Japanese economy „Stagnation vs. Recovery“ Krystyna Šípošová
Content Economic profile What caused the crisis? Slowdown factors Driving factors Positive signs for the future Conclusion
Economic Profile industrialized, free-market economy currency - ¥ Japanese Yen the world's 2. largest economy after US (GNP) the 4. largest after the US, China, India by PPP est. GDP growth I,5 % inflation -0,5% unemployment 4,7%
Trade and industries Exports - cars, electronic devices, computers US, China, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong Imports - raw materials, oil, foodstuffs, wood China, US, South Korea, Australia Industries - motor vehicles, industrial and transportation equipment, electronics, chemicals, steel, machine tools, processed foods, nonferrous metals, agriculture 2% of GNP
What caused the crisis? 1980's, real estate prices soared to super inflated levels , burst of „bubble economy“- land and stock prices plunged bad loans, banking crisis consumption tax increase from 3% - 5%
Slowdown factors decline in population, high % of elderly low openness to foreign market high regulation, formal & informal trade barriers lifetime employment seniority system low productivity, high costs, high prices
Driving factors reforms – privatization of the Jap. Post deregulation deal with non-performing loans elimination of the budget deficit stabilization of the financial system productivity-related wages, flexible labor market economic stabilization and growth
Positive signs for the future increased labor flexibility rising employment and wages growth in GDP and in consumption increasing importance of shareholder value increasing number of mergers and acquisitions
Conclusion Japan had largely recovered from „the lost decade.“ (The Times) „Sun also rises.“ (The Economist)
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