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Rear Admiral R.P. Girrier Deputy Commander, U.S. Pacific Fleet
3 UNCLASSIFIED Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific There are more people living inside this circle than outside of it There are more people living inside this circle than outside of it -Over 50% of the Earth's surface -Over 50% of the world's population -World’s most populous country and its smallest nations -7 of 10 largest armies -15 of 20 busiest ports -8 of 10 busiest air travel routes -World's largest democracy -Ring of Fire
Globalization Fuels Prosperity Strait of Malacca 1/3 of world trade 1/2 of oil shipping 70,000 ships/year 15 of world’s 20 busiest container ports - 10 in China 4 UNCLASSIFIED Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific Tokyo 1945 The Han River 1953 Singapore 1950s Tokyo Today Singapore Today The Han River Today
Prosperity Requires Unfettered Access Maritime security today… …And the assurance of security tomorrow 5 UNCLASSIFIED Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific Maritime security underpins free movement of trade & access to resources
Imperatives and Daily challenges 6 Freedom of the seas Natural disasters Global commerce UNCLASSIFIED
Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific Most Volatile Challenge: North Korea Assessment: Kim has established his own regime, separate from his father; however expect Kim to use a range of provocation options in a similar manner to ensure his regime’s hold on power. Presents a volatile challenge to regional stability. ROKS CHEONAN Bow Section Recovered, Apr 2010 Chang Song Taek Arrested, Dec 2013 Shelling of Y-P Do, Nov 2010 Kim Jong-Un Consolidates Military Authority & Party Loyalty Directly Responsible for Provacative Actions Kim at Military Parade, Jul 2013 Troops Wearing Backpacks with Radiation Symbol, Jul 2013 following Feb 2013 Nuke Test Satellite Launch, Dec 2012 UNCLASSIFIED 7
Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific UNCLASSIFIED 2 C H I N A J A P A N VIETNAM MALAYSIA ROK DPRK RUSSIA TAIWAN PHILIPPINES 200 nm Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Disputed Areas Japan-Russia Dispute: Northern Territories/Southern Kurile Islands Japan-Korea Dispute: Takeshima/Dokdo 8 UNCLASSIFIED Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific Potential for Miscalculation Conflict Fueled by History
Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific Which China Is It? “China will depend on the ocean to prosper and will steadily promote the building of its maritime power…” – PRC President Xi, Jul 2013 PEACE ARK UNCLASSIFIED 9 JIANGKAI II YUZHAO “The United States welcomes the rise of a peaceful, prosperous, and stable China….” SECSTATE Kerry, August 14, 2014 RIMPAC
Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific “We love peace…but that doesn’t mean giving up our rights, especially those involving the nation’s Core interests” – PRC President Xi, Aug 2013 PRC actions indicate desire to challenge status quo, achieve sovereignty inside First Island Chain, increase influence abroad Reveal Nuclear Subs JIDONG-5 CV-16 LIAONING New Platforms Challenging Japan in ECS UNCLASSIFIED 10 Which China Is It? MISSION ACTION 2013 HYSY 981
The pace and scale of China’s land reclamation are unprecedented 30 Jan Mar 2014 PRC South China Sea Land Reclamation Source: IHS Jane’s via Wall Street Journal, 18 Feb 2015 Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific UNCLASSIFED 11 Jul 2014 Nov Jan 2015 Feb 2006 Jan 2015
Leading America’s Rebalance to the Pacific 12 How We Operate: Our Maritime Strategy In The Pacific UNCLASSIFIED Sea ControlDeterrenceMaritime Security Humanitarian Assistance/ Disaster Relief Power Projection All Domain Access (Cyber) 150+ Exercises & 350+ Port Visits Each Year
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