Self-Destructive Behaviors: Definitions & Rates Prof. Matthew K. Nock September 14, 2009

Public Health Context

CountryYearMalesFemales Ukraine Japan Belgium France Bulgaria Romania China (HK SAR) China (rural/urban) Germany Australia Ireland New Zealand India United States Netherlands Spain Suicide Rates (per 100,000) by Country: WHO 2005

CountryYearMalesFemales Italy Israel Costa Rica Brazil Panama Colombia Mexico Peru Indonesia-- Nigeria-- South Africa-- Turkey-- Suicide Rates (per 100,000) by Country: WHO 2005

U.S. Suicide Rate by Age, Gender & Race

U.S. Suicide Rate by Age & Sex Over Time

U.S. Suicide Rate by Region

U.S. Suicide Rate by Age, Gender & Race

U.S. Suicide Rate by Method & Gender

Death Rates of U.S. Youth

Suicide Rates by Month

Current Context Suicide & NSSI are very difficult to predict & prevent

Classifying Self-Injurious Thoughts and Behaviors Common terms: “suicidality” …“deliberate self-harm”… “parasuicide”… More specific terms and definitions: –Suicide ideation: thoughts of intentionally ending one’s own life –Suicide plan: selection of method with some intent to act in the future –Suicide attempt: self-injurious behavior with intent to die –Non-suicidal self-injury (NSSI): self-injury with no intent to die Nock & Kessler (2006) J Abnormal Psychology Nock & Kazdin (2002) J Clinical Child & Adolescent Psychology

Epidemiology of Suicidal Outcomes What is the prevalence of suicide ideation, plans, and attempts? What are the onset, course, and risk factors?

Epidemiology of Suicidal Outcomes * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * ** * * *

What is the prevalence of suicide ideation, plans, and attempts? What are the onset, course, and risk factors? WHO World Mental Health Survey Initiative (Kessler et al): nationally representative survey in 28 countries (N ~ 250,000) Prevalence Estimate Range Suicide Ideation 9.2% (3.1 China New Zealand ) Suicide Plan3.1% (0.7 Italy New Zealand ) Suicide Attempt2.7% (0.9 Italy USA ) Nock et al. (2008). British Journal of Psychiatry N = 84,850; 17 Countries

Epidemiology of Suicidal Outcomes Although variability in prevalence of suicidal outcomes, there is consistency in: –Age-of-onset (AOO) of suicidal outcomes Nock et al. (2008). British Journal of Psychiatry

Epidemiology of Suicidal Outcomes Nock et al. (2008). British Journal of Psychiatry

Epidemiology of Suicidal Outcomes Although variability in prevalence of suicidal outcomes, there is consistency in: –Age-of-onset (AOO) of suicidal outcomes –Conditional probabilities of transition from ideation to plans (33.6%) and attempts (29.0%) –Speed of transition from ideation to plans and attempts Nock et al. (2008). British Journal of Psychiatry

Epidemiology of Suicidal Outcomes Nock et al. (2008). British Journal of Psychiatry

Epidemiology of Suicidal Outcomes Although variability in prevalence of suicidal outcomes, there is consistency in: –Age-of-onset (AOO) of suicidal outcomes –Conditional probabilities of transition from ideation to plans (33.6%) and attempts (29.0%) –Speed of transition from ideation to plans and attempts –Risk factors for suicide ideation, plans, and attempts Female, younger age, unmarried Presence of mental disorders Nock et al. (2008). British Journal of Psychiatry

Epidemiology of Suicidal Outcomes Nock et al. (2008). British Journal of Psychiatry

Predictors of Transition from Suicide Ideation to Attempt Nock et al. (2009). Molecular Psychiatry (US) Nock et al. (2009). PLoS Medicine (Cross-nationally) Prediction of first onset of suicide ideation and attempts in the NCS-R Suicide Ideation Attempts among Ideators Depression (MDD) Anxiety (PTSD) Conduct (CD) Alcohol (Abuse/Dep) … Values are ORs from multivariate survival models predicting ideation in the total sample (column 1), and unplanned attempts among ideators (column 2) in the NCS-R. Models included 16 disorders– only 4 shown here.

Predictors of Transition from Suicide Ideation to Attempt Prediction of first onset of suicide ideation and attempts in the NCS-R Suicide Ideation Attempts among Ideators Depression (MDD)2.3* Anxiety (PTSD)1.5* Conduct (CD)1.5* Alcohol (Abuse/Dep) … 1.8* Values are ORs from multivariate survival models predicting ideation in the total sample (column 1), and unplanned attempts among ideators (column 2) in the NCS-R. Models included 16 disorders– only 4 shown here. Nock et al. (2009). Molecular Psychiatry (US) Nock et al. (2009). PLoS Medicine (Cross-nationally)

Predictors of Transition from Suicide Ideation to Attempt Prediction of first onset of suicide ideation and attempts in the NCS-R Suicide Ideation Attempts among Ideators Depression (MDD)2.3* 1.0 Anxiety (PTSD)1.5*2.4* Conduct (CD)1.5*2.2* Alcohol (Abuse/Dep) … 1.8*2.9* Values are ORs from multivariate survival models predicting ideation in the total sample (column 1), and unplanned attempts among ideators (column 2) in the NCS-R. Models included 16 disorders– only 4 shown here. Nock et al. (2009). Molecular Psychiatry (US) Nock et al. (2009). PLoS Medicine (Cross-nationally)

Self-Injury Rate by Sex

Self-Injury Rate Over Time

Rate of NSSI among U.S. Youth (Hilt, Nock, Lloyd-Richardson & Prinstein, 2008)

Self-Destructive Behaviors: Definitions & Rates Prof. Matthew K. Nock September 14, 2009