.005 PROVE IT MI or UA 18% RRR P=0.04 IDEAL All MI Pedersen, Olsson, Cater et al. Presented at World Congress of Cardiology 2006
Month 4 LDL and Long-Term Risk of Death or Major CV Event *Adjusted for age, gender, DM, prior MI, baseline LDL Wiviott SD, et al. JACC (0.59, 1.07) 0.67 (0.50, 0.92) 0.61 (0.40, 0.91) Hazard Ratio Lower BetterHigher Better Referent 012 <40 > > > Wiviott SD et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2005;46:
Screening P < * P < 0.01* P < * P < 0.05* *P-value for trend across LDL-C Major CV Events Across Quintiles of Achieved LDL LaRosa JC. AHA % patients
The Statin Decade: For LDL: “Lower is Better” R² = p < LDL Cholesterol (mg/dl) CHD Events (%) Adapted and Updated from O’Keefe, J. et al., J Am Coll Cardiol 2004;43: S CARE LIPID HPS PROVE IT –TIMI 22 IMPROVE IT TNT
ASA + Standard Medical Therapy Simvastatin 40 mg* Vytorin 10/40 mg* Duration: Minimum 2 1/2 year follow-up (>2955 events) Primary Endpoint: CV Death, MI, Hospital Admission for UA, revascularization (> 30 days after randomization), or Stroke Study Design Double-blind Patients stabilized post Acute Coronary Syndrome < 10 days LDL < 125 mg/dL (or < 100 mg/dL if prior statin) N=10,000 Follow-Up Visit Day 30, Every 4 Months *uptitrated to 80mg if LDL>79
LDL > 70 mg/dL, CRP > 2 mg/L Clinical Relevance of Achieved LDL and Achieved CRP After Treatment with Statin Therapy Ridker PM. NEJM 2005;352:20-28
CRP < 2 and LDL< 70 N = 659 CRP <2 and LDL ≥ 70 N = 1140 CRP ≥ 2 and LDL ≥ 70 N = 1244 CRP ≥ 2 and LDL < 70 N = 500 Figure 4 Cumulative probability of death or MI (%) Follow-up after Month 4 (days) Achieved CRP and LDL vs. Outcomes
Death/MI/UA post-month 4, by Month 4 Apo-B/Apo-A ratio Death/MI/UA post-month 4, by Month 4 Apo-B/Apo-A ratio Month 4 Apo-B/Apo-A Ratio Endpoint Probability Combined
Month 4 Apo-B/Apo-A Ratio Endpoint Probability CRP<2 CRP>=2 Ray AHA 05 The long term clinical risk of Apo B/AI can be further discriminated by achieved CRP levels
Median Achieved hsCRP hsCRP mg/dl mo 4 mo 8 mo p = NS p < Placebo Simva 20 Simva 40 Simva 80 A to Z p < hsCRP mg/dl mo 4 mo 2 yrs p < Prava 40 Atorva 80 PROVE IT
Pravastatin 40 mg Atorvastatin 80 mg Hazard ratio = 0.72 (CI 0.52,0.99) P=0.046 Days following randomization % of patients with death, MI or,rehospitalization for ACS Death, MI or ACS Rehospitalization (Early Phase) KK Ray et al. JACC Oct (in press)
What Factors are Associated with Elevated CRP levels? Age (years)1.01< Female on HRT vs Male2.4< Female not on HRT vs Male1.5< Current Smoker 1.5< BMI >25 kg/m 2 1.4< HDLC <50mg/dl LDL 70 mg/dl Glucose >110 mg/dl Clinical Event Pre-month Trig >150 mg/dl Atorvastatin 80mg0.7 <0.0001
Achieved CRP on Statin Therapy vs. Number of Risk Factors Risk factors 1) BMI > 25 2) Current smoker 3) HDL <50 4) TG > 150 5) Glucose >110 6) BP > 130/85 7) LDL >70 P trend < for each KK Ray et al. JACC 2005
Kaplan-Meier Estimates based on LDL-C < 70 mg/dL or TG < 150 mg/dL between 30 d and 2 yr follow-up Miller M AHA 2006
Triple Goal: Hazard of death, MI and recurrent ACS with number of goals achieved based on LDL-C (< 70 mg/dL), CRP (< 2 mg/L) & TG (< 150 mg/dL) Miller M AHA 2006
Risk CategoryLDL-C GoalInitiate TLC Consider Drug Therapy Very High risk: ACS, or CHD w/ DM,mult CRF <70 mg/dL 70 mg/dL > 70 mg/dL High risk: CHD or CHD risk equivalents (10-year risk >20%) If LDL <100 mg/dl <100 mg/dL (optional goal: <70 mg/dL) Goal <70 mg/dl 100 mg/dL > 100 mg/dL (<100 mg/dL: consider drug Rx) Moderately high risk: 2+ risk factors (10-year risk 10% to 20%) <100 mg/dL 130 mg/dL > 130 mg/dL ( mg/dL: consider drug Rx) Moderate risk: 2+ risk factors ( risk <10%) <130 mg/dL 130 mg/dL > 160 mg/dL Lower risk: 0-1 risk factor <160 mg/dL 160 mg/dL >190 mg/dL ATP III Update 2004: LDL-C Goals and Cutpoints for Therapy in Different Risk Categories Adapted from Grundy, S. et al., Circulation 2004;110:
Vytorin (Ezetimibe + Simvastatin) Greater LDL Reduction at Each Dose Simva 80 mg (n=67) Ezetimibe + Simva 80 mg (n=65) Simva 40 mg (n=65) Ezetimibe + Simva 40 mg (n=73) Simva 20 mg (n=61) Ezetimibe + Simva 20 mg (n=69) Simva 10 mg (n=70) Ezetimibe + Simva 10 mg (n=67) Mean % Change in LDL-C From Untreated Baseline simvastatinVytorin (ezetimibe +simvastatin) P 0.01 for Vytorin vs. simvastatin for each comparison Source: Vytorin package insert
Vytorin Reduces CRP More than Simvastatin at Each Dose 10 mg20 mg40 mg80 mg Sager PT, Atherosclerosis 2005;179:361-7 * p < 0.01 # p = patients with LDL enrolled in 2 RCTs
Conclusions: Early Benefit of Intensive Statin Therapy PROVE IT-TIMI 22 l Lower is better – LDL – CRP – Triglycerides l “Dual goal” and “triple goal” with statins Lower LDL and CRP and Trig, and probably HDL l Dual and triple therapy is frequently needed to achieve dual and triple goals (and probably) higher is better for HDL