Eugene Climate Events Since 2000 Not very many real anomalies.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – current and future state ENSO phase composites for upcoming winter temperature precipitation Climate Prediction.

Advertisements

El Niño. What is El Niño? A shift in ocean current direction and water temperature El Niño: the ocean part: Warm phase of ENSO: El Niño - Southern Oscillation.

October Winter Forecast October 29, 2011 Pete Parsons, ODF Meteorologist Pete Parsons, ODF Meteorologist.

Update on the Drought of 2011 TWCA Mid Year Conference June 16, 2011 Bob Rose, Meteorologist LCRA.

Drought Update; What’s in Store for 2012 LCRA Firm Water Customer Meeting January 26, 2011 Bob Rose, LCRA Chief Meteorologist.

Historical Texas Drought Update LCRA Firm Water Customer Meeting October 27, 2011 Bob Rose, LCRA Meteorologist.

X. X September Mo Tu We Th Fr Sa Su

Historical Texas Drought Update TAIA El Campo Meeting October 18, 2011 Bob Rose, LCRA Meteorologist.

Seattle Snow Cliff Mass University of Washington November 9, 2011.

Review of Northern Winter 2010/11

Friday Weather Discussion Clark Evans 27 March 2015.

Winter Outlook ( ) Winter Weather Forecast Conference OMSI / Oregon Chapter of the AMS 29 October 2011 Winter Weather Forecast Conference OMSI.

Chapter 7 Ocean Circulation: El Niño

Joaquin Martinez, Isabella Ortega, Johana Baldeon Emilia Alvarez.

Lesson 11: El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Physical Oceanography

Extreme Events and Climate Variability. Issues: Scientists are telling us that global warming means more extreme weather. Every year we seem to experience.

What is El Nino and will it end our drought?. What has caused the drought? We have been experiencing drought conditions since September, We've also.

Texas Drought Update TWCA Mid-Year Conference June 18, 2009 Bob Rose, Meteorologist, Lower Colorado River Authority TWCA Mid-Year Conference.

Extreme Events and Climate Variability X. William Proenza, Director National Weather Service Southern Region Fort Worth, Texas.

Winter Forecast George H. Taylor, CCM Applied Climate Services, Corvallis.

Ocean Circulation: El Niño

West Virginia Climate. Climate refers to the average weather of a region over a long period of time.

Drought! Bill Patzert 26 February 2014.

The Gulf Stream.

July 25, 2001 presents “Past, Present, and Future” Ed Kieser.

Try to describe all the things this comic is trying to explain.

WOW THIS IS FUN!  THE SUN : CLIMATE IS DIRECTLY LINKED TO THE SUN. SOME AREAS RECEIVE MORE OF THE SUN’S HEAT ENERGY THAN OTHERS.  WINDS : MOVEMENT.

ISSUES RELATED TO WINTER MONSOON IN MALAYSIA

Seasonal Outlook Long Range Forecast

September 2008 SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday

By Matt Masek March 22, Outline Review of 2011 – 2012 Winter Role of La Niña and Arctic Oscillation Spring Outlook One month (April) outlook Three.

1 Fourth IAP Meeting February ° Extreme Event: Winter US Tornado Outbreak --- Attribution challenge °2007 US Annual Precipitation Extremes ---

Scott's Winter Forecast ! It’s like looking into a crystal ball… Seriously though; getting the forecast to verify seven days out is hard enough….why.

Winter Outlook ( ) Oregon Museum of Science and Industry AMS Oregon Chapter Meeting 17 November 2012 Oregon Museum of Science and Industry AMS.

“Comparison of model data based ENSO composites and the actual prediction by these models for winter 2015/16.” Model composites (method etc) 6 slides Comparison.

Sections & Council Formation Dates In Australia SectionsGeo CodeFormation Date 1 Australia CouncilR May-86 2 Australian Capital TerritoryR Nov-88.

2011 Calendar Important Dates/Events/Homework. SunSatFriThursWedTuesMon January

El Niňo. El Nińo: A significant increase in sea surface temperature over the eastern and central equatorial Pacific that occurs at irregular intervals,

Sunspot Cycles and the Drought of 2001 Kyle Martin Mainstem Hydrologist Columbia River Inter- Tribal Fish Commission Portland, Oregon.

MALAYSIA Feb 21 –22 February 21.

Ocean Circulation: El Niño El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) El Niño (Spanish for “the Child” in reference to baby Jesus) = warm surface current in.

Climate and Climate Change Chapter 9. Warm Up O Which is more Dense? O Materials: plastic container, warm water, cup, ice water, food coloring O Predict:

What is the impact of ENSO Cycle? Suzanne Fortin Cold season severe weather climatology.

M ETEOROLOGICAL C ONDITIONS A SSOCIATED WITH THE 2008 MIDWEST FLOOD Ray Wolf NOAA / National Weather Service Davenport, Iowa University of Iowa – Learning.

This Year (2014) So Far/ A Look Ahead John Lewis, Senior Forecaster National Weather Service Little Rock, Arkansas

Normal Conditions The trade winds move warm surface water towards the western Pacific. Cold water wells up along the west coast of South America (the Peru.

The Changing Threat – Why Do We Need to Manage Flood Risk? D2N2 Derby Funding Workshop 11 th May 2016.

Effects on Climate. Cover  Title: Effects on Climate  Color  Add a picture.

El Niño and La Niña El Niño is characterized by unusually warm ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific, as opposed to La Niña, which characterized.

John Lewis, Senior Forecaster National Weather Service

John Lewis, Senior Forecaster National Weather Service

Department of Meteorology and Hydrology Myanmar

2018 Agricultural Climate Outlook

Cha.19 Climate Change.

El Nino and La Nina An important atmospheric variation that has an average period of three to seven years. Goes between El Nino, Neutral, and La Nina (ENSO.

El Nino and La Nina.

The Climate System TOPICS ENSO Impacts Seasonal Climate Forecasts

Oceanic Influences on Climate

ENSO and Climate Outlook, Jan 2017:

Zimbabwe 2017/18 Seasonal update

Geo Units Formation Dates In Australia

Eugene Climate Events Since 2000

Factors Affecting Climate

Some Long Range Forecasts

A Climate Study of Daily Temperature Change From the Previous Day

EQ: What is the impact of climate on Georgia’s growth and development?

John Lewis, Senior Forecaster National Weather Service

2015 January February March April May June July August September

Winter/Spring Outlook:

Presentation transcript:

Eugene Climate Events Since 2000 Not very many real anomalies

Team Results AUG 02 12d < 45 Feb

El Nino/La Nina Expectations Do we see wet/dry hot/cold anomalies that line up with this pattern – not convincingly Do we see wet/dry hot/cold anomalies that line up with this pattern – not convincingly

‘heat waves”

Cold Spells These are subtle but statistically valid: These are subtle but statistically valid:

Excessive La Nina Rain January 2006: inches January 2006: inches November 2006: inches November 2006: inches January 2008: 8.54 inches January 2008: 8.54 inches And that’s about it And that’s about it

February Drought! 2001: : : : : : : : : : “10 % events” in the 8 years 5 “10 % events” in the 8 years P(x) = 1 chance in 815

Water Year Drought : November inches November inches December inches December inches January inches January inches February inches February inches Total9.46 inches Total9.46 inches Expected Total30.73 inches!! Expected Total30.73 inches!!