GLOBAL ECONOMIC AND DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS FOR SOCIAL PROGRAMS IN RUSSIA Maureen Pirog Rudy Professor of Public and Environmental Affairs, Indiana University Visiting Professor, Daniel J. Evans School of Public Affairs, University of Washington April 6, 2010

PERCENTAGE OF THE TOTAL POPULATION AGE 60 OR OLDER – 2010 Source: Population Division, DESA, United Nations

PERCENTAGE OF THE TOTAL POPULATION AGE 60 OR OLDER – 2020 Source: Population Division, DESA, United Nations

PERCENTAGE OF THE TOTAL POPULATION AGE 60 OR OLDER – 2030 Source: Population Division, DESA, United Nations

PERCENTAGE OF THE TOTAL POPULATION AGE 60 OR OLDER – 2040 Source: Population Division, DESA, United Nations

PERCENTAGE OF THE TOTAL POPULATION AGE 60 OR OLDER – 2050 Source: Population Division, DESA, United Nations

POPULATION AGED 60 OR OLDER Source: Population Division, DESA, United Nations

POPULATION AGED (AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL POPULATION) Source: Population Division, DESA, United Nations

RUSSIAN POPULATION Source: Kumo, Morinaga, & Shida, 2007 (Historical Estimates); Population Division, DESA, United Nations (Projections)

INFANT MORTALITY RATES (IN DEATHS PER 1,000 BIRTHS) Source: Population Division, DESA, United Nations

ALCOHOL-RELATED DEATHS (PER 100,000 POPULATION) Source: Russian Federal State Statistics Service; United States Center for Disease Control, National Vital Statistics System

SMOKING-RELATED DEATHS (PER 100,000 POPULATION) Source: Population Division, DESA, United Nations; Peto, Lopez, Boreham, & Thun (2006)

HIV PREVALENCE, AGES (PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL POPULATION) Source: United Nations Children’s Fund

DEATHS FROM CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE: RUSSIA VS. EUROPEAN UNION, Source: World Health Organization, “Europe Health for All Database,” updated January 2009 available at (accessed April 30, 2009)

DEATHS FROM INFECTIOUS AND PARASITIC DISEASES: RUSSIA VS. EUROPEAN UNION, Source: World Health Organization, “Europe Health for All Database,” updated January 2009 available at (accessed April 30, 2009.)

DEATHS FROM INJURY/EXTERNAL CAUSES (compared to PPP adjusted per-capita GDP, 2002) Source: Morality rates: World Health Organization (WHO), WHO Statistical Information System. GDP data: World Bank, World Development Indicators.

Total Child Support Collected in the United States (in 2008 U.S. Dollars, Adjusted for Inflation) Source: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Office of Child Support Enforcement

NUMBER OF DIVORCES (PER 1,000 MARRIAGES) Source: Center for Disease Control and Prevention, National Vital Statistics Reports; Russian Federal State Statistics Service; ArticStat Database

NUMBER OF ABORTIONS (PER 1,000 LIVE BIRTHS) Source: World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe and U.S. Center for Disease Control

COUNTRIES WITH THE LARGEST NUMBER OF INTERNATIONAL MIGRANTS (IN MILLIONS) Source: Population Division, DESA, United Nations

COUNTRIES WITH THE LARGEST NUMBER OF INTERNATIONAL MIGRANTS (AS PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL POPULATION) Source: Population Division, DESA, United Nations

ANNUAL PERCENTAGE OF CHANGE IN REAL GDP, * *Estimates begin after 2007/2008 Source: World Economic Outlook Database, October 2009

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