1 ESMF in Production at NCEP Mark Iredell Chief NCEP/EMC Global Climate and Weather Modeling Branch May 23, 2006 NCEP: “where America’s climate, weather,

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

NSF NCAR | NASA GSFC | DOE LANL ANL | NOAA NCEP GFDL | MIT | U MICH Emergence of the Earth System Modeling Framework NSIPP Seasonal Forecast.

Advertisements

1 William. M. Lapenta and John C. Derber Environmental Modeling Center NOAA/NWS/NCEP Next Generation Operational Global Model Development at NCEP.

Earth System Curator Spanning the Gap Between Models and Datasets.

Metadata Development in the Earth System Curator Spanning the Gap Between Models and Datasets Rocky Dunlap, Georgia Tech.

NEMS/GFS Overview Mark Iredell, Software Team Lead.

February High Impact Weather Workshop 1 JCSDA-HFIP and -ECMWF Workshop Recommendations Lars Peter Riishojgaard and Sid Boukabara Joint Center for.

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to the NWS 1 Radiance Assimilation Activities at SPoRT Will McCarty SPoRT SAC Wednesday June 13,

Overview of NEMS infrastructure Jun Wang Mark Iredell NEMS-NMMB tutorial April 1,

1 WRF Development Test Center A NOAA Perspective WRF ExOB Meeting U.S. Naval Observatory, Washington, D.C. 28 April 2006 Fred Toepfer NOAA Environmental.

1 The NOAA Environmental Modeling System at NCEP Thomas Black Mark Iredell Hann-Ming Henry Juang NOAA/ NWS/ NCEP/ Environmental Modeling Center 19 th Conference.

The NCEP operational Climate Forecast System : configuration, products, and plan for the future Hua-Lu Pan Environmental Modeling Center NCEP.

Nesting. Eta Model Hybrid and Eta Coordinates ground MSL ground Pressure domain Sigma domain  = 0  = 1  = 1 Ptop  = 0.

Mesoscale & Microscale Meteorological Division / NCAR ESMF and the Weather Research and Forecast Model John Michalakes, Thomas Henderson Mesoscale and.

The Next-Generation NCEP Production Suite EMC Senior Staff NCEP Production Suite Weather, Ocean, Land & Climate Forecast Systems.

Weather Research & Forecasting Model (WRF) Stacey Pensgen ESC 452 – Spring ’06.

1 NGGPS Dynamic Core Requirements Workshop NCEP Future Global Model Requirements and Discussion Mark Iredell, Global Modeling and EMC August 4, 2014.

1 NCEP Mark Iredell Chief NCEP/EMC Global Climate and Weather Modeling Branch May 23, 2006 NCEP: “where America’s climate, weather, and ocean services.

The NASA Modeling, Analysis and Prediction (MAP) Modeling Environment Don Anderson NASA HQ Sience Mission Directorate Earth-Sun Division Manager, Modeling,

Tolman, May 7, 2015MAPP Webinar, 1/14 Transition to operations at EMC What works and what does not work Hendrik L. Tolman Director, Environmental Modeling.

NSF NCAR | NASA GSFC | DOE LANL ANL | NOAA NCEP GFDL | MIT | U MICH First Field Tests of ESMF GMAO Seasonal Forecast NCAR/LANL CCSM NCEP.

1 NOAA’s Environmental Modeling Plan Stephen Lord Ants Leetmaa November 2004.

Project Overview GMAO Seasonal Forecast NCAR/LANL CCSM NCEP Forecast GFDL FMS Suite MITgcm NASA GMAO Analysis Climate Data Assimilation.

Climate 2010 Gary Strand High Performance Network Planning Workshop.

What is ESMF and what does it mean to adopt it? 3 rd ESMF Community Meeting Cecelia DeLuca Nancy Collins

Metadata for the Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) using the Earth System Modeling Framework (ESMF) Peter Bosler University.

NE II NOAA Environmental Software Infrastructure and Interoperability Program Cecelia DeLuca Sylvia Murphy V. Balaji GO-ESSP August 13, 2009 Germany NE.

1 Addressing Critical Skills Shortages at the NWS Environmental Modeling Center S. Lord and EMC Staff OFCM Workshop 23 April 2009.

ESMF Application Status GMAO Seasonal Forecast NCAR/LANL CCSM NCEP Forecast GFDL FMS Suite MITgcm NCEP/GMAO Analysis Climate Data Assimilation.

What is a Climate Model?.

Biological and Environmental Sciences Climate Research, Life Sciences Vince Wayland.

