The Resource Curse “Ten years from now, twenty years from now, you will see: oil will bring us ruin … Oil is the Devil’s excrement.” Juan Pablo Pérez Alfonzo,

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Presentation transcript:

The Resource Curse “Ten years from now, twenty years from now, you will see: oil will bring us ruin … Oil is the Devil’s excrement.” Juan Pablo Pérez Alfonzo, an OPEC founder

Themes of Crude World Oil is becoming scarce Oil is a source of fabulous riches Oil pushes people into corruption & violence Oil impoverishes the masses Oil undermines state & society Oil destroys the environment Oil triggers war Oil drives empire Oil is a curse, not a blessing

This is the “resource curse” “Paradox of plenty” states with point resources (oil, diamonds) perform poorly & are subject to violence Large quantities of revenues make limited contribution to development Widespread poverty is often present External actors take an unhealthy interest in internal politics There is often little to show

Effects on the economy Resource in high demand Subject to price fluctuations Revenues cause currency exchange rate to rise Domestic inflation often takes hold Non-productive activities become more profitable Revenues are skimmed off and losing projects launched Population often realizes little or not benefits

Effects on politics & peace Revenues diverted to families, friends Corruption, bribery, etc. become commonplace Competition for control of resources develops Power struggles follow & can turn violent Groups seek to assert control over resources Revenues can fund internal warfare

Effects on society Elites with access to funds support their own interests Public services are not offered & decay People move to urban areas in search of work People living over resource are dispossessed Environmental damage undermines livelihoods General insecurity becomes pervasive

Case of Nigeria Oil discovered in 1956; independence in 1960 Broad religious & ethnic divisions across country Oil resources are all in the South, mostly Delta State control elsewhere Local economy under- mined by revenues $ billion vanished Delta communities have struggled & some groups (e.g., MEND) attack & kidnap oil workers, etc.

Case of Chad When oil discovered, same concerns arose Pipeline contract required set-aside of revenues These were for domestic development Continued funding support contingent on agreement Government could tap in “national emergency” Which it proceeded to do

Can the resource curse be avoided? Rigorous & close monitoring Transparency & accountability Sterilization of foreign exchange Restrictions on access Limits on how much can be withdrawn Equitable distribution of revenues & services

More to the point, what role does the Global North play in all of this? Primary demand for resources in the North Demand & speculation drive up prices Producers want to limit costs of extraction ‘Externalities’ often imposed on locals Companies deal with governments, not people There is limited justice in all of this