Managerial Economics & Business Strategy

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Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 2 Market Forces: Demand and Supply McGraw-Hill/Irwin Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy Copyright © 2008 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Overview I. Market Demand Curve III. Market Equilibrium 2-2 Overview I. Market Demand Curve The Demand Function Determinants of Demand Consumer Surplus III. Market Equilibrium IV. Price Restrictions V. Comparative Statics II. Market Supply Curve The Supply Function Supply Shifters Producer Surplus

2-3 Market Demand Curve Shows the amount of a good that will be purchased at alternative prices, holding other factors constant. Law of Demand The demand curve is downward sloping. Price Quantity D

Determinants of Demand 2-4 Determinants of Demand Income Normal good Inferior good Prices of Related Goods Prices of substitutes Prices of complements Advertising and consumer tastes Population Consumer expectations

The Demand Function A general equation representing the demand curve 2-5 The Demand Function A general equation representing the demand curve Qxd = f(Px , PY , M, H,) Qxd = quantity demand of good X. Px = price of good X. PY = price of a related good Y. Substitute good. Complement good. M = income. Normal good. Inferior good. H = any other variable affecting demand.

Inverse Demand Function 2-6 Inverse Demand Function Price as a function of quantity demanded. Example: Demand Function Qxd = 10 – 2Px Inverse Demand Function: 2Px = 10 – Qxd Px = 5 – 0.5Qxd

Change in Quantity Demanded 2-7 Change in Quantity Demanded Price Quantity A to B: Increase in quantity demanded A 10 4 B 6 7 D0

Change in Demand Price Quantity D0 D0 to D1: Increase in Demand D1 6 7 2-8 Change in Demand Price Quantity D0 D0 to D1: Increase in Demand D1 6 7 13

2-9 Consumer Surplus: The value consumers get from a good but do not have to pay for. Consumer surplus will prove particularly useful in marketing and other disciplines emphasizing strategies like value pricing and price discrimination.

I got a great deal! That company offers a lot of bang for the buck! 2-10 I got a great deal! That company offers a lot of bang for the buck! Dell provides good value. Total value greatly exceeds total amount paid. Consumer surplus is large.

I got a lousy deal! That car dealer drives a hard bargain! 2-11 I got a lousy deal! That car dealer drives a hard bargain! I almost decided not to buy it! They tried to squeeze the very last cent from me! Total amount paid is close to total value. Consumer surplus is low.

Consumer Surplus: The Discrete Case 2-12 Price Consumer Surplus: The value received but not paid for. Consumer surplus = (8-2) + (6-2) + (4-2) = $12. 10 8 6 4 2 D 1 2 3 4 5 Quantity

Consumer Surplus: The Continuous Case 2-13 Price $ Consumer Surplus = $24 - $8 = $16 Value of 4 units = $24 10 8 6 4 Expenditure on 4 units = $2 x 4 = $8 2 D 1 2 3 4 5 Quantity

2-14 Market Supply Curve The supply curve shows the amount of a good that will be produced at alternative prices. Law of Supply The supply curve is upward sloping. Price Quantity S0

Supply Shifters Input prices Technology or government regulations 2-15 Supply Shifters Input prices Technology or government regulations Number of firms Entry Exit Substitutes in production Taxes Excise tax Ad valorem tax Producer expectations

The Supply Function An equation representing the supply curve: 2-16 The Supply Function An equation representing the supply curve: QxS = f(Px , PR ,W, H,) QxS = quantity supplied of good X. Px = price of good X. PR = price of a production substitute. W = price of inputs (e.g., wages). H = other variable affecting supply.

Inverse Supply Function 2-17 Inverse Supply Function Price as a function of quantity supplied. Example: Supply Function Qxs = 10 + 2Px Inverse Supply Function: 2Px = 10 + Qxs Px = 5 + 0.5Qxs

Change in Quantity Supplied 2-18 Change in Quantity Supplied Price Quantity S0 A to B: Increase in quantity supplied B 20 10 A 10 5

Change in Supply S0 to S1: Increase in supply Price S0 S1 8 6 5 7 2-19 Change in Supply S0 to S1: Increase in supply Price Quantity S0 S1 8 5 7 6

2-20 Producer Surplus The amount producers receive in excess of the amount necessary to induce them to produce the good. Price S0 P* Q* Quantity

Market Equilibrium The Price (P) that Balances supply and demand 2-21 Market Equilibrium The Price (P) that Balances supply and demand QxS = Qxd No shortage or surplus Steady-state

If price is too low… Price S D 7 6 5 6 12 Shortage 12 - 6 = 6 Quantity 2-22 If price is too low… Price S D 7 6 5 6 12 Shortage 12 - 6 = 6 Quantity

If price is too high… Surplus 14 - 6 = 8 Price S D 9 6 14 8 7 8 2-23 If price is too high… Surplus 14 - 6 = 8 Price S D 9 6 14 8 7 8 Quantity

Price Restrictions Price Ceilings Price Floors 2-24 Price Restrictions Price Ceilings The maximum legal price that can be charged. Examples: Gasoline prices in the 1970s. Housing in New York City. Proposed restrictions on ATM fees. Price Floors The minimum legal price that can be charged. Minimum wage. Agricultural price supports.

Impact of a Price Ceiling 2-25 Impact of a Price Ceiling Price S PF P* Q* P Ceiling Q s Shortage Q d D Quantity

Full Economic Price PF = Pc + (PF - PC) 2-26 Full Economic Price The dollar amount paid to a firm under a price ceiling, plus the nonpecuniary price. PF = Pc + (PF - PC) PF = full economic price PC = price ceiling PF - PC = nonpecuniary price

An Example from the 1970s Ceiling price of gasoline: $1. 2-27 An Example from the 1970s Ceiling price of gasoline: $1. 3 hours in line to buy 15 gallons of gasoline Opportunity cost: $5/hr. Total value of time spent in line: 3  $5 = $15. Non-pecuniary price per gallon: $15/15=$1. Full economic price of a gallon of gasoline: $1+$1=2.

2-28 Impact of a Price Floor Price Surplus S D PF Qd QS P* Q* Quantity

Comparative Static Analysis 2-29 Comparative Static Analysis How do the equilibrium price and quantity change when a determinant of supply and/or demand change?

Applications of Demand and Supply Analysis 2-30 Applications of Demand and Supply Analysis Event: The WSJ reports that the prices of PC components are expected to fall by 5-8 percent over the next six months. Scenario 1: You manage a small firm that manufactures PCs. Scenario 2: You manage a small software company.

Use Comparative Static Analysis to see the Big Picture! 2-31 Use Comparative Static Analysis to see the Big Picture! Comparative static analysis shows how the equilibrium price and quantity will change when a determinant of supply or demand changes.

Scenario 1: Implications for a Small PC Maker 2-32 Scenario 1: Implications for a Small PC Maker Step 1: Look for the “Big Picture.” Step 2: Organize an action plan (worry about details).

Big Picture: Impact of decline in component prices on PC market 2-33 Price of PCs Quantity of PC’s S D S* P0 Q0 P* Q*

Big Picture Analysis: PC Market 2-34 Big Picture Analysis: PC Market Equilibrium price of PCs will fall, and equilibrium quantity of computers sold will increase. Use this to organize an action plan contracts/suppliers? inventories? human resources? marketing? do I need quantitative estimates?

Scenario 2: Software Maker 2-35 Scenario 2: Software Maker More complicated chain of reasoning to arrive at the “Big Picture.” Step 1: Use analysis like that in Scenario 1 to deduce that lower component prices will lead to a lower equilibrium price for computers. a greater number of computers sold. Step 2: How will these changes affect the “Big Picture” in the software market?

Big Picture: Impact of lower PC prices on the software market 2-36 Big Picture: Impact of lower PC prices on the software market Price of Software S D* D P1 Q1 P0 Q0 Quantity of Software

Big Picture Analysis: Software Market 2-37 Big Picture Analysis: Software Market Software prices are likely to rise, and more software will be sold. Use this to organize an action plan.

Conclusion Use supply and demand analysis to 2-38 Conclusion Use supply and demand analysis to clarify the “big picture” (the general impact of a current event on equilibrium prices and quantities). organize an action plan (needed changes in production, inventories, raw materials, human resources, marketing plans, etc.).