NW NCNE SCSESW Rootzone: TOTAL PERCENTILEANOMALY Noah VEGETATION TYPE 2-meter Column Soil Moisture GR2/OSU LIS/Noah 01 May Climatology.

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Review June 30 - July 2, 2009 Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Review June 30 - July 2, 2009.

Monsoon Desk at NCEP NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop April 11-15, 2011.

1 Global Model Development Priorities Presented By: Hendrik Tolman & Vijay Tallapragada (NWS/NCEP) Contributors: GCWMB (EMC), NGGPS (NWS)

1 Coupled Modeling for Seasonal to Interannual Presented By Suru Saha (EMC/NCEP) Contributors: Jack Woollen, Daryl Kleist, Dave Behringer, Steve Penny,

Higher Resolution Operational Models. Operational Mesoscale Model History Early: LFM, NGM (history) Eta (mainly history) MM5: Still used by some, but.

Global Observing System Simulation Experiments (Global OSSEs) How It Works Nature Run 13-month uninterrupted forecast produces alternative atmosphere.

Building the Future of the NWS: NCEP Product Suite Review Dr. Louis W. Uccellini Director, National Weather Service College Park, Maryland NOAA Assistant.

Components, Coupling and Concurrency in the Earth System Modeling Framework N. Collins/NCAR, C. DeLuca/NCAR, V. Balaji/GFDL, G. Theurich/SGI, A. da Silva/GSFC,

Tolman, May 13, 2015JCSDA NWS overview, 1/11 JCSDA Activities and Plans NWS overview & plans Hendrik L. Tolman Director, Environmental Modeling Center.

A Portable Regional Weather and Climate Downscaling System Using GEOS-5, LIS-6, WRF, and the NASA Workflow Tool Eric M. Kemp 1,2 and W. M. Putman 1, J.

Ligia Bernardet, S. Bao, C. Harrop, D. Stark, T. Brown, and L. Carson Technology Transfer in Tropical Cyclone Numerical Modeling – The Role of the DTC.

Higher Resolution Operational Models. Major U.S. High-Resolution Mesoscale Models (all non-hydrostatic ) WRF-ARW (developed at NCAR) NMM-B (developed.

1 11/25/2015 Developmental Testbed Center (DTC) Bob Gall June 2004.

Towards development of a Regional Arctic Climate System Model --- Coupling WRF with the Variable Infiltration Capacity land model via a flux coupler Chunmei.

Development of neural network emulations of model physics components for improving the computational performance of the NCEP seasonal climate forecasts.

National Weather Service Water Science and Services John J. Kelly, Jr. Director, National Weather Service NOAA Science Advisory Board November 6, 2001.

Slides for NUOPC ESPC NAEFS ESMF. A NOAA, Navy, Air Force strategic partnership to improve the Nation’s weather forecast capability Vision – a national.

NCEP ESMF GFS Global Spectral Forecast Model Weiyu Yang, Mike Young and Joe Sela ESMF Community Meeting MIT, Cambridge, MA July 21, 2005.

Interagency Strategic Research Plan for Tropical Cyclones: The Way Ahead Dr. Naomi Surgi NOAA NCEP/EMC March 6, 2007.

1 Proposal for a Climate-Weather Hydromet Test Bed “Where America’s Climate and Weather Services Begin” Louis W. Uccellini Director, NCEP NAME Forecaster.

1 Group 1: Modeling and Data Assimilation Summary: 1. HPC access, HPC access, HPC access 2. resources: personnel inside (e.g. EMC) and externally funded.

CTB computer resources / CFSRR project Hua-Lu Pan.

1 National Environmental Modeling System (NEMS) Status M. Iredell and EMC Staff.

Earth System Curator and Model Metadata Discovery and Display for CMIP5 Sylvia Murphy and Cecelia Deluca (NOAA/CIRES) Hannah Wilcox (NCAR/CISL) Metafor.

1 Agenda Topic: NOAA Environmental Modeling System (NEMS) Infrastructure Presented By: Mark Iredell (NWS/NCEP)

ESMF,WRF and ROMS. Purposes Not a tutorial Not a tutorial Educational and conceptual Educational and conceptual Relation to our work Relation to our work.

Emergence of a Common Modeling Architecture for Earth System Science American Geophysical Union December 13, 2010 Cecelia DeLuca NOAA/CIRES.

Fly - Fight - Win 2 d Weather Group Mr. Evan Kuchera HQ AFWA 2 WXG/WEA Template: 28 Feb 06 Approved for Public Release - Distribution Unlimited AFWA Ensemble.

The NOAA Environmental Modeling System at NCEP Mark Iredell and the NEMS group NOAA/NWS/NCEP Environmental Modeling Center June 12, 2014.

NSF NCAR / NASA GSFC / DOE LANL ANL / NOAA NCEP GFDL / MIT / U MICH C. DeLuca/NCAR, J. Anderson/NCAR, V. Balaji/GFDL, B. Boville/NCAR, N. Collins/NCAR,

Higher Resolution Operational Models

Metadata Development in the Earth System Curator Spanning the Gap Between Models and Datasets Rocky Dunlap, Georgia Tech 5 th GO-ESSP Community Meeting.

Overview of the CCSM CCSM Software Engineering Group June

UNIFIED GLOBAL COUPLED SYSTEM (UGCS) FOR WEATHER AND CLIMATE PREDICTION Saha-UMAC-09Aug2016.

National Monsoon Mission Scoping Workshop April 11-15, 2011

Global Forecast System (GFS) Model

Global Forecast System (GFS) Model

A brief introduction to NEMS

Presentation transcript:

1 ESMF in Production at NCEP Mark Iredell Chief NCEP/EMC Global Climate and Weather Modeling Branch May 23, 2006 NCEP: “where America’s climate, weather, and ocean services begin”

2 Outline  Motivation  Vision  Progress  Issues  Conclusion

3 Motivation

4 Impact of Observations and Numerical Forecast System Technology Growth on Global Forecasts Obs only NFS Tech Growth + Obs NFS Tech Growth: Computing Data Assim. Models Ensembles

5 Why NCEP? Most of the improvement in weather forecast skill over the past 20 years is due to improving numerical forecast system technology. However, national investment in computing and model development in the geophysical sciences is both limited and dispersed. Therefore, it behooves us to leverage this investment with a common modeling framework and shared software development.

6 Vision* *my vision anyway, not necessarily everyone’s

7 ESMF Component Framework Application Change Resolution Surface Cycling Atmosphere ATM Dynamics ATM Physics Post Vertical Post Product Generator Output GRIB/BUFR some other coupler some other component

8 NCEP component list (incomplete*) I/O components ATM gridded component GFS physics component NAM physics component GMAO physics component GFS dynamics component UMO dynamics component Finite volume dynamics component Post component Surface cycling component Coupler components Land component Ocean component Ice component Wave component Surge component Aerosol component Ionosphere component Mesoscale component Hurricane components GSI 3DVAR component Radiative Transfer component Change resolution coupler component Dynamics/Physics coupler component Ensemble coupler component Atmosphere/Land coupler component Atmosphere/Ice/Ocean coupler component Atmosphere/Aerosol coupler component Atmosphere/Ionosphere coupler component Analysis/Model coupler component Model/Post coupler component Nested atmosphere components Other couplers *only includes components with active ESMF plans

9 Progress

10 Progress with NCEP The NCEP global forecast system (GFS) with a fully compliant ESMF adoption shall be implemented operationally in June (Yang, Moorthi, Young) Features –Stand-alone gridded component (uses vm, delayout, grids and states from the ESMF superstructure) –Uses time manager, config, and log error from the ESMF infrastructure –No effect on results or timings

11 ………… G_I G_R ………… G_R Cpl_Run Cpl_Initialize Main Drive ………………………………………………….. … … … …………. G_F …………. Cpl_Finalize END G_I --- GFS Initialize G_R --- GFS Run G_F --- GFS Finalize Main Driver NCEP ESMF GFSE CONCURRENCY SYSTEM

12 Progress with NCEP The GFS already runs successfully in ensemble mode (14 members run concurrently). A stochastic ensemble coupler is being developed. (Yang, Hou) Promising progress toward making GFS component states in gridpoint rather than spectral space. (Juang) The B-grid global/regional model (UMO) runs successfully as an ESMF gridded component. (Black) Several other collaborations already support ESMF gridded components.

13 Issues

14 Costs/Benefits of NCEP + Community involvement and lovefests + Common framework for collaboration + Shared software burden - Significant conversion effort - Increased code complexity - More black boxes

15 Costs/Benefits of NCEP Ultimately, the key resources for NCEP (and other institutions) are its working scientists. We must ensure that any framework decisions are the best for our people to continue to develop and maintain world-class geophysical models. ESMF allows each institution to find its comfort level in adopting the framework.

16 Conclusion NCEP continues to participate as a partner in the ESMF experience